If the principal is less than 100,000 and you are keen on short-term trading, you must read this note several times and remember the following 4 key short-term techniques! The text is brief, but the value is immense; understanding it can save you several years of detours!
First, do not rush to sell when the morning market drops; increase your position at a low price with T+0. If the stock price drops in the morning, there is no need to rush to sell. Instead, take the opportunity to buy more at a low point, which will lower your average cost. When the stock price rises later, you can sell for a profit in the morning. This operation can refer to the 5-minute and 15-minute K-line charts to find the low point.
Second, when there is a significant rise in the afternoon, it is advisable to reduce your position; if there is a significant decline at the close, consider buying the next day. If there is a substantial upward trend in the afternoon, be sure to reduce your position; if there is a significant drop at the close, then consider building a position to buy the next day, as there is usually a higher probability of a lower open and a higher close the next day.
Third, how to judge the strength of a limit-up? Observe the intraday chart; if it is locked at the limit-up before 11:30 AM and remains closed all day with large orders, it indicates strong momentum; if it is locked after this period, the stock is weak. Avoid touching stocks that only lock up near the closing bell, as there are often tricks involved when the stock is pushed up at the close.
Fourth, controlling drawdowns is key. Most retail investors find it a hundred times more painful to miss out than to be trapped. They always fantasize about seizing every opportunity, yet the market is always there, and opportunities arise every day. After making a big profit, it is easy to become arrogant; one must know that pride leads to downfall. If there are no excellent opportunities, it is wise to take a break for a day or two and secure your profits.
On Monday, the BTC token for orange cloth has steadily settled in the early hours after 3 days! Holding ↓ 3300 tokens, 5.5 wrist units have been successfully acquired! A good life is given by yourself. If you have dreams, do not wait; do not fear the long road, only fear short ambitions; do not fear being slow, only fear standing still. Persevere, and dreams will eventually shine into reality! #盘整行情分析 #BTC #ETH #BTC走势预测 #比特币行情 $BTC $ETH
无忧财经
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Bearish
The market formed a sustained fluctuation in yesterday's trend, with frequent transitions. In the morning, it rose to the 67800 area but faced resistance and pulled back. It is currently around 67300. Yesterday, BTC trading was also accurately profitable. Overall, the market shows that short-term upward movement is obstructed. From the hourly chart perspective, two bearish candles in the morning have pushed the price back to the middle band. The resistance above is quite strong. Therefore, we will maintain our high trading operations! BTC rebound near 67500-67800, look for 65500-65000 ETH rebound near 2630-6240, look for 2550-2500#BTC #ETH #BTC走势预测 #BTC☀ #比特币行情 $BTC $ETH
On the morning of December 26th, the oil base was operated at 13,000! 27th! On the 3rd day of the day, BTC was solid at 96561, stopped midway and moved downwards, stopped accurately at 94300, cut or 2200, and closed at 15832! As of the early morning of the 28th, the total net worth of account protection reached 58876 oil! The 4.5 times performance in 2️⃣days is a combination of strength and luck, there is no doubt about it! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
On the morning of December 26th, the oil base was operated at 13,000! 27th! The 2nd day of the day, BTC solid price is 95817, 97300 is accurate, it is close to 1500 yuan, and the price is 8893! In less than 2️⃣ days, 3️⃣ times the amount of Pan Cang, the account guard has already reached 42956 oil! A good choice is destined to a good result! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
On the morning of December 26, the oil base was operated at 13,000! 27th! On the 1st day of the day, BTC came out of the decline, with a solid backhand, a precise stop or 1,200 points, and a closing price of 7,270! For the right person, if you move forward step by step, it will only be a matter of time before you reach the end! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
#Rebound failed? Can Bitcoin still close above $100,000 this year? As of December 27, 2024, there is great uncertainty that Bitcoin will close above $100,000.
Unfavorable factors
- Recent price trends are not good: Bitcoin fell after hitting a record high of $108,316 on December 17. As of December 27 before the European session, it was running around $96,200 and faced the risk of closing down in December, which would be its first monthly decline in more than four months. - Significant capital outflow: In the four trading days ending December 24, investors withdrew a net of $1.5 billion from more than a dozen US spot Bitcoin ETFs, the largest capital outflow since Trump won the US election on November 5, indicating that investors' confidence in Bitcoin and willingness to invest have declined. - Impact of option contract expiration: A large number of Bitcoin and Ethereum option contracts expired on December 27, which is one of the largest option expirations in the history of digital assets. According to Deribit Exchange, more than $4 billion of contracts will expire, which may trigger sharp market fluctuations and further affect Bitcoin price trends. - Cautious market sentiment: Although MicroStrategy hinted this week that it may expand its Bitcoin purchase plan, Bitcoin bulls are still hesitant. In addition, traders are also cashing in on some of the profits triggered by Republican optimism about cryptocurrencies, and the overall market sentiment is cautious.
Favorable factors
- Trump policy expectations: Trump is advancing his commitment to create a cryptocurrency-friendly environment in the United States and supports the idea of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. If these policies are implemented, they may provide strong support for Bitcoin prices. - Long-term holding trend: There is a view that institutional investors have begun to adopt a long-term holding strategy, which shows strong confidence in the future potential of Bitcoin. If this trend continues, Bitcoin is expected to hit new highs by the end of 2024 and 2025#BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Bitcoin will have the largest options expiration in history tomorrow
According to David Lawant of FalconX, Bitcoin (BTC) is about to have the largest options expiration in history, which will occur tomorrow. The expiration of this option is huge, with a total option equity of $15 billion, accounting for 43% of the current total options market, which is twice the amount of option equity that expired in December last year.
Option strike price distribution
- Call options: Call options in the range of $90,000 to $120,000 have the largest open interest, reflecting investors' optimism about the future price of Bitcoin and expecting it to reach a higher price in the near future.
- Put options: Put options in the range of $80,000 to $90,000 are closely followed, showing that the market is prepared for a potential price correction, and large-scale option expiration may increase market volatility.
Market dynamics and hedging needs
- Bullish preference: Despite a certain position in put options, the market as a whole still prefers call options, and most participants are optimistic about the trend of Bitcoin. - Hedging increases: As options expire, investors' hedging needs increase, and they try to deal with market uncertainties through options. Market sentiment may be more sensitive before and after option expiration.
Current Bitcoin Market
As of now, Coingecko data shows that the trading price of Bitcoin is $96,161. The current price has not significantly deviated from the distribution range of option strike prices, but market volatility may increase significantly after option expiration. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Buying pressure rises, Bitcoin may rebound in the near future
An analyst pointed out that a common trading indicator used to track buyer demand on the cryptocurrency exchange Binance shows that Bitcoin is expected to retest the psychological price of $100,000 before the end of the year.
According to CoinMarketCap data, as of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $96,222.
Indicators release positive signals
Takers refer to buyers who accept the market's best price at the moment. The rise in this indicator means an increase in investor interest and buying pressure.
Observing the chart of CryptoQuant, the purchase volume of Bitcoin buyers hit a low of less than $5 billion on December 1, just below $6 billion on December 15, and reached around $6 billion around December 25. Three "higher lows" are often seen by traders as a strong signal of the formation of an upward trend. Analyst Burrakesmeci believes that although the market may be overheated and undergo a correction, the continued growth in taker purchases indicates that Bitcoin prices may rise in the coming days.
Historical patterns spark imagination
Since Bitcoin first broke through $100,000 on December 5, it has been below that level since December 19. Currently, Bitcoin is down 11.15% from its all-time high of more than $108,300 on December 17.
Some cryptocurrency traders predict that Bitcoin's current chart is forming a pattern similar to December 2023. In the three months since December 2023, Bitcoin rose nearly 90% with the approval of the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in January. Anonymous trader Jack posted on December 26 that he noticed that the price trend of Bitcoin was very similar to that of about a year ago. Another anonymous trader, Titan of Crypto, also expressed a similar view to his 110,100 X followers, believing that Bitcoin's 2024 trend pattern seems to be about 3 weeks ahead of last year. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Morning of December 26, follow the 13000 oil! As of the early morning of the 27th, the account protection has reached 28258 oil, and the effect is evident in just one day, already achieving a turnaround!
Choosing right makes a big difference in life. Here at Wuyou, breaking through difficulties is like clearing the clouds to see the blue sky, and has become a routine; successfully reaching the shore is even a common occurrence. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
On the morning of December 26, 13000 oil roots up. In the evening, still optimistic about the drawing door, the 3rd Dan of the day, BTC's solid plate again sets the orange cone root, cutting or 870 typical, harvesting 3500 oil. By the early morning of the 27th, the effects were clearly visible in just one day, the turn of the tide is right now, reaching the shore is right in front!
Goal achieved, 100,000 oil milestone! On the morning of December 19, the oil price was 7,000 yuan. As of the 26th of this month, in 7 days, the account has reached 100,000 oil. In the evening, 9 Anhui oil entered the generation! Still think it is difficult to get ashore? Turning around is out of reach? In Wuyou, these are just daily operations. As usual, if you give me a trust, I will give you a satisfactory answer that exceeds your expectations! How strong is the ability, the results will prove it! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Eight Iron Rules for Survival in the Cryptocurrency World, Helping You Navigate the Battlefield
The cryptocurrency world is like a battlefield, with unpredictable changes. To establish a foothold in this turbulent arena, the following eight iron rules must be remembered.
1. Be Cautious with Averaging Down. The cryptocurrency market is full of uncertainties; once caught in a position, do not blindly panic and average down in an attempt to reduce costs and quickly break even. This approach goes against market logic and requires careful consideration.
2. Increase Investment Wisely. Do not blindly add funds before your trading system demonstrates stable profitability. Losses indicate flaws in your strategy, and adding funds at this time will only worsen the losses. Reflect and adjust first, and act only after your strategy is mature.
3. Follow the Trend. Market trends fall into three categories: rising, falling, and fluctuating. Lighten positions or stay out during declines, actively participate during rises; following the trend can increase your trading success rate.
4. Keep Trading Simple. When the chart shows K-line patterns that align with your personal trading system, act decisively. Also, manage stop-losses and position sizes to safeguard your trading.
5. Do Not Average Down on Losses. Averaging down during losses is like adding fuel to the fire, which will only lead to uncontrollable risks. Stay calm and avoid letting emotions interfere with your decisions.
6. Precise Investment Increase. Add to your position when the market breaks resistance; aggressively short when it falls below distribution zones. High-level fluctuations after a long-term rise may hold hidden meanings.
7. Avoid Impatience. Greed and desire are the greatest enemies of trading. Maintaining calm and patience is essential to standing firm in a complex and changing market.
8. Reasonable Allocation. Investing is like walking a tightrope: "Do not put all your eggs in one basket." The risks in the cryptocurrency market are unpredictable, so diversifying investments and adopting a multi-faceted approach is a prudent strategy.
If you want to delve deeply into the cryptocurrency world but feel lost and helpless, and want to quickly grasp the information gap, click on my avatar to follow me, and you will have immediate access to the latest information and in-depth analysis! #比特币市场波动观察 #BTC
December 26 morning 13000 oil follows the operation! Morning surge accurately verified, afternoon rebound lackluster and continuously probing lower. Firmly positioned orange Kongs, the second 2️⃣ Dan once again slashed or nearly 2000 typical, harvesting 7913 oil. Just a step away from flipping the sky, Dan Dan is complete, efficiently realized. Time speaks for itself, and will witness strength.
On the morning of December 26, 13,000 oil roots. As predicted by Si Lu in the morning, it surged past the 100,000 mark. Subsequently, it faced pressure and pulled back, establishing a strong foundation for the orange root. The first step of the day, a successful opening, accurately hitting 1,300 marks, with a harvest of 5,351 oil. The first step has already been strongly taken, and we will continue to move towards higher peaks! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
Siloujun publicly hints that the market outlook remains bullish, including this morning's reiteration to look up to 99800! Here it comes! BTC's solid support, precise direct cut or 1380 typical, harvest at 11055 oil.. #BTC $BTC #BTC走势分析
无忧财经
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Bullish
Yesterday, there was no significant one-sided movement in the US stock market due to the Christmas holiday, and this morning, BTC began to rebound, reaching a high of around 99600, with the entry and exit points perfectly matching our previous analysis.
Currently, the overall view is that Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level, so the operational strategy remains unchanged, continuing to retest and enter. From a technical perspective, the current pullback is not a reversal, with 97500 acting as effective support and a low probability of short-term decline. On a macro level, there are also no conditions for a pullback. The main strategy is to buy on dips, focusing on timing the entry points. For ultra-short-term trading, both long and short positions have room, so be mindful of the scale. Suggested Operations For Bitcoin, consider buying near the 98000 - 97500 area, targeting 99800 - 100300. For Ethereum, consider buying near the 3460 - 3440 area, targeting 3550 - 3590. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETHETFsApproved $BTC $ETH
Yesterday, there was no significant one-sided movement in the US stock market due to the Christmas holiday, and this morning, BTC began to rebound, reaching a high of around 99600, with the entry and exit points perfectly matching our previous analysis.
Currently, the overall view is that Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level, so the operational strategy remains unchanged, continuing to retest and enter. From a technical perspective, the current pullback is not a reversal, with 97500 acting as effective support and a low probability of short-term decline. On a macro level, there are also no conditions for a pullback. The main strategy is to buy on dips, focusing on timing the entry points. For ultra-short-term trading, both long and short positions have room, so be mindful of the scale. Suggested Operations For Bitcoin, consider buying near the 98000 - 97500 area, targeting 99800 - 100300. For Ethereum, consider buying near the 3460 - 3440 area, targeting 3550 - 3590. #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETHETFsApproved $BTC $ETH
The big pancake Ethereum Si Lu has come out as scheduled, the thinking has been accurately verified again, the big pancake gives 1700 points, Ethereum gives 60 points. Welfare Dan has been accurately calculated to single digits, has everyone kept up? #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
无忧财经
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Bullish
Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations
Last night, after the U.S. stock market opened, the market quickly entered a strong upward channel, with Bitcoin reaching a maximum of around 99,500 in the early morning, just a step away from the 100,000 mark. This trend perfectly aligned with our 'bullish outlook' from yesterday's live trading notification. However, when the U.S. stock market closed at 2 AM, Bitcoin's trend showed a pullback.
Today coincides with Christmas, and the U.S. stock market is closed, so the trading activity of the market's main players is expected to significantly decrease, with limited volatility. Bitcoin has once again touched 99,000, and whether the bulls will make another push has become the market focus.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the Bollinger Bands are continuously moving upward, indicating a steady accumulation of bullish power. The candlestick trend is in line with expectations, showing a pullback near EMA220. The lower EMA30 and the middle Bollinger Band form strong support, while the upper EMA120 constitutes a key resistance level. In terms of the MACD indicator, although the volume above the zero line has reduced, when combined with the hourly trend, if the pullback during the day is slow, the convergence of the fast and slow lines will be weak. This situation may continue into the night, after which the market is expected to welcome a new round of increases.
Trading Recommendations
- BTC: Long near the pullback of 97,900 - 97,500, targeting around 99,300 - 99,800. If it strongly breaks through 99,800, then look further towards the 100,000 mark. - ETH: Long near the pullback of 3,480 - 3,460, targeting around 3,550 - 3,580. #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
December 24th morning 9000 oil roots up! As of December 26th, counting 2️⃣ days in total, the current defense has reached 53452 oil, a 5️⃣ times increase in 2️⃣ days. Time may be silent, but the results are impressive!
Dreams are not empty talk or illusions, but the fruits of practice. Act now, let dreams shine into reality at every moment. #BTC走势分析 #BTC走势分析 $BTC
On the morning of December 24th, 9000 oil roots were released. On the 25th, the 4️⃣ Dan of the day, Silu publicly reminded that it would first fall back to around 97500 before continuing. Kong Dan first cut off or close to 1100, and the bottom of Dou fell again or nearly 1000, closing at 6873, and continued all the way again during the day. Sheng, not a single bamboo shoot pill. Needless to say, our strength is the best proof! #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC
On December 24, 9000 oil roots were released. On the 25th, the 3rd day of the day, BTC Shipan and Sulu simultaneously prompted, first wait for the pullback and then buy Juduodan, once again cut or 1100 points, and close at 7753 oil. Direction is more important than speed, stick to your original intention and move forward steadily, and success will come as planned. #BTC #BTC走势分析 $BTC