Bottoming strategy for altcoins

For altcoins that have not risen sharply (within 2 times of increase) and are obviously operated by market makers and have relatively large trading volumes, it is usually safer to bottom-fish when the price falls back by 25%.

This operation is not complicated. Just pay attention to those K-line charts that look like pins, choose the currency you like and are confident in its future, and buy it if the bull market is confirmed (before buying, you can observe Bitcoin and wait for it to fall briefly to form a small waterfall, which is safer).

This way of buying gives people a sense of steadiness, but requires great patience because no transactions will occur during this period.

For currencies that have risen sharply (within four or five times of increase), start to rise from a market value of less than or near 100 million. Usually, when the market value reaches 500 million, the rise will be weak.

Therefore, bottom-fishing for this kind of currency can be considered from two angles:

Choose the right time to bottom-fish according to the K-line pattern near 2 times the price of the starting point. Bottom-fishing at 20-25% of its highest price.

No matter which situation occurs, the corresponding bottom-fishing operation should be carried out accordingly.

At the same time, in addition to the bottom-fishing price, the bottom-fishing time is also very critical:

For coins that have not risen sharply, it is necessary to find the opportunity to bottom-fish when the Bitcoin price rebounds.

For coins that have risen sharply, it is best to bottom-fish in the time window of the first wave of market crashes, because hot money has not yet completely flowed out at this time, and the profit opportunity is higher. It is not suitable to participate in other periods.

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Is the alt season coming again?

The recent market dynamics seem to be brewing another wave of "alt season".

Some people believe that the previous sunk costs will make us hesitate at critical moments, but once the opportunity comes, we must act decisively.

Shenyu once said that there is no sign of "alt season", but the key lies in how to define "alt season".

Without a clear standard, any view may stand.

I think the "alt season" may still exist, but the time is not yet ripe.

And my definition of "alt season" is different from the traditional understanding.

If 75% of the top 50 tokens outperform BTC in the past 90 days, it can be regarded as an alt season. Note: Stablecoins (such as Tether, DAI, etc.) and asset-backed tokens (such as WBTC, stETH, cLINK, etc.) are not included in the top 50. ”

In other words:

If 75% of the top 50 tokens outperformed BTC in the past 90 days, then it is an "alt season".

This standard needs to be reiterated three times to ensure accurate understanding.

Currently, the number of altcoins counted on CoinMarketCap has reached 2.4 million.

We need to think: Among these 2.4 million altcoins, can a 20% or 50% increase be considered an "alt season"?

In fact, the round of AI and inscription-led market that started in November 2023 has essentially constituted an "alt season". 👗👉➩BNB0098

Because the alt season index rose from the bottom to 75, it is enough to prove this.

If you disagree, then there is obviously a difference in our understanding of "alt season". #山寨季何时到来？ #山寨现货布局如何布局 #AI概念币普涨 #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #加密市场反弹

The recent rise in BTC price has led to a significant increase in network activity, possibly signaling a resurgence of selling pressure. The following is the specific situation of transfers within a few days:

September 18: 4,924 BTC held for 2 to 3 years and 16,707 BTC held for 1 week to 1 month were transferred.

September 19: 17,160 BTC held for 1 week to 1 month and 1,617 BTC held for 3 to 6 months were transferred.

September 20: 17,019 BTC held for 1 week to 1 month, 1,405 BTC held for 1 to 3 months, 2,071 BTC held for 3 to 6 months, and 6 to 12 months held were transferred 7,013 BTC, 1,154 BTC held for 12 to 18 months, and 1,457 BTC held for 18 months to 2 years.

September 23: 29,292 BTC held for 6 to 12 months and 6,398 BTC held for 1 week to 1 month were transferred.

September 24: 4,389 BTC held for 1 to 3 months and 1,621 BTC held for 1 week to 1 month were transferred.

Overall, the number of transfers in each currency holding period has increased significantly, which is particularly prominent in the recent rising market. 👗👉➩BNB0098

As prices rise and transfer activity increases, BTC's upward momentum may be dampened, so be wary of this. $BTC

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🚨Liquidation Alert! (BTC) has experienced a total of $23.29 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours! 📉

Longs were hit the hardest with $16.42 million, while shorts faced $6.87 million.

Long liquidation leverage rose to $1.43 billion, while shorts saw $1.94 billion.

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BTC Update and Liquidation Heatmap

BTC volatility has not changed much since yesterday's update, and the market is still consolidating.

Key triggers and price levels to watch:

Hourly to 4-hour chart: A break below $62,700 will likely retest $61,700 and even $60,500.

Daily chart: Watch for a close above $64,000.

If it can retest and hold this level, it could form effective support and further target $68,000. If it fails to do so, the current volatile consolidation could continue.

Another scenario is a quick rise to $66,000 to remove liquidity, followed by an immediate drop below $63,800, which would confirm the deviation.

In this case, $56,000-57,000 could be targeted, which is the downside liquidity cluster we are observing. 👗👉➩BNB0098

My view on BTC remains unchanged, unless we see a close above $65,100 on the weekly chart, confirming a breakout and forming a higher high (HH), the downside risk remains.

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The four-hour pressure has never been broken through, and it has returned to the upward trend. The small support level ahead can be used to intervene and go long. The idea of ​​low-to-long is that ETH lacks too much growth. From yesterday's morphological structure, ETH's performance has not followed the market.

BTC has failed to sprint to 65 several times. The selling pressure here is still relatively large. If it fails to rush up, it may continue to rush up after a correction. How much the correction is unknown? Therefore, the idea of ​​low-to-long is in line with the current market

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Analysis of ETH:

On the 4-hour chart, it is currently in a box-shaped oscillation, and MACD has a high-level dead cross, accompanied by a top divergence and an evening star pattern. It is expected that the price will continue to rise after the top divergence is repaired.

Although the small level shows a range oscillation, the overall trend is still in a large-scale upward trend.

The daily chart is under pressure from a double top pattern, and the key range is between 64,500 and 65,000.

According to market analysis, the obvious large-scale upward trend may reach a maximum of 68,000 this week.

Today, there are still some unexploded long orders below 62,500, which may need to be cleaned up before further upward movement, although this is not inevitable. If this area is really touched, it will be a good buying opportunity. 👗👉➩BNB0098

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In the future, there is no need to pay attention to the half-year-long dotted short trend, and you can turn to the solid triangle and horizontal shock trends. 😍

This year, the correlation between BTC and US stocks is indeed very strong, similar to what will happen during the bear market in 2022. The emergence of ETFs has changed the overall four-year cycle to a great extent, and it is expected to rise in October 2023.

Recent predictions suggest that there may be a correction in U.S. stocks this year, and the real bull market will have to wait until the end of next year.

I think this view is reasonable. The basis of this assumption is that interest rate cuts may lead to a correction in U.S. stocks, and the impact of current macroeconomic factors is greater than the halving cycle. Therefore, BTC is also facing a major cycle adjustment.

I'm on the fence about these two hypotheses, and while there is a trend, it's not confirmed yet. Will cutting interest rates really cause the market to fall?

Perhaps not if a good soft landing could be achieved. At the same time, whether macro factors are indeed greater than the impact of the halving cycle still requires further observation. However, there is no doubt that macro-level influencing factors will become increasingly significant. 👗👉➩BNB0098

If the currency circle wants to usher in a bull market, it must rely on favorable macro factors to form its own unique bull market trend. Only when the currency circle can achieve excess returns on U.S. stocks will this be a true bull market for the currency circle.

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In fact, 0905 and 0805 formed a double bottom pattern, and 0905 also showed a clear bottom divergence, which indicates that the bullish trend may be very strong, far exceeding the rebound of 65k, and may even evolve into a bull market.

Despite some weakness at present, BTC's callback is only 1k, and the overall strength remains.

As long as this callback ends, it is very likely to hit 65k or 67k, of course, the premise is that the callback range cannot be expanded.

Judging from the trend of the callback, when the last 65k rebounded, the short-selling momentum immediately weakened after touching 65, and then fell below the trend line, and a dead cross and other short-selling signals appeared. 👗👉➩BNB0098

There is still no operation in the spot at present.

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BTC's market trend in the past two days has been relatively stable, and the price has remained in a stable range.

In the short term, the small-level support level is between 62350 and 62100, while the strong support level is at 61400. If there is a pullback to these two support ranges, you can consider entering the market to go long. If you are still waiting and can't see the market trend clearly, you will only fall because of bullishness and rise because of bearishness. Come to my personal homepage to find me

The strong rebound target after the pullback can focus on the two key positions of 65000 and 66666.

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BTC and ETH are experiencing sustained medium-term small fluctuations.

—— Market data summary on September 24:

On-chain data shows that the selling pressure of BTC and ETH is flat, and the tray strength is stable.

At present, the long and short forces of BTC and ETH are basically balanced, and the market is expected to maintain medium-term small fluctuations.

In terms of contract holdings, BTC and ETH remain stable, and the funding rate is also low. If you are still watching and can't see the market trend clearly, you will only fall because of bullishness and rise because of bearishness. Come to my personal homepage to find me

BTC

Short-term support level: 62,528
Short-term resistance level: 63,940
Medium-term support level: 61,923
Medium-term resistance level: 65,301

ETH

Short-term support level: 2,587
Short-term resistance level: 2,662
Medium-term support level: 2,539
Medium-term resistance level: 2,708

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The market generally believes that the Fed has a 59% chance of cutting interest rates at least three times in 2024.

In other words, the market expects that there may be an additional 75 basis points of interest rate cuts this year. At the same time, the Fed's latest guidance shows that another 50 basis points of interest rate cuts may be possible.

The market even believes that there is a 17% chance of a further 100 basis point rate cut this year, and even a 4% chance of a 75 basis point rate cut at a single meeting. Interest rate futures trading reflects the market's concerns that the US economy is currently in crisis.

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Why is the market so divided on expectations for rate cuts?

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The core of cryptocurrency trading lies in "attention". Many hot events will bring high-attention memes. If these events are sustained, the related memes can also maintain an upward trend.

For example, Doge coin in 2021, when associated with the richest man Musk, he frequently mentioned Doge, and each mention would trigger a price increase, eventually rising from countless zeros to nearly $1.

To put it more intuitively, this is the "attention economy".

As long as this "attention" can continue to exist, the accompanying memes will continue to rise.

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When buying coins, mainly follow the actions of big dealers and institutions. Only in this way can you make profits more steadily.

The following are several high-quality sectors worth paying attention to [flowers][flowers][flowers]:

SUI: SUI has established a strong market influence by actively supporting DeFi and game projects, introducing compliant stablecoins
USDC, and promoting them globally.

ONDO: As a tokenization leader supported by BlackRock, ONDO is in the early stages of development. The market's attention to RWA is increasing, and any good news is likely to drive its price up. 👉**Follow me to view the homepage introduction and start your wealth journey! **🚀

FET: Fetch.ai's original token FET is gradually warming up with the rebound of Bitcoin. As the market recovers, the hype potential of FET still exists, especially before the launch of the second phase of the three-coin integration plan, investors should keep a close eye on it.

These three have investment opportunities in different fields, which are worthy of in-depth research and follow-up by investors. 🍗🍗🍗 #DODO助力Meme发行 #新币挖矿已上线HMSTR #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 #币安上线CATI #BNBChain与Telegram集成

Making money in the cryptocurrency world depends on speculation, but once you make a profit, you have to turn to investment.

The compatibility of the two lies in the change of mentality: you need to be sharp and decisive when speculating, and you need to be calm and long-term after making a profit.

After several months of thinking, I finally figured out this truth and shared it with my friends, and found that everyone didn't seem to understand it very well.

I hope that in the next 10 or 20 years, I can accumulate some experience worth reviewing, which people will say "makes sense", although looking back now, I often feel that I was stupid the day before.

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At this moment, the spring is bright and beautiful!

You have to understand that it is a bull market now. Enjoy and embrace this moment, become a trend-setter in the currency market, and turn the tide!

The main narrative of the new cycle is worth paying attention to. The following are some potential leading coins. In the long run, you may make a profit even if you invest with your eyes closed:

ETH Ecosystem
Pay attention to ETHFI and SSV, these Ethereum innovative projects are full of potential!

RWA Section
ONDO, as a representative of asset digitization, has a promising future.

BTC Layer 2 Network
STX provides a scalability solution for Bitcoin to help its future development.

Meme Section
BONK, WIF, PEPE, FLOKI, BOME and other popular Meme coins should not be missed,
and the rise is expected.

AI Section
ARKM, AR, NEAR, LPT, FET and other AI-related projects are on the rise, with broad prospects.

SOL Ecosystem
SOL, JUP, RAY, and JTO have performed well in the SOL ecosystem and are worth paying attention to.

Chain Game Section
YGG, GALA, and IMX, the three leading chain game projects, have great potential.

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Public Chain Section
FTM, SUI, SEI, APT and other public chains show good future development potential.

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To summarize some thoughts:

Speculation in leading coins: Each market round has a leading coin, buy it at a low price and hold it until the market ends. If you fail to buy at the right price, you can consider buying during the second start of the shock period. Pay attention to the trend of the leading currency and leave the market decisively after the market is over.

Buy new rather than old: Give priority to sub-new coins, because they have fewer chips to hold in, have a lot of room for upward movement, and are more prone to big market trends.

The horizontal is as long as the vertical is: the longer the bottom shock lasts, the more special attention should be paid to the currency, mark it as a key point, and once the volume breaks through, intervene in a timely manner.

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Both volume and price rise: Trading volume is the key to determining how high the currency price can go. Volume can be like an "aphrodisiac". The greater the volume, the more significant the increase and the stronger the sustainability.

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Experience of years of cryptocurrency trading:

It is enough to catch the main rising or falling wave once a year, and avoid full position operation at any time.

First, exercise your true mentality and courage in the simulation, or try with small funds. If you can't do it with $1,000, don't expect big funds to succeed.

When encountering major positive news, if you don't ship on the same day, remember to sell when it rises the next day. The realization of positive news often turns into negative news.

In the face of major events or data, wait for the trend to form before operating. Blindly predicting the direction is easy to fail.

The currency circle is not suitable for medium and long-term strategies, but more suitable for medium and short-term band operations. There are very few successful long-term investors.

Short-term trading needs to pay attention to trading volume and graphics. Active graphics are suitable for operation, and inactive ones are best avoided.

Fast declines are usually accompanied by fast rises, and slow declines are slow rises.

When making mistakes in judgment, you must admit your mistakes in time and stop losses to protect your principal. This is the fundamental survival of the market.

When doing short-term trading, you must pay attention to the 15-minute K-line chart and use the KDJ indicator to find the right buying and selling points. If you are still watching and cannot see the market trend clearly, you will only see a fall due to bullishness and a rise due to bearishness. Come to my personal homepage to find me.

There are many techniques and methods for trading coins. Just find the one that suits your style.

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History is always surprisingly similar🥇🥇🥇

Did you know?

There is a mysterious rule in the Bitcoin market, and an investment boom will come every four years!

How do you think Bitcoin will shake the world in 2025?

Are your digital assets ready?

The bull market cycle of Bitcoin is like the four seasons of nature, and each return is more glorious.

Experts predict that the next bull market will not only come as expected, but will also break records with unprecedented strength.

Imagine that the price of Bitcoin may start from $100,000 and go straight to $300,000 or $500,000. This is not only a leap in numbers, but also a leap in wealth!

For those investors who dared to enter the market at $20,000, your patience and foresight will soon usher in rich rewards.

Now, it's time to review your positions and prepare for this feast of digital currency!

The next round of Bitcoin bull market is both an opportunity and a challenge.

Have you already held the "big cake" in your hand and are ready to welcome the wealth storm?

Come to the comment area to share your views, let us witness the miracle moment of digital currency together!

Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared! If you are still waiting and can't see the market trend clearly, you will only fall because of bullishness and rise because of bearishness. Come to my personal homepage to find me

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