"ETH Trend Becomes a Benchmark for Altcoins: The Bull Market is Not Over, Institutional Fund Movements are Key"💥

Is there an altcoin season? It depends on how ETH (Ethereum) performs.

BTC has broken previous highs and is heading towards $100,000, while ETH hasn't even broken its previous high, so it's normal for altcoins to not perform well right now.

The altcoin market depends on the changes in the BTC and ETH exchange rate. If BTC continues to rise and ETH can outpace BTC, altcoins might surge, but I have some doubts about the current liquidity.

If ETH remains this weak, there will definitely be no altcoin season, at most a few strong coins may make an appearance. If BTC also takes a hit, hoping for its liquidity to flow into altcoins is just wishful thinking.

Don't cling to old ideas; policies, fundamentals, and liquidity have changed. Institutions love BTC, and ETH's ETF is just a drop in the bucket.

Value coins have been issued too much, market caps are huge, and there are massive unlocks; this liquidity is not enough to pull up altcoins. Anyway, this is my view; different positions lead to different thoughts.

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Friends, Bitcoin has been falling steadily these past couple of days, with small volume and small fluctuations; this is a healthy secondary test.

However, Bitcoin is still in a situation where both the bottom of the decline and the peak of the rebound are moving downwards, so it's hard to say whether the secondary test is completed or not.

Looking at the moving averages, this test has been suppressed by the 72-hour moving average; it needs to break through for the test to be considered complete.

Fortunately, today USDT has been issued more, and there are positive changes in volume and price; the rebound volume exceeds the decline volume, so the secondary test is likely nearing its end.

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Five Commandments of Cryptocurrency Investment: Steady Strategies for Long-Term Success 🤔🤔

1. Don't Let Greed Cloud Your Judgment

When cryptocurrency prices soar, don't get greedy or impulsively jump in; otherwise, it will be painful when they drop. Invest steadily, avoid the stumbling block of greed.

2. Plan Ahead, Don't Rush Blindly

Set your price before investing, take profits when prices rise, and cut losses to protect your capital when they fall. Don't let emotions mislead you; a reliable plan guarantees profit.

3. Be Patient and Wait for the Right Moment

The crypto market is as changeable as the weather in June. Learn from experienced hunters: patiently wait for opportunities, avoid following the crowd, study the patterns, and only act when the time is right for better returns.

4. Don't Put All Your Eggs in One Basket

Avoid investing all in one cryptocurrency; diversify across multiple coins to safeguard your capital.

5. Stay Committed for the Long Haul

Cryptocurrency investment is like a long march. Stay vigilant and practice diligently, keep pace with the market trends, and move cautiously through the maze to reach long-term prosperity.

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December 23 Daily Hotspot Highlights Summary 😀😀

1. Trump's nomination of a Bitcoin supporter to lead the Economic Advisory Council draws attention.

2. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates unchanged in January next year; Barclays expects a pause in rate cuts until mid-2026 after June next year.

3. The market shows strong risk aversion and significant capital outflow pressure during the Christmas holiday.

4. MicroStrategy may increase its Bitcoin holdings and has related actions; Hut 8 will build Bitcoin reserves.

5. This week, 34.6 million USD worth of MRS tokens will be unlocked, and nearly 12 billion USD in options will expire.

6. CZ recommends transferring cryptocurrencies to self-owned addresses; the live stream suggests the market trend is not bad and operations should be low-key; Greeks.live indicates that buying options around the end of January before Trump's inauguration is a good opportunity.

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Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and Strategies Before and After Christmas 🔥🔥

1. Market During Christmas👇

Every year, the market tends to pull back around Christmas. This year, after a sharp drop on the 20th, it rebounded and is currently in a slow pullback phase, which will continue until Christmas ends.

2. Strategy After Christmas👇

Can we buy the dip after Christmas?

Personally, I think it's possible, provided that no other unexpected events occur.

In the next couple of days, I recommend only establishing initial positions and primarily focusing on short-term trading strategies.

In fact, preparations are already being made for the post-Christmas layout.

From the perspective of altcoins, the Trump family is also buying into altcoins, which indirectly indicates that there may be certain opportunities in altcoins, so everyone shouldn't be too worried.

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Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Over the Next Three Months: Seize the Life-Changing Opportunities 💥💥

The next three months are crucial!

Firstly, Bitcoin is likely to reach its peak between the end of December and January, marking the end of its strong phase, as funds will flow into altcoins. The highly lucrative altcoin season is about to arrive.

Secondly, based on the previous two cycles, altcoins usually surge dramatically in the eighth month after Bitcoin's halving, which will be in January 2025 this time.

It is expected that the market in February - March next year will be as explosive as early this year, or even stronger, with an extremely high likelihood of altcoins surging 5 - 10 times in a single month.

Currently, we just need to wait and see the market conditions; when opportunities arise, we should seize them and fully embrace the altcoin season. This is the last great opportunity in this bull market—grab it, open a new chapter of wealth, and enjoy a bright future!

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Can ten thousand in a bull market earn a million?

In this bull market, it is possible to turn ten thousand into a million, and a specific executable plan has been provided. Specific operational strategy

Buying timing and selection:

When Bitcoin's weekly chart is above ma20, choose two or three new coins or bear market hot coins like apt or op to buy. If Bitcoin drops below ma20, stop loss. With a deposit of twenty thousand, investing ten thousand allows for three failed attempts.

Profit-taking operation:

For coins like apt, sell when it rises 4 - 5 times. Small funds should continuously buy new coins according to this strategy. Ethereum and Bitcoin are not recommended, as their price increase is unlikely to reach the million target.

Expected returns and time cycle: From the bear market to the bull market, if you can achieve three times a 5-fold return, it can reach about 125 times. The entire process may take as short as one year or as long as three years.

Subsequent recommendations:

If you fail three times or feel uncomfortable, distance yourself from the crypto circle and focus on work and self-improvement. If you encounter a bear market in your thirties, try again, but if you fail again, it's best to stop altogether.

Execution strategy requires patience, enter the market according to the rules and set stop losses; if things get chaotic, leave early.

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Many people are like me, wondering why ORDI keeps falling?

It has a large trading volume and a lot of contracts, and it is also a powerful player in the BTC ecosystem.

There are many people working hard in the entire BTC ecosystem, and many project parties are developing it. How can it keep falling, and its market value is almost not as good as PI?

It is not just an ordinary meme coin, it is a track-level innovation.

Even if it is a meme coin, it is the first on BTC. It shouldn’t keep falling like this, right?

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Crypto market on Friday: Powell's remarks triggered a decisive battle between longs and shorts! 💥

Friday is a key trading day

Tonight is Friday, the last trading day of the week, and the longs and shorts will usher in a key decisive battle. Powell's influence

Powell's words in the early morning of the 18th caused more than 200,000 people to blow up their positions, and the contract liquidation amount exceeded 4.4 billion, which hit the bottom-fishing funds again.

In this case, if the market wants to strengthen again in the short term, new policies are needed to stimulate it.

Current market opportunities

Given the impact of Powell's speech, the market is likely to use this to launch a violent wash-out action against copycat products before the bull market comes. If you still have funds on hand, now is a good time to enter the market.

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Analysis of cryptocurrency market: Current situation of decline, subsequent expectations and inventory of currencies to watch 👇

Current situation of market🔥

The current market is in a state of decline, and it has been falling for three consecutive days. Panic is spreading in the market. Everyone is wondering whether the bull market is over and when it is suitable to buy the bottom.

Subsequent expectations🔥

It depends on whether the market can stabilize over the weekend. If it can stabilize, it is expected to slowly rebound next week. The bull market is still there.

Even if the positions held at low levels have shrunk to a certain extent now, don’t worry too much. You must hold firmly to avoid missing the entire bull market due to lack of early layout.

Focus on currencies🔥

Coins worth paying attention to, such as MKR, USUAL, and ONDO, are usually currencies that perform relatively strongly when the market stabilizes and rises. Among them, mkr is now in the official stage of compensating for the rise.

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Summary of the rules of the currency circle👍👍

👉Common views and essence:

Common views in the currency circle are mostly based on the assumption that "this time is different", such as the alt season will not come, only meme coins will rise, etc.

The unchanging rule is that the relevant coins will rise when the alt season comes, and the coins will be pulled when the time comes to pull the market. After the short-term liquidity of Binance reaches its peak, it often distributes or absorbs funds

The change is that the alt season comes, but the order of coin pulls is uncertain. Although Binance has high liquidity, it still depends on the market value and market funds. For example, SATS and Neiro have the situation of pulling first and then operating

👉Summary and insights:
In short, the routines of the currency circle are different every time, but you can slowly figure out the rules after playing for a long time

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#市场调整後的机会？

12.20 Friday Economic Data and Events Highlights 🔥🔥

Asian Session:

07:30 Japan November Core CPI Year-on-Year, related to Japan's price level and inflation situation.

09:00 China One-Year Loan Market Quote Rate as of December 20, an important indicator for China's credit market.

European Session:

15:00 Germany November PPI Month-on-Month, reflects changes in Germany's industrial production prices.

15:00 UK November Seasonally Adjusted Retail Sales Month-on-Month, reflects the vitality of the UK retail market.

19:00 UK December CBI Retail Sales Balance, an important observation point for the UK retail commercial situation.

American Session:

20:30 Federal Reserve's Daly interviewed, may reveal clues about the Fed's policy direction.

21:30 Canada October Retail Sales Month-on-Month, shows the state of Canadian retail consumption.

21:30 US November Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year, Month-on-Month and Personal Spending Month-on-Month, these data are crucial for assessing the US economic condition and inflation levels.

23:00 Eurozone December Consumer Confidence Index Preliminary Value, reflects the strength of consumer confidence in the Eurozone.

23:00 US December One-Year Inflation Rate Expectation Preliminary Value, University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Preliminary Value, related to US future inflation expectations and consumer sentiment.

Next Day 02:00 US Total Oil Rig Count as of December 20, affects supply expectations in the oil market.

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The cryptocurrency market is oscillating under the shadow of the Federal Reserve, and Puppycoin has become a potential ray of hope 💥💥

Coin circle dynamics 👀

Reasons for the market decline: The Federal Reserve meeting caused a general decline in the cryptocurrency market, and investors became more concerned about its interest rate meeting, paying attention to the 25 basis point rate cut expectations, dot plots and Powell's speech.

Impact of high interest rates: The Federal Reserve may only cut interest rates 2-4 times in 2025. The high interest rate has increased the risk of black swans and delayed easing, and the cryptocurrency market has been suppressed.

Focus of the Bank of Japan: Whether it will raise interest rates has become a focus. Although the possibility is small, it may cause volatility during sensitive periods, and risk aversion demand will suppress digital assets.

Highlights of Puppycoin: Musk's concept Puppycoin Puppies is very popular, and it is rumored that there will be big moves. Musk fans can pay attention to find opportunities.

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Bitcoin Trend Judgment 👇👇👇

The trend can be judged by the four-hour upward support trend line constructed from the low point of 86666 on November 15.

As long as this trend line is not broken, it indicates that the short-term upward trend of Bitcoin remains intact, even if there is a pullback of nearly ten thousand points.

A round of movement includes multiple different stages such as rebounds, fluctuations, and pullbacks; even a strong bull market cannot continue to rise unilaterally.

Currently, the overall upward trend of Bitcoin is good. Although this pullback is relatively large in both strength and magnitude, first, it has not broken the support trend line,

second, it is influenced by news. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes or cuts do not affect the overall direction of cryptocurrencies but will have a real-time stimulating effect on short-term fluctuations.

The support level on the four-hour line is at 98500, which is roughly the low point of the morning pullback. In the short term, we can first pay attention to the support situation at this position.

If it can hold, Bitcoin will continue to rebound based on this position.

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Explore the daily secrets of the cryptocurrency market and seize strong trading opportunities 💰

Daily level technical analysis👇

The price is steadily above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and although there has been a pullback, the strong pattern remains unchanged, maintaining an upward trend.

The daily chart shows a rebound trend, with significant signs of recovering lost ground, higher lows, and sufficient short-term rebound momentum. The pullback is unlikely to change the bullish dominance, which could be a trap for shorts. Overall, the outlook is bullish.

Analysis of small cycle technical indicators👇

The price has received solid support near 98000 and has been confirmed. According to the pattern, a rebound is highly likely to follow. It has actually stabilized above the critical level of 100000, and a pullback near this level is a good buying opportunity.

Trading strategy👇

Bitcoin: Long at a price of 100600 during the day, stop loss at 90800, target at 101800. Ethereum: Long at a price of 3650 during the day, stop loss at 3610, target at 3710.

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1. Current Status of ETH and Altcoins👀

Although ETH has seen continuous net inflows of funds, it cannot withstand Binance (BN) listing 8 spot pairs in half a month, leading to a significant drain of liquidity due to the various coins being listed, causing altcoins to crash directly.

Moreover, the liquidity of altcoins is already poor, and many overvalued junk coins are tying up capital, making liquidity even worse. The current situation looks quite bleak.

2. Technical Analysis of ETH👀

From a technical perspective, ETH is currently retracing to a major trendline, with key support levels present here. This pullback has been like helping an elderly lady down the stairs, dropping in three waves from last night to now, and it should be nearing its end.

3. Future Expectations👀
Given the current situation, there aren’t many alternatives; we can only wait and see if a rebound will occur.

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1. Recent Trends of SOL👇

The recent trends of SOL are astonishing, with significant rebounds occurring after each adjustment, with minimum increases exceeding 30%, and even doubling.

2. Current and Future Trend Expectations👇

The current adjustment may be nearing its end, market sentiment is slowly warming up, and it is expected to continue soaring, with possible increases exceeding 30%.

3. Operational Suggestions👇

Short-term Operations: Patiently wait for SOL to break through key levels, then decisively enter the market, while also being cautious of volatility risks to achieve greater profits.

Long-term Operations: For those planning to hold long-term, holding until March next year is expected to yield at least a 5-fold increase.

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Is XRP expected to hit $100, $300, or $500? 😀

Wow, XRP is a super famous cryptocurrency!

During the bull market from 2017 to 2018, it was impressive, with the price skyrocketing from $0.003 in January 2017

to $3.31 in January 2018, an increase of 109,899%, which has made many people optimistic about its future.

However, it has a circulating supply of 57.1 billion, so many analysts are skeptical about whether it can reach $100, $300, or $500.

If XRP rises to $100, its market cap would become $5.7 trillion, which is higher than the total global cryptocurrency market cap;

if it rises to $300, the market cap would be $17.13 trillion, almost catching up with the gold market cap;

if it rises to $500, the market cap would soar to $28.55 trillion, exceeding the market cap of all historical assets.

So, given the current situation, it is almost impossible for XRP to reach these prices, unless there is a huge change in the market. 🤔

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1. Summary of Major Events on December 18👇👇

Biden seeks to ban stock trading by Congress members, Trump wins the election and meets with cryptocurrency company CEOs for business appointments.

In the technology and finance sectors:

BlackRock launches a Bitcoin educational video. OpenAI significantly reduces the cost of its open o1 model API, allowing employees to sell stock for rewards. BVNK secures $50 million in Series B funding, led by Haun Ventures.

Regarding cryptocurrency regulations: The European Securities and Markets Authority releases the final guidelines for the implementation of MiCA cryptocurrency regulations, and the Ohio House of Representatives submits a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

Bitcoin market share situation: Since the beginning of 2023, the BTC - EUR market share has surpassed the BTC - JPY market share for the first time.

2. BTC Trend Analysis

Last night, Bitcoin hit a new high and is currently in the upper range of the 4-hour channel, with the upward trend remaining bullish. Its ETF outperforms gold and shows strong momentum; avoid betting on bearish candles. The local support near 103,400 can be a good entry point for longs, with extreme spikes around 102,000.

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1. Daily K-line situation and overall trend analysis 🤩

The daily K-line strongly breaks historical records, reaching a maximum of 108355, with consecutive bullish candles and dual favorable news.

The EMA15 support is at 101000, and the EMA30 support key point is at 97000. Although there are signs of increasing volume, golden cross, and the Bollinger Bands opening

the MACD shows a severe top divergence, with the K-line diverging for three days. The market greed index has reached a peak of 87, and the overall major trend remains bullish.

2. Four-hour K-line situation and operational thoughts 👇

The four-hour K-line shows a long upper shadow, possibly indicating that the main force is taking profits. A short position can be tested above 108000.
The target is to look at EMA15 support at 105500 and EMA30 support at 104000, as the MACD indicator has changed, indicating a bearish cross.

Conservative traders can wait for a bottoming out to go long, as the larger trend is bullish, making shorting more risky.

3. Specific short-term trading suggestions 🤔

Shorting: Testing position from 108000 to 108500, with a stop loss at 109000, risking 500 points, targeting 106500 to 106000, and if broken, looking at 105500 to 105000.

Going long: Testing position from 105000 to 104500, with a stop loss at 104000, risking 500 points, targeting 106000 to 106500, and if broken, looking at 107000 to 107500.

Emphasize to manage stop losses in trading, aiming for small losses and big gains.

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