乐莹加密日记
公众号：小柿说币（每周一到周六比特币、以太坊的早评策略分析，长期推荐优质个币和直播分析）
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Struggles at $0.20, Can It Break Through $1 in the Future?
Despite recent attempts to revive, Dogecoin (DOGE) is still struggling above $0.20. Currently, DOGE is trading at $0.1998, with a 5.36% increase over the past 24 hours.
However, it is still significantly down compared to the historic high of $0.7386 set in May 2021. With a market cap of $29.52 billion, there are doubts about its ability to break the $1 milestone.
Technical Analysis: DOGE Faces Challenges
The price trend of Dogecoin shows a pattern of lower highs and lower lows in the medium term, recently failing to maintain support above $0.24. The 14-day price chart shows a 20.6% decline, indicating that despite occasional rebounds, selling pressure has increased.
However, it is still significantly down compared to the historic high of $0.7386 set in May 2021. With a market cap of $29.52 billion, there are doubts about its ability to break the $1 milestone.
Technical Analysis: DOGE Faces Challenges
The price trend of Dogecoin shows a pattern of lower highs and lower lows in the medium term, recently failing to maintain support above $0.24. The 14-day price chart shows a 20.6% decline, indicating that despite occasional rebounds, selling pressure has increased.
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A Hair-Raising Reversal! Dogecoin (DOGE) Stages a 'Roller Coaster' Market, What Secrets Lie Behind the Dramatic Surge and Drop?
I. Intraday Price Volatility: Intense Bull-Bear Clash
On March 5, 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced dramatic fluctuations. The price once dipped below $0.19265 in the morning session, with an intraday decline of 3.59%.
However, it subsequently rebounded strongly to $0.19945, an increase of 3.56%, with trading volume surging from $1.881 billion to $2.811 billion. This 'V-shaped reversal' indicates intense market competition between bulls and bears, and the short-term direction remains unclear.
From the candlestick chart, the price repeatedly tests support and resistance in the $0.19-$0.20 range, with trading volume fluctuating in sync. In the morning session, 'price decline with volume shrinkage' indicates a quiet market, while 'price rise with volume increase' in the afternoon reflects a sudden explosion of buying momentum.
On March 5, 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced dramatic fluctuations. The price once dipped below $0.19265 in the morning session, with an intraday decline of 3.59%.
However, it subsequently rebounded strongly to $0.19945, an increase of 3.56%, with trading volume surging from $1.881 billion to $2.811 billion. This 'V-shaped reversal' indicates intense market competition between bulls and bears, and the short-term direction remains unclear.
From the candlestick chart, the price repeatedly tests support and resistance in the $0.19-$0.20 range, with trading volume fluctuating in sync. In the morning session, 'price decline with volume shrinkage' indicates a quiet market, while 'price rise with volume increase' in the afternoon reflects a sudden explosion of buying momentum.
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Trump official stock (TRUMP) is bullish in the short term; will it break $20 in the future?
Trump official stock (TRUMP) has risen 8.37% in the past 24 hours, and its market structure has turned bullish within a 2-hour timeframe after breaking the low of $13.64 on March 1.
Technical indicators show a strengthening bullish sentiment in the short term. If it can hold the key Fibonacci support level in the next day or two, TRUMP may gain more profits.
Market performance: Strengthening bullish sentiment in the short term
TRUMP rose to $17.75 on Sunday, with an increase in trading volume. The last time a similar trading volume occurred in a two-hour trading session was in mid-February, when the TRUMP stock price fell after reaching $24.58. The current market structure may not lead to a lasting upward trend, but traders still have opportunities to profit from it.
Technical indicators show a strengthening bullish sentiment in the short term. If it can hold the key Fibonacci support level in the next day or two, TRUMP may gain more profits.
Market performance: Strengthening bullish sentiment in the short term
TRUMP rose to $17.75 on Sunday, with an increase in trading volume. The last time a similar trading volume occurred in a two-hour trading session was in mid-February, when the TRUMP stock price fell after reaching $24.58. The current market structure may not lead to a lasting upward trend, but traders still have opportunities to profit from it.
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My current judgment is that this rebound is likely just a sharp oversold bounce, not a reversal.
However, if the market is smashed down this quickly, it does seem a bit weak, indicating that market demand is not as strong as imagined.
The ideal trend should be to first break below 97k, seize the liquidity above, and then pull back to find the bottom; this way, it can actually be more solid.
Currently, the reason for the short-term recovery in the market relies more on short-term emotional stimuli like Trump’s calls, without substantial incremental capital entering the market.
From the perspective of the market, although liquidity is ample, the supply pressure is too great, and as soon as prices approach 95k, there is a noticeable lack of demand.
Ultimately, the market does not have a high recognition of the current price; further declines are needed to digest the profit-taking chips.
Overall, the market is still in the process of finding a bottom; the real trend will have to wait for:
More fundamental positive news to land or prices to drop to a level that the market recognizes as low
only then will there be an opportunity for the next trend.
✅ Conclusion: Continue to patiently wait, take light positions for speculation, and wait for the bottom with heavy positions!
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
However, if the market is smashed down this quickly, it does seem a bit weak, indicating that market demand is not as strong as imagined.
The ideal trend should be to first break below 97k, seize the liquidity above, and then pull back to find the bottom; this way, it can actually be more solid.
Currently, the reason for the short-term recovery in the market relies more on short-term emotional stimuli like Trump’s calls, without substantial incremental capital entering the market.
From the perspective of the market, although liquidity is ample, the supply pressure is too great, and as soon as prices approach 95k, there is a noticeable lack of demand.
Ultimately, the market does not have a high recognition of the current price; further declines are needed to digest the profit-taking chips.
Overall, the market is still in the process of finding a bottom; the real trend will have to wait for:
More fundamental positive news to land or prices to drop to a level that the market recognizes as low
only then will there be an opportunity for the next trend.
✅ Conclusion: Continue to patiently wait, take light positions for speculation, and wait for the bottom with heavy positions!
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
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Back to the original starting point, Bitcoin has dropped back to the level where Trump called it, while Ethereum has even fallen lower than before the call. Yesterday, several friends expressed their anxiety about missing the bottom and completely missing out.
But the reality is that there has been no substantial influx of funds. This kind of emotionally driven rise fueled by verbal calls is nothing but a stimulant and a smokescreen. What truly deserves attention, which can structurally change trends, is not some strategy of picking up free gains without any investment, nor is it the White House crypto meeting where a group of big shots gathers to discuss how to harvest retail investors. We still need to see if the Federal Reserve's Dragon King on the 18th can show mercy and bring some relief.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
But the reality is that there has been no substantial influx of funds. This kind of emotionally driven rise fueled by verbal calls is nothing but a stimulant and a smokescreen. What truly deserves attention, which can structurally change trends, is not some strategy of picking up free gains without any investment, nor is it the White House crypto meeting where a group of big shots gathers to discuss how to harvest retail investors. We still need to see if the Federal Reserve's Dragon King on the 18th can show mercy and bring some relief.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调
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Dogecoin (DOGE) sees heavy buying from whales; can it reverse the downward trend?
Recently, a ruling by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) classified meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE) as collectibles, drawing widespread attention from the market.
This decision means that meme coins are no longer subject to securities laws, but it has also sparked debates about their future as a legitimate asset class. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency whales purchased $910 million worth of DOGE within 48 hours, showing market confidence in this asset.
SEC ruling: Meme coins classified as collectibles.
In a statement on February 27, the SEC clarified that meme coins are legally regarded as 'similar to collectibles' rather than financial instruments subject to securities laws.
This decision means that meme coins are no longer subject to securities laws, but it has also sparked debates about their future as a legitimate asset class. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency whales purchased $910 million worth of DOGE within 48 hours, showing market confidence in this asset.
SEC ruling: Meme coins classified as collectibles.
In a statement on February 27, the SEC clarified that meme coins are legally regarded as 'similar to collectibles' rather than financial instruments subject to securities laws.
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After the US stock market opens in the evening, the mentality of American partners will be more important. From the pre-market situation, stock index futures are in an upward trend, but the magnitude is not large. It is still necessary to pay attention and avoid excessive FOMO. The core points of this week are still on March 7th and 8th, especially the latter.
#美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹
#美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹
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With the price increase, Bitcoin has once again surged to the 7th position among global assets, rising 3 places overnight. This year, it should be able to break into the top four, but only with the next bull market will there be a possibility of surpassing gold to become the number one.
#美国加密战略储备 #XRP、SOL、ADA纳入美国战略储备？
#美国加密战略储备 #XRP、SOL、ADA纳入美国战略储备？
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The BTC/GOLD index price has currently broken through the connected position. Although I originally expected there to be some support here, I didn't anticipate panic emotions during the Asian trading session. This situation makes me more inclined to believe that today's daily candle may close with a long lower shadow, and the short-term sentiment may disperse, leading to a temporary depletion of supply.
If the market does not effectively stabilize, it may directly drop towards the long-term support level below. The key here is to observe whether a rebound can form; if pressure continues, the target may very likely point directly towards the external support area.
#美SEC：Meme币非证券 #美国加征关税
If the market does not effectively stabilize, it may directly drop towards the long-term support level below. The key here is to observe whether a rebound can form; if pressure continues, the target may very likely point directly towards the external support area.
#美SEC：Meme币非证券 #美国加征关税
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In simple terms, there are a few points to note about the current market:
The main driving force behind the BTC market comes from two aspects. First is the expectation of interest rate hikes in the U.S., which puts pressure on risk assets, making arbitrage trading of CME/ETF increasingly difficult, and the ETF breakthrough is ongoing; second, the performance of the U.S. stock market is poor, and Mstr's financing channels are blocked. If Mstr is pushed back to around 50,000, it would be an extreme situation, and one should wait for the overall situation to stabilize before making judgments.
In terms of altcoins, the trends of ETH and SOL are becoming increasingly strong and have turned into barometers. Bera, due to its hype model, has shown relative resilience, while coins that rely purely on market speculation are somewhat weak. For example, Kaito, although its trading volume surged yesterday, has also reached a short-term peak; Myshell is inexpensive, but its absorption capacity is weak and may encounter pressure at the top.
New coins and some established strong coins will be more interesting, as they have started to form a bottom and are preparing for the next wave of market; for example, coins like Morpho, J, Sonic, and ZKJ. Additionally, TST and Cheems in the BSC ecosystem are also worth paying attention to.
#币安HODLer空投SHELL #美SEC：Meme币非证券
The main driving force behind the BTC market comes from two aspects. First is the expectation of interest rate hikes in the U.S., which puts pressure on risk assets, making arbitrage trading of CME/ETF increasingly difficult, and the ETF breakthrough is ongoing; second, the performance of the U.S. stock market is poor, and Mstr's financing channels are blocked. If Mstr is pushed back to around 50,000, it would be an extreme situation, and one should wait for the overall situation to stabilize before making judgments.
In terms of altcoins, the trends of ETH and SOL are becoming increasingly strong and have turned into barometers. Bera, due to its hype model, has shown relative resilience, while coins that rely purely on market speculation are somewhat weak. For example, Kaito, although its trading volume surged yesterday, has also reached a short-term peak; Myshell is inexpensive, but its absorption capacity is weak and may encounter pressure at the top.
New coins and some established strong coins will be more interesting, as they have started to form a bottom and are preparing for the next wave of market; for example, coins like Morpho, J, Sonic, and ZKJ. Additionally, TST and Cheems in the BSC ecosystem are also worth paying attention to.
#币安HODLer空投SHELL #美SEC：Meme币非证券
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$IP The first target has been reached, remember to take profits, I woke up and had already passively settled the account
#币安HODLer空投SHELL #美SEC：Meme币非证券
#币安HODLer空投SHELL #美SEC：Meme币非证券
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Shiba Inu (SHIB) 24-hour burn rate soars 4137%, can it sustain growth in the future?
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has garnered widespread attention in the cryptocurrency market due to its astonishing 24-hour burn rate of 4137.17%. The surge in the number of tokens burned may play a crucial role in reducing supply, thereby pushing up prices.
As of the time of writing, the trading price of SHIB is $0.00001471, up 2.82% in the last 24 hours. However, there are still doubts in the market about whether the burning efforts can sustain growth in the long term.
Price Trend: Key resistance level faces challenges
Since peaking at the end of 2024, SHIB's price has been on a steady decline. Recently, the price rebounded from a consolidation area around $0.00001360, which may indicate a potential shift in momentum.
As of the time of writing, the trading price of SHIB is $0.00001471, up 2.82% in the last 24 hours. However, there are still doubts in the market about whether the burning efforts can sustain growth in the long term.
Price Trend: Key resistance level faces challenges
Since peaking at the end of 2024, SHIB's price has been on a steady decline. Recently, the price rebounded from a consolidation area around $0.00001360, which may indicate a potential shift in momentum.
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PEPE Faces Key Support Level Test: Can It Reverse the Trend in the Future?
As the overall cryptocurrency market adjusts, the price trend of Pepe (PEPE) is testing key support levels, currently trading at approximately $0.00000822.
This price level confirms the bearish momentum emphasized by multiple breakouts (BOS), especially after falling below $0.00000900.
However, recent trading activity shows that liquidity has fallen below the $0.00000800 mark, which could serve as a potential springboard for a price rebound.
Key support and potential rebound
Liquidation activity shows the market is cooling down
Despite the overall bearish market, the liquidation activity of PEPE shows signs of stabilization. In the past two days, the liquidation volumes for both short and long positions have significantly decreased.
This price level confirms the bearish momentum emphasized by multiple breakouts (BOS), especially after falling below $0.00000900.
However, recent trading activity shows that liquidity has fallen below the $0.00000800 mark, which could serve as a potential springboard for a price rebound.
Key support and potential rebound
Liquidation activity shows the market is cooling down
Despite the overall bearish market, the liquidation activity of PEPE shows signs of stabilization. In the past two days, the liquidation volumes for both short and long positions have significantly decreased.
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Sonic [S] Faces Significant Correction: Plummeting 17% in 24 Hours, Can It Rebound in the Future?
Despite Sonic [S] (formerly FTM) being in a bullish trend for the past few weeks, with an increase of 31.11% over the past month and 21.75% over the past week.
However, as of the time of writing, Sonic has plummeted 17.22% in the past 24 hours. This drop is primarily attributed to a surge in liquidity outflow and increased selling pressure from derivatives market traders.
Key indicators show a bearish trend
Increased liquidity outflow
Sonic's Total Value Locked (TVL) continues to decline, dropping from a peak of $736.04 million on February 24 to the current $694.4 million, with a total withdrawal of $41.44 million.
If selling pressure continues, TVL may decline further. While this may be viewed as merely a phase of market adjustment from a broader perspective, the extent of the adjustment remains uncertain and could potentially be the largest decline to date.
However, as of the time of writing, Sonic has plummeted 17.22% in the past 24 hours. This drop is primarily attributed to a surge in liquidity outflow and increased selling pressure from derivatives market traders.
Key indicators show a bearish trend
Increased liquidity outflow
Sonic's Total Value Locked (TVL) continues to decline, dropping from a peak of $736.04 million on February 24 to the current $694.4 million, with a total withdrawal of $41.44 million.
If selling pressure continues, TVL may decline further. While this may be viewed as merely a phase of market adjustment from a broader perspective, the extent of the adjustment remains uncertain and could potentially be the largest decline to date.
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In this round of the bull market, many people did not make money
1. Those with a hand full of fakes, who didn't sell a while ago, are now back to the prices of the bear market
2. Those only trading contracts, this year's market is more like a monkey market, fluctuating up and down, making trading difficult
3. Newbies playing in the primary market, there are many Pi Xiu coins and zero-value coins, and many have fallen into traps
Only those who honestly accumulated big coins at low prices have made money
#开通交易实盘认证 #SBF时隔两年再发推
1. Those with a hand full of fakes, who didn't sell a while ago, are now back to the prices of the bear market
2. Those only trading contracts, this year's market is more like a monkey market, fluctuating up and down, making trading difficult
3. Newbies playing in the primary market, there are many Pi Xiu coins and zero-value coins, and many have fallen into traps
Only those who honestly accumulated big coins at low prices have made money
#开通交易实盘认证 #SBF时隔两年再发推
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What is the entry timing for shorting XRP?
The reference period is 4H. There are two options: the first is to wait for the price to effectively break below the green area shown in the chart, and the second is to wait for a rebound that fails after the breakdown before entering.
The target can be set at the next layer of green support area.
#Infini遭攻击 #以太坊回滚争议
The reference period is 4H. There are two options: the first is to wait for the price to effectively break below the green area shown in the chart, and the second is to wait for a rebound that fails after the breakdown before entering.
The target can be set at the next layer of green support area.
#Infini遭攻击 #以太坊回滚争议
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$BERA 1H
Breakthrough a large fluctuation range, successfully reversed and rose strongly. You can wait for a pullback structure to enter (for example, around 7-7.1)
#币安HODLer空投KAITO #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？
Breakthrough a large fluctuation range, successfully reversed and rose strongly. You can wait for a pullback structure to enter (for example, around 7-7.1)
#币安HODLer空投KAITO #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？
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$shell rapidly rises and falls, forming a volatile range. There is a significant divergence between bulls and bears, and until a successful breakout occurs, it is advisable to view high selling and low buying within the trading range.
#PI该上线币安吗？ #FTX赔付
#PI该上线币安吗？ #FTX赔付
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