Nohana

#BTC97KNewATH $BTC
Trading in financial markets is challenging and often leads to losses for many traders. Understanding the reasons behind these losses and applying the right solutions can significantly improve profitability and consistency. This article explores the causes of losses in buy (long) and short trades, while also offering practical strategies to overcome these issues.
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Why Traders Lose in Buy and Short Trades
1. Poor Understanding of Market Trends
Traders often fail to identify the overall market direction. Entering a buy position in a bearish market or a short position in a bullish market leads to inevitable losses.
Lack of knowledge about trend reversal patterns adds to this problem.
2. Improper Entry and Exit Points
Entering trades at the wrong time—e.g., chasing a breakout or entering during a consolidation phase—results in unfavorable positions.
Failure to exit at the right time leads to missed profits or amplified losses.
3. Ignoring Risk-Reward Ratios
Traders often ignore the importance of calculating risk-reward ratios, leading to situations where potential losses outweigh potential gains.
Without a favorable ratio, even a high win rate strategy can fail over time.
4. Influence of External Factors
Sudden geopolitical events, regulatory changes, or economic announcements can create unexpected market movements.
Traders who are unaware or unprepared for such events often face losses.
5. Lack of Diversification
Putting all capital into a single asset or trade increases risk exposure.
A lack of portfolio diversification makes traders vulnerable to market-specific downturns.
6. Overconfidence and Lack of Preparedness
A series of successful trades can lead to overconfidence, resulting in taking unnecessary risks.
Many traders also fail to prepare adequately, such as not researching the asset or market before trading.
7. Over-Reliance on Indicators
Blindly following technical indicators without understanding their limitations can lead to misleading signals.
Indicators should complement analysis, not replace sound decision-making.
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Solutions to Overcome Trading Losses
1. Understand Market Structure
Learn how to identify market cycles, including accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown phases.
Use tools like support/resistance levels and volume analysis to confirm trends.
2. Master Entry and Exit Strategies
Wait for confirmation signals (e.g., candlestick patterns, indicator crossovers) before entering trades.
Set clear take-profit and stop-loss levels for every trade to secure gains and limit losses.
3. Apply Risk-Reward Management
Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher.
Analyze potential losses and ensure they are within your acceptable risk tolerance.
4. Prepare for External Events
Use an economic calendar to stay updated on important market events like interest rate decisions or earnings reports.
Avoid trading during high-volatility events unless experienced.
5. Diversify Your Portfolio
Trade a mix of assets from different sectors or markets to spread risk.
Avoid overexposure to highly volatile or correlated assets.
6. Build Confidence Through Practice
Use demo accounts or paper trading to practice strategies without risking real money.
Regularly backtest strategies using historical data to refine and validate them.
7. Rely on Data, Not Emotions
Use data-driven methods and avoid making decisions based on intuition or fear.
Adopt trading bots or algorithms if emotional control is a challenge.
8. Use a Trading Journal
Keep a detailed record of all trades, including reasons for entry/exit, outcomes, and lessons learned.
Regularly review the journal to identify patterns in mistakes and areas for improvement.
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Pro Tips for Long-Term Success
Start Small: Begin with small position sizes to limit losses while learning.
Stick to Your Plan: A well-thought-out plan can prevent impulsive decisions.
Keep Learning: Markets evolve, so continuously update your knowledge and adapt to new strategies.
Avoid Greed: Aim for consistent small wins rather than chasing high-risk high-reward trades.
Stay Patient: Opportunities will always arise; there’s no need to force trades.
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By addressing the above issues and implementing these solutions, traders can build a strong foundation for success. While losses are a natural part of trading, minimizing them and focusing on consistency can lead to long-term profitability.

Recent reports have drawn attention to serious cybersecurity concerns within the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) of Pakistan. Alleged audio recordings of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and other officials discussing sensitive matters have emerged, sparking debates over the security of the nation's top office.
These recordings reportedly include conversations on family business interests, government strategies, and potential appointments. Some sources claim that hackers have attempted to sell these recordings on the dark web for 18 Bitcoins (roughly $350,000). While the existence of such a transaction remains speculative, the situation has raised questions about the PMO's digital security.
The opposition, led by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), has criticized the government for these breaches, pointing to a failure in safeguarding crucial national communications. PTI leaders have emphasized the broader implications for Pakistan's security, highlighting the need for immediate measures to prevent further data leaks.

Key points 👊
When diving into the world of futures trading, minimizing losses is as crucial as making profits. Let's break down the strategies that can help you trade smartly and stay ahead of the game. 🏦
Understanding Entry Point
The entry point is the price at which you open a trade. A well-timed entry reduces risk. 📈 For example, instead of jumping in during market hype, wait for indicators like support levels or oversold signals on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to guide your entry. Using chart patterns can greatly assist you in identifying the best times to act.
Stop Loss (SL)
A stop loss automatically exits your trade at a predetermined price to prevent excessive loss. 🚫 If you buy a contract at $100, setting a stop loss at $95 limits your loss to $5. Always have a stop loss in place to protect your investment, and adjust it based on market volatility.
Hedging
Hedging involves opening a position in a related market to offset risk. 💼 If you are long on a stock futures contract but expect short-term volatility, you can short an ETF in the same sector to balance your exposure. Hedging minimizes losses but may also reduce potential profits.
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)
DCA spreads out your investments over time, helping to manage risk from market volatility. 💵 Instead of buying 100 contracts all at once, purchase 25 every week for a month. This way, if prices drop, your average entry price improves. Be careful to manage your margin while using this strategy.
Leverage Management
Leverage amplifies gains but also risks. 🏋️‍♂️ Using 10x leverage on a $1,000 investment controls $10,000, meaning a 10% adverse move wipes out your capital. Beginners should stick to lower leverage until they are confident with their trading strategy.
Margin Management
Margin is the collateral needed for your leveraged trades. Maintaining adequate margin helps you avoid forced liquidations. 💳 For example, with a $5,000 account and a position needing $1,000 margin, ensure enough is reserved to absorb potential losses. Always keep a buffer to prevent a margin call.
By combining these strategies and practicing disciplined risk management, you can reduce the chances of significant losses in futures trading. 🎯 Always consider backtesting and demo trading before putting real money on the line.

#BTC Long and short chances at 1 hour time frame.
Put your percentage in comments.
My observations are below.
Key Observations

1. Current Price: BTC is trading around $90,580.

2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):

EMA (7): $90,781

EMA (25): $90,765

EMA (99): $89,510

The price is currently below the shorter-term EMA (7), but the EMAs are generally moving upward, suggesting an overall bullish trend.

3. RSI (6): The RSI is 43.07, indicating that BTC is not in an overbought or oversold condition. The value is near neutral, leaning slightly towards oversold.

4. MACD:

DIF: 0.42, DEA: 6.02, MACD Histogram: -5.61

The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram is negative, suggesting a bearish momentum.

5. Volume: The volume is 1.39M, which appears relatively stable but lower than the initial bullish spikes seen earlier.

Potential Trade Setup

1. Buy (Long) Position Setup:

Criteria: Consider entering a long position if BTC bounces off support levels or if the MACD histogram shows signs of reversing upward. Watch for the RSI to move closer to or above 50, indicating strengthening momentum.

Entry Point: Around $90,500 or on confirmation of a bullish reversal signal.

Take Profit: $91,000 - $91,500 (near recent resistance levels).

Stop Loss: Below the EMA (99) or $89,400.

2. Sell (Short) Position Setup:

Criteria: Consider entering a short position if BTC fails to break above the EMA (7) and the bearish momentum continues. If the RSI drops closer to 30, it indicates stronger selling pressure.

Entry Point: Around $90,580 or on a break below $90,000.

Take Profit: $89,500 - $89,000 (near the next support levels).

Stop Loss: Above $91,000.

Chances of Setup Success (Estimation)

Buy (Long) Setup: The upward slope of longer-term EMAs supports a bullish outlook, but with current bearish momentum, the probability of a successful long trade is about 55%.

Sell (Short) Setup: The MACD and RSI lean towards a bearish bias, indicating a higher chance for short setups, so the probability for a successful short trade is around 65%.

Risk Management

Always use appropriate stop-loss orders.

Monitor volume for signs of momentum shift.

Keep an eye on broader market trends and news events that may influence BTC.