Missing out, being liquidated, making money, which feeling is the worst?
When losing 10%, there is a brief pain; when gaining 10%, there is a brief joy. However, missing out is a more subtle pain—seeing others make money while you did not participate.
You might think that if you had held a position, you would definitely have earned that portion of profit.
Therefore, missing out often makes people feel like they have missed an opportunity, as if it were a kind of "loss."
But unlike holding a losing position, missing out does not mean that your abilities are lacking. It simply indicates that you did not participate in a certain opportunity, which does not imply that your skills are inadequate.
Rather than saying missing out is a failure, it might be better understood as merely missing an opportunity.
The continuous downward trend of Ethereum on the daily chart doesn't make me anxious.
Even if Bitcoin drops sharply, increasing the risk of sideways decline, I remain calm.
A few days ago, Puh said that many good things will happen in the next month, and today, Sun said that many big players are entering the market. I’m genuinely a bit worried with my full position in spot.
These two are teaming up to stir things up, and based on past experiences with significant drops, something not so good is definitely going to happen.
Undeniably, as meme projects on Solana lose support in the Binance spot market, the growth potential of many projects has also begun to be restricted, and the lifespan of these projects is likely not to be long-lasting. Past projects like $rfc, $dark, $gork, and current ones like LAUNCHCOIN, $dupe seem to be proving this point.
The current situation is more rational, as users no longer depend on exchanges to take over, especially with the expectation of listing on Binance gone, participants in on-chain projects have become more rational.
Additionally, it's worth mentioning that Musk slightly endorsed $rfc today, but it seems his influence is also starting to wane.
With the continuous emergence of launch platforms, almost anyone can easily become a "dog dealer," and the cost is very low.
The speed of token issuance is as rapid as a rocket, but the influx of new users is steadily slowing down, with most of the large funds entering the market concentrating on Bitcoin.
As the number of new players decreases and the funds of old users gradually shrink, it becomes increasingly difficult to see a widespread rally in altcoins like in the past.
Future opportunities may become more localized, with segments like inscriptions and on-chain meme coins possibly presenting short-term opportunities, but their duration is limited; a slight delay in response could lead to missed chances.
Perhaps the trend for the future development of the cryptocurrency market will be Bitcoin + other assets + a fast-paced model. Bitcoin will continue to maintain a strong position, while other coins will become localized opportunities. The pace of the cryptocurrency market will become increasingly rapid, and if one cannot adapt to this change, the only choice will be to concentrate funds in Bitcoin.
Altcoin Spot Trading Volume Has Yet to Exceed $10 Billion
According to CryptoQuant data, the current spot trading volume of altcoins remains sluggish, with an average daily trading volume of only $3 billion to $5 billion, while in the fourth quarter of 2024, this figure was as high as $8 billion to $12 billion. This indicates that altcoins may be in the early stages of a rebound. Despite the low trading volume, market analysts generally believe that this situation could be a precursor to a strong rebound for altcoins, suggesting that they have not yet reached the peak of growth.
Data from Blockchaincenter.net shows that the current altcoin season index is 24, further confirming that the market is still in a Bitcoin-dominated period. Historically, an index below 25 typically means Bitcoin dominates the market, but this is not necessarily bad news for altcoins. When the index rises above 30 to 40, altcoins usually experience significant increases, primarily because funds flow from Bitcoin into altcoins.
As trading volume shows signs of recovery and the altcoin season index points to an impending market shift, investor expectations for an altcoin rebound are becoming increasingly optimistic.
After experiencing such a hellish trend, both the market's speculation sentiment and the K-line patterns clearly need some time to recover.
To be honest, this morning I still thought a V-shaped intraday rebound was impossible, but it actually happened, and it was like the V-shaped reversal when Bitcoin broke new highs... it's really a bit ridiculous, the market is truly difficult to navigate. My hedging has made me start to question life, let alone engage in subjective trading.
In this market, is there really such a thing as a 'trading god'?
Regardless of whether interest rates are cut or if the trade war will change, the cryptocurrency market is bound to usher in a new round of upward trends 📈 that is expected to last about 3 months! The logic behind this is as follows:
Trump needs to cut interest rates to continue the low-interest U.S. Treasury bonds during the pandemic, but whether the rate cut can go as planned is still an unknown.
If old debts cannot be renewed, the government will have to borrow new debts. So, how can you make investors believe in your ability to repay debts? By promoting the prosperity of virtual assets, which include AI tech stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The initial turmoil of the trade war was to create a crash in assets, prompting the Federal Reserve to cut rates while making U.S. Treasury bonds appear stronger. However, Japan seized the opportunity to sell U.S. Treasury bonds, resulting in simultaneous declines in U.S. stocks, Treasury bonds, and the dollar.
After trying various methods without prompting the Federal Reserve to cut rates, the only way now is to publicly call for it, using one's influence to raise asset prices.
As Buffett said at the shareholder meeting, the dollar collapse originally needed 20 years, but under Trump’s operation, it could collapse in less than two years.
This, while signaling the arrival of a bull market, also comes with potential gray rhino risks.
A significant drop is to welcome a big opportunity; those entering the market now can only operate with a trading mentality! Earn as much as you can, don’t think it’s too little!
ETH has risen slightly, and ETH MEME has started to soar, which is the advantage of having no excessive competition, no excessive speculation, and a strong community foundation.
The Ethereum chain is most suitable for ordinary retail investors to make money; the key is your ability to persevere; only by persevering can you see significant returns!
At the end of the month, FTX plans to initiate the second phase of compensation, expected to distribute approximately $5 billion to customers! This news is a positive for the market, especially showing signs of recovery for Ethereum and altcoins.
Most of the compensation funds may be injected into the market, bringing a wave of capital flow. Additionally, FTX's demonstrated sense of responsibility and commitment to honoring its debts may attract the attention of large institutions, potentially prompting restructuring.
At present, this coin has an independent market trend, showing relatively strong performance, and has broken through a key position on a smaller scale, which is worth paying attention to and considering intervention.
The initial position building is recommended between 1.5-1.52, and the replenishment range can be between 1.36-1.34.
Whether a project can make money depends on whether the people around you have profited from it! If they have made money, then you are likely to as well! But if they haven't made any profit, why should you believe that you will?
What I'm referring to is altcoins! To be honest, I feel quite disappointed with altcoins! Although I haven't suffered significant losses, I have wasted a lot of valuable 'time cost'.
AI Sector Day 23 Diary | VIRTUAL AIXBT Still Consolidating
Today marks the 23rd day, still maintaining positions in the AI sector. Ever since the surge on May 8, VIRTUAL AIXBT has entered a 'lying flat' state, consolidating for a whole week with almost no movement.
The PNUT and BOME that I just bought a few days ago were on the gainers list yesterday, but today they have plummeted to the losers list. It's truly the bizarre rhythm of the crypto world, oscillating back and forth within a range every day, driving people's mental state to the brink.
This market really tests one's mindset. One moment there's a sudden surge that gives you hope, and the next moment it drops back, making you start to doubt yourself—repeated fluctuations seem to be designed to make you experience a 'roller coaster'.
Many people get washed out by these fluctuations, frequently chasing gains and cutting losses, often carelessly throwing profits back into the market.
However, this situation is actually a typical 'washing' strategy, luring in more buyers and sellers, repeatedly operating in waves, gradually replacing participants...
So at times like this, the most important thing is not the frequency of operations but to stabilize one's mindset. The ability to endure and hold on is the true skill.
The market changes like the weather, but I remain calm. Diamond hands, unshaken like a mountain.
Having been in the crypto world for a long time, when I hear people talking about games on the street, my first reaction is to think of MapleStory chain games; when I encounter my neighbor's Shiba Inu, what flashes in my mind is DOGE and SHIBA.
Scrolling through TikTok, when I see trending topics like mom and gdragon, all I can think is: another CA is coming.
Trend Game: Unraveling the Core Rules of Deception in the Cryptocurrency Market
The recent market fluctuations have been quite interesting. Although it seems on the surface that prices are not rising, upon waking up, the market has gone up again. There are daytime pullbacks, followed by nighttime rebounds, and then more daytime pullbacks. This oscillation pattern is very similar to the market conditions from late April to early May. It gives the impression that prices are always struggling to break through, yet ultimately a strong bullish candle appears.
In such situations, relying solely on technical analysis can easily lead one into the traps set by market leaders; we need to combine trends for a comprehensive judgment. Many people overlook a key factor when analyzing the market—background amplification. In fact, background amplification holds significant weight in trend judgment, yet many are unclear about its concept and are entirely unaware of its importance.
The market is often filled with situations of both inducement to sell and inducement to buy. If one cannot distinguish whether the market's rise or fall is genuine or a trap set by market leaders, it is easy to incur losses.
To avoid this situation, we need to constantly understand the current market trend background. If the current trend is upward, then pullbacks are usually inducements to sell; conversely, if the trend is downward, then rebounds are often inducements to buy.
In an upward trend, the correct action is: when seeing a pullback, do not easily short; wait until a support level shows a stop-loss signal before choosing to go long.
In a downward trend, the correct action is: when seeing a rebound, do not easily go long; wait until a resistance level shows a reversal signal before considering shorting.
Trading according to the above strategies will greatly increase the probability of success.
Therefore, judging the trend is crucial, and possessing the ability to accurately judge trends is not easy. It does not solely depend on any individual technical indicator but requires mastering the entire trading system and combining it with a lot of practical exercises. If one struggles at first to accurately judge the market, it might be wise to follow established strategies, gradually improving one’s judgment and trading skills.
The main theme of the current bull market is obviously BTC and MEME, followed by some popular altcoins in the secondary market and extremely volatile short-term opportunities.
The difficulty and pace of this market are very fast, making operation a significant test of skills.
Recently, I have heard from many former old investors who have accumulated assets through the previous two bull markets, but this time they have encountered severe losses in the new round of the market, and many are even facing a situation of zero balance and debt.
It can be said that the brutality of this bull market far exceeds expectations.
Therefore, maintaining a calm mindset, continuously learning from the outstanding players in the market, and striving to improve one's investment skills are key to overcoming difficulties.
In the field of investment, the true essence of patience is often misunderstood. Some believe that staying away from the market for a long time is patience, but the real composure lies in closely monitoring the market day after day, deeply engaging in industry research, while consistently restraining the impulse to act.
This requires investors to establish clear boundaries of their capability circle, accurately assess the investment opportunities they can grasp and the risk areas they need to avoid.
Only by deeply understanding one's own investment logic and clarifying capability boundaries can one patiently lie in wait while continuously paying attention to the market, until opportunities that align with the investment system arise, allowing for a calm layout. This kind of patience is a dual cultivation of rational understanding and self-restraint.
In the field of investment, the essence of patience is often misunderstood. Some believe that staying away from the market for the long term is patience; however, true composure lies in the daily focus on the market, in-depth industry research, while always restraining the impulse to act.
This requires investors to establish clear boundaries of their capability circle, accurately judging the investment opportunities that can be grasped and the risk areas that need to be avoided.
Only by deeply understanding one’s own investment logic and clearly defining capability boundaries can one patiently wait in the process of continuously monitoring the market until the opportunity that fits the investment system arises, allowing for a composed layout. This kind of patience is a dual cultivation of rational awareness and self-restraint.