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Exciting moments for cryptocurrency enthusiasts of $BTC ! Let's explore the potential of $BTC , which symbolizes the opportunities and growth of Bitcoin. Whether you are an experienced investor or just starting out, understanding the role of $BTC in the cryptocurrency ecosystem is key. Join the conversation and stay updated!

The small non-farm payrolls are coming in succession, Trump is taking office, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates. What should we do?
Tonight, two important data points are to be released: one is the small non-farm payrolls at 21:15, and the other is the initial jobless claims at 21:30. These two data points are expected to show that the number of people looking for jobs has decreased and job growth has slowed, which may lead the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates. By Friday, there is a more significant non-farm payrolls report, and if it aligns with expectations, the likelihood of an interest rate cut will increase.
Trump is about to take office. Although he may not be particularly focused on cryptocurrency, his policies will still have a long-term impact on this sector, such as regulation and openness. I believe he will push some favorable policies for the crypto market, but don't expect this to make you rich overnight.
In the early hours of the 30th, the Federal Reserve will decide whether to cut interest rates, depending on how this month's data looks. If the data is strong, a 25 basis point cut is a done deal, which would increase the money supply in the market and improve liquidity.
Speaking of market reactions, even if the data looks good, the market can still behave erratically, as seen with last night's sudden plunge, where small-cap stocks were severely impacted. But this might be creating space for the new government, allowing large funds to quietly change hands in preparation for a significant rally ahead.

Why is 2025 going to be a bull market in the cryptocurrency space?
For example, on June 19, 2022, Ethereum fell to over $800. The reason it dropped so low was due to many institutions facing crises, large holders being liquidated, and coupled with the Federal Reserve raising interest rates, the external environment was quite harsh, which led to this drop.
However, due to the positive news from Ethereum's upgrade, it rose from June 19 to August 14 to over $2000, doubling in value.
Many people believe that 2025 will be a bull market in the cryptocurrency space based on the cycles, and one significant indicator of the cycle is Bitcoin's halving. If Ethereum can surge against such a harsh environment, then Bitcoin's halving will attract even more attention, and by that time, the external economy may not be so harsh, and it is more likely that the Federal Reserve will inject liquidity again.
Therefore, many people, including myself, are positioning themselves, preparing to buy at the bottom by the end of next year. However, there are differences between individuals; some people may call for buying at the bottom but hesitate when the actual bottom arrives. Those who dare to buy and hold will reap substantial profits.
The cyclicality of the cryptocurrency space will weaken with the rise in Bitcoin prices and the entry of traditional institutions, but at least in the next bull market and the one after that, these are still very effective indicators.
Finally, what I have written here is not for everyone; if you are the type who constantly shouts about Ponzi schemes or tulip mania, you can scroll past. There are many educational resources available that you choose not to see, and you also disregard the growth of the cryptocurrency market and the long-standing consensus, so there’s not much to discuss.
Has this world ever not been a Ponzi?

With the decline in prices, panic has indeed emerged, as a large number of recently bottom-fishing loss chips are accelerating their exit, worried that prices will further collapse. Early investors are still in a watchful mode, so although there is panic, it is limited to short-term investors, while the sentiment of earlier investors remains very stable. From the supporting data, $95,000 is still a very good central point. Even the highest accumulation at $97,000 has not shown signs of collapse, which is one of the reasons I believe that the sentiment of most investors remains relatively stable. Next week, the support will be revised again, and it should be adjusted downwards somewhat.

#币安MegadropSOLV Be quick, the event will last until the 17th. The third phase of Megadrop has begun. Step 1: Buy at least 0.00011 BTC and more than 0.002 BNB (for gas fees on the chain)
2. Transfer BTC and BNB to your Binance wallet, click to receive and select the BSC chain, and transfer through the Binance wallet.
"Step 2: Stake BTCB and mint SolvBTC on the Solv protocol"
1. Enter Megadrop, click [Do Task], and click [Start Now]
2. Enter the amount of BTCB to stake. Please note that you need to stake at least 0.0001 BTCB.
3. Return to the Megadrop task details page and click "Verify" to confirm your task status. Note that after completing the pledge, some accounts may need to wait for 1 hour (or longer) to be successfully verified, please be patient.
4. Finally, please make sure the task is marked as "Completed".

Those who say the bull market is over are mostly waiting for the opportunity to take over. Every round of bull market follows a fixed pattern: first, Bitcoin leads the rise, then some old coins rebound after deep washout, followed by the rotation of core altcoins, and finally the speculation of new coins. For example, the DOGE I previously invested in has nearly quintupled in just one month, and old coins like ZEN have also seen several times increase. In such a market, 100,000 yuan can easily turn into hundreds of thousands; this is the unique charm of the crypto world. If you missed the earlier opportunities, don't worry, there are still bigger and stronger opportunities ahead. The real big market hasn't fully erupted yet. The coins that often have the potential for explosive growth share a few common characteristics: they are emerging core narrative leader coins with strong fundamentals, heavily controlled by major funds, and have relatively low market capitalization. These coins have explosive potential and are expected to welcome greater upward space in the future. The key to investment and trading lies in logic and systematization; thorough research and reasonable layout are essential. You need to have confidence in the coins you hold, so you can maintain a stable mindset amid market fluctuations and ultimately achieve excess returns. In a bull market, every pullback is actually an opportunity to pick up money. What really determines whether you can make money is your vision and courage. A few months later, you will surely be grateful for today's decision.

Major positive news expected for #加密市场反弹 , likely to rebound
Trump's Return
On January 20, 2025, Trump is set to take office as President of the United States again. He has always had a friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies and is expected to introduce more policies supporting blockchain and digital assets. The market holds optimistic expectations for his return, which may drive steady development in the crypto industry in the long run.
Starting from January 6, FTX will launch a debt repayment plan totaling up to $16 billion, expected to be completed within 60 days. This substantial influx of funds into the market will greatly boost liquidity and inject vitality into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Market sentiment is expected to improve, potentially leading to a wave of price rebounds.

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#2025加密趋势预测
2025 Crypto Predictions
1. Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Matures Further
Trend: More traditional financial institutions participate in DeFi, bridging traditional finance and blockchain through compatibility protocols.
Impact: Provides more complex financial instruments (such as decentralized options, insurance, etc.), enhancing user experience and compliance.
Challenge: Improving the regulatory framework remains key.
2. Breakthroughs in Blockchain Scalability
Trend: Widespread adoption of Layer 2 solutions (such as ZK-rollups, Optimistic Rollups) and new blockchain architectures (such as modular blockchains).
Impact: Increased transaction speed, reduced Gas fees, paving the way for large-scale applications.
Challenge: The pace of developer education and ecosystem building needs to keep up.
3. Rapid Expansion of the Web3 Ecosystem
Trend: Increased applications in decentralized social networks, content creation, storage, and gaming.
Impact: More users begin to experience Web3, participating in the ecosystem through NFTs, DAOs, and other forms.
Challenge: User experience and privacy protection need further optimization.
4. Regulation and Compliance Become Focal Points
Trend: Governments worldwide strengthen regulation of crypto assets and launch Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
Impact: Compliant projects may gain more mainstream recognition, but pose certain challenges to the spirit of decentralization.
Challenge: How to balance regulation and innovation.
5. Integration of Artificial Intelligence and Blockchain
Trend: AI-generated data and models are stored on the blockchain to ensure transparency and traceability.
Impact: Achieves more application scenarios in industries such as healthcare, supply chain, and finance.
Challenge: Integration costs and the establishment of technical standards.
6. Widespread Application of Privacy Technologies
Trend: Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKP), homomorphic encryption, and other technologies gradually enter mainstream applications.
Impact: Protects user privacy while achieving more efficient blockchain operations.
Challenge: Technical complexity and performance optimization.
7. Cross-Chain Interoperability Becomes Standard
Trend: Cross-chain bridges and interoperability protocols (such as Polkadot, Cosmos) are more widely used.
Impact: Facilitates resource sharing and asset flow between different blockchains.
Challenge: Security issues still need attention.

Some bulls have a big vision and are already seeing 110,000. I think the possibility of this is not high. If we can really see 101,000, everyone can short it. Looking down to 93,800, the profit in this range is not small. To really attack and seize territory upwards, a proper pullback must happen so that we can truly stand firm above the resistance level... It has already rebounded for a few days, and this wave has also allowed the bulls to earn a lot, while the bears are in disarray.
Some bulls have a big vision and are already seeing 110,000. I think the possibility of this is not high. If we can really see 101,000, everyone can short it. Looking down to 93,800, the profit in this range is not small. To really attack and seize territory upwards, a proper pullback must happen so that we can truly stand firm above the resistance level...
The above personal opinion does not constitute investment advice.
The above personal opinion does not constitute investment advice. Some bulls have a big vision and are already seeing 110,000. I think the possibility of this is not high. If we can really see 101,000, everyone can short it. Looking down to 93,800, the profit in this range is not small. To really attack and seize territory upwards, a proper pullback must happen so that we can truly stand firm above the resistance level... It has already rebounded for a few days, and this wave has also allowed the bulls to earn a lot, while the bears are in disarray.
Some bulls have a big vision and are already seeing 110,000. I think the possibility of this is not high. If we can really see 101,000, everyone can short it. Looking down to 93,800, the profit in this range is not small. To really attack and seize territory upwards, a proper pullback must happen so that we can truly stand firm above the resistance level...

#市场反弹迹象 #市场反弹迹象 Recently, Ethereum (ETH) has shown significant signs of rebound in the cryptocurrency market. As market sentiment improves and institutional investors continue to flow in, the price of Ethereum keeps rising.
From the price trend, Ethereum has experienced a wave of upward movement recently. Particularly in mid-December 2024, the price of Ethereum once broke through the $4000 barrier, reaching a peak of $4020.19. Although the price subsequently adjusted, on December 18, it still fluctuated between $3846 and $3941, with the current price around $3939.18. In addition, predictions indicate that by December 31, 2024, the price of Ethereum could even reach $5000. This upward trend not only reflects the warming market sentiment but also demonstrates the strong potential and attractiveness of Ethereum as a representative public chain of the blockchain 2.0 era.
Although the cryptocurrency market remains full of uncertainty and volatility, the rebound signs of Ethereum are evident. With the continuous improvement of the market environment and the gradual recovery of investor confidence, Ethereum is expected to maintain an upward trend in the near future. However, investors should remain cautious when participating in the market, closely monitoring market dynamics and fundamental changes to make more informed investment decisions.$ETH

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After experiencing a continuous market decline, #加密市场盘整 is welcoming a rebound. Whether to buy at the bottom or remain cautious requires careful consideration. Here are some points to keep in mind:
1. Market Risk: The cryptocurrency market still carries significant risks; even if a rebound occurs, there is no guarantee that prices will continue to rise.
2. In-depth Research: Before making decisions, it is necessary to conduct in-depth research on relevant cryptocurrency projects, understanding their technological foundations, team backgrounds, application scenarios, etc.
3. Risk Tolerance: Assess your own risk tolerance to ensure that the decisions made will not have a significant impact on personal or family finances.
4. Diversified Investment: Do not concentrate all funds into one cryptocurrency; consider diversifying investments to reduce risk.
5. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, including policy changes and industry development trends.
6. Avoid Blindly Following Trends: Do not make decisions solely based on others' advice or short-term market fluctuations.
7. Long-Term Perspective: Cryptocurrency investment is more suitable for investors with a long-term perspective, avoiding excessive focus on short-term price fluctuations.
Most importantly, investing in cryptocurrency should be based on your financial situation, investment goals, risk tolerance, and a thorough understanding of the market. If you are unfamiliar with the cryptocurrency market or uncertain about how to proceed, it is advisable to consult a professional financial advisor or further learn relevant knowledge. Additionally, pay attention to the legality and security of investments.

#BTC走势 Christmas is approaching, and there have been some market fluctuations during Christmas week over the years.
According to PANews statistics, the price trend of Bitcoin one week before and after Christmas from 2014 to 2022.
The probability of a decline is approximately 44.4%, with an average decline of -3.7%.
The probability of an increase is approximately 55.6%, with an average increase of 8.2%.
Will Bitcoin rise or fall this Christmas?

Turn Over

The premise of a bull market is waterproofing. As long as there's a rate cut expectation, the bull won't stop. Back in the day during 312, it was devastating, but we got through it. Are you afraid of this small decline now? As for ETH, getting back above 4000 shouldn't be a big problem; waiting to surpass the previous high will depend on how the big shots on Wall Street think. The expectation of Bitcoin reaching 100,000 has actually been anticipated; everyone has high expectations. Isn't human nature greedy? BNB steadily participates in new listings; sometimes, making short-term trades can earn more than participating in new listings, it just depends on the strategy.

#市场调整後的机会？ The more chaotic the market is, the more one must remain calm. Here are my personal thoughts on the market conditions during this period:
1. Has the bull market ended?
The main reason for the rise since November 6 is the favorable expectations for cryptocurrency policies brought about by Trump's victory. The continued rise next year mainly depends on more favorable policies towards cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, including a more relaxed regulatory framework and BTC strategic reserves. This main storyline has not changed, so the bull market is likely to continue. However, attention must also be paid to the extent of expectations for the realization of favorable policies for cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, as this could potentially lead to the end of the bull market.
2. Why has BTC fallen in the last two days?
The direct reason is that the Federal Reserve's statement last night was more hawkish than the market expected. However, at this level, the market had already anticipated a reduction in interest rate cuts by 2025, and this time the dot plot forecast was only one cut fewer than the market's expectations. Logically, this shouldn't lead to such a severe pullback. If it has occurred, it can only be said that it is due to excessive panic in the market combined with a chain reaction from large holders' positions being liquidated. Past experiences have shown that panic-driven declines often recover.
3. What happened to altcoins? Will there be another altcoin season?
Altcoins have been the worst hit these days. In the past couple of days, while BTC rose, altcoins did not rise and even fell. However, looking back at the rally in early November, BTC initially rose alone, draining the market, and the market was in despair. But once BTC broke through key levels and capital overflowed, altcoins began to perform. Therefore, as long as BTC can maintain its rise, there will definitely be an altcoin season. This is because profit-driven capital will inevitably overflow, which is human nature and the essence of any financial market's operation; even in strong markets like the US stock market, we see that when the Nasdaq rises significantly, small-cap stocks like the Russell 2000 also catch up.
4. When will the altcoin season arrive?
Once BTC breaks through key price levels and temporarily rests sideways, altcoins will explode. From the current perspective, it is likely to be at key levels. Previously it was 100,000, and the next should be 110,000, 120,000, 130,000, etc. If the expected peak of this bull market is 150,000, then altcoins have four more chances to explode, but the risk will increase as we move later into the cycle. Altcoins should still focus on strong sector leaders; based on previous gains, meme coins, public chains, DeFi, RWA, etc., are relatively strong sectors.

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