Loss of 300,000 in contracts, painful lessons learned, is memorizing K-line patterns useful?
Since entering the cryptocurrency space and trading contracts, life has been getting worse day by day: money is gone, hair has turned white, the house is mortgaged, and salary is not enough to pay debts. However, it is not all in vain; I have gained a lot of lessons to share with everyone, helping you avoid pitfalls. Today's theme is: is it useful to memorize K-line patterns? After reading the following content, I believe you will have a sudden realization! One, the formation of K-lines K-line is derived from a continuous price change curve over a period of time, taking the starting price at the beginning of the time, the closing price at the end of the time, the highest price, and the lowest price, resulting in an image similar to a candle.
The 'Experts' of the Crypto World: Those Legendary Predictions Slapped by Dogecoin
Recently, watching the K-line chart of Dogecoin fluctuating frequently, I can't help but want to talk about those so-called 'crypto analysts' or 'coin experts' and their magical operations. It seems that every time they predict, they can foresee the future and analyze with great eloquence. However, reality is always ruthless -- their posts often get slapped in the face by the market the next second.
1. Predictions like a god, being slapped like the wind
The tricks of these experts are quite simple:
1. First, analyze the K-line seriously, using professional terms like 'head and shoulders', 'double top', and 'bull-bear dividing point' effortlessly.
Why is it harder to make money in this bull market than in previous bull markets?
1. The rules have changed In fact, most people have known about the cryptocurrency market since 2015, so most people did not participate in the bull market before the 2017 bull market. Most people participated in the bull market starting from 2017. Then in 2021, everyone found the rules through the first two bull markets and made money through the rules. Once the rules are broken, basically many people will not think about it, breaking the comfort zone of thinking. Once it is different from their previous operations, there are only two results to face, one is to lose money, and the other is to miss the opportunity.
2. The dealer has changed Why did the rules change? The main reason is that the dealer has changed. A lot of formal funds have entered this bull market. Before the bull market came, the big funds have already entered the market, and retail investors began to be confused. Is the bull market coming with so many funds entering the market? But it just so happens that only the mainstream and Meme are bullish, and other value coins are standing in line, such as Dash and Qtum. There is no action. The dealers are good at playing, and the retail investors are disgusted.
3. Retail investors have not changed In fact, the psychology of leeks has not changed, and they are prone to fixed thinking. Many of them are following the previous rhythm, but the rhythm has changed and retail investors can no longer play. In the past, they studied value coins, but in this round of bull market, they directly give you Meme, a bunch of air coins, which confuses you. Air coins fall and have no bottom, and the ones who lose money are naturally retail investors who chase the rise.
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What? Is XRP about to experience a super surge of 57155%?
Could XRP see a super surge of 57155%? Approaching a sky-high price of $305! Analysts predict a price increase of up to 57155%, aiming for $305. Recently, the price of XRP peaked around $1.635, and market participants believe this may be a sign of a historic surge for XRP. An analyst named Helkin Ashi, who goes by the nickname "LUDXRPFLR" on X, has studied the historical trends of XRP and discovered some interesting patterns. He stated that XRP's price movements always tend to repeat certain patterns. He shared a chart showing XRP's price movements over the past decade, resembling a copy-paste effect; previous movements often guide future prices. For instance, XRP reached its peak at the end of 2013, then fell steadily until stabilizing in mid-2014. However, at the beginning of 2015, XRP suddenly surged again, although it didn't reach the heights of 2013. Afterward, XRP fell for a while, but this time the decline lasted longer, continuing until the first quarter of 2017. But then, XRP skyrocketed like a rocket, rising from $0.0055 at the beginning of 2017 to $3.84 at the beginning of 2018, marking a 70000% increase in just one year! After this surge, XRP's price fell back down. Interestingly, the trend in 2018 was quite similar to the trend after 2013. Therefore, after hitting a bottom in 2020, XRP rebounded in 2021. However, the increase in 2021 was not as significant as in 2018, just like the increase in 2015 was not as significant as in 2013. Moreover, the adjustment period after 2021 was also longer. If XRP's historical trends are indeed this accurate, Helkin Ashi and other analysts believe that after this long-term adjustment, the surge could be similar to that of 2017/2018. Ashi even predicts that if XRP continues to rise according to this trend, the mid-term peak could exceed $16, with the possibility of reaching $305! Friends who bought XRP should hold on tight.
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Why so many people trading cryptocurrencies are not making money
I summarize their reasons for losing money in one sentence: the root of their losses is a problem with their worldview.
Because they do not have a pragmatic mindset and do not respect the fundamental laws of the development of things.
In their eyes, the laws of development are like this: making money should be quick, only in this way can one get rich quickly. Aren't those wealthy people just stepping on opportunities to rise? Life must seize a few opportunities to get rich quickly. They want to make a lot of money immediately in a short time.
In my view, the laws of development are like this: it all relies on slow accumulation, accumulating to a certain amount, then suddenly producing a qualitative change, then quickly making money, and then it falls back down, returning to a stable period, even a loss period.
The bull and bear cycles in the cryptocurrency world conform to the laws of development; constant investment during a bear market is like sowing seeds, then the bull market may only last about 5% of the time. It arrives suddenly, briefly and swiftly, and then you start to reap. Many people see you suddenly becoming wealthy. In fact, you earned this profit after several years of sowing. But how could they understand what you sacrificed? When you succeed, they will only say you have good insight and good luck.
Isn't it incredible? So, for those still losing money, wake up, and come back to reality. Work hard to make money outside, then buy, buy, buy, and stock up; that is the only way for you to make money in a bull market.
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Summary of the characteristics common to the start of every bull market
1. In the early stages of a bull market, Bitcoin will slowly rise, standing out alone, driving Ethereum's rise. At this time, some good mainstream coins will follow suit, while other coins will gradually rise, with a few altcoins skyrocketing, like the meme and AI sectors and the Solana ecosystem, while most altcoins remain quiet.
2. In the mid-bull market, Bitcoin and Ethereum will fluctuate and rise, mainstream coins will begin to surge, and a large number of altcoins will slowly start to activate.
3. In the late bull market, Bitcoin will fluctuate and decline, while Ethereum, as the leading altcoin, may continue to soar. Mainstream coins will follow suit, and the next round of bull markets will see altcoins soaring several times, even dozens or hundreds of times.
So, what stage are we in now? Clearly, we are in the transition between the first and second phases. Many people holding valuable coins may not outperform Bitcoin or Ethereum, nor the likes of Dogecoin or Frogcoin. Some have even doubled, feeling anxious and unable to sleep at night, thus chasing prices up and down, frequently changing positions, making one mistake after another, resulting in a situation where, despite experiencing a major bull market, others have profited greatly while they themselves are in complete loss. What I want to tell everyone is that this is very normal; every bull market has been like this. Choose your targets wisely and hold on! Don’t switch vehicles; fortunes will turn, and there will always be a time for it to shine!
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Bitcoin's surge is really fierce, soaring to 100,000 in one go! Let me share my views on its trend. I expect this peak to occur on January 20 when Trump takes office, reaching 120,000 USD. This is similar to last year's wave, which rose from October to January.
However, there may be a small correction before that, but I don't expect mainstream coins like ETH and SOL to pull back too much, as past experience shows that they are more likely to start catching up when Bitcoin is consolidating. Once the mainstream coins finish their catch-up, we will enter the altcoin season, with meme coins skyrocketing. Another peak is expected in March, coinciding with Ethereum's Prague upgrade, where BTC will reach 140,000, not rising too much above the previous high, but ETH will see a significant catch-up, soaring to 8000.
Now that Sol has taken off, WIF actually has a lot of room for catch-up, so we can set up positions above 3 and 3.2 in advance. Our ETH long position opened at 3060 has smoothly reached 3400; yesterday, Shu Qin also reminded us that this wave would at least go to 3400. I wonder if everyone benefited from it? We are aggressively opening positions every day. I believe ETH and Sol can still fluctuate upwards; the bull market has truly arrived!
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The Emotional Journey of Retail Investors Simulation:
Doubt: Can Bitcoin really drop to ten thousand? I can't think of any black swan event that could bring it down that low?
Fear: Oh my god! Bitcoin has dropped to ten thousand, it can't possibly keep falling, right? Blockchain is a scam! Don't buy it!
Conservative: The Bitcoin I bought at ten thousand has now risen to twenty thousand, I'll cash out and secure my profits.
Missing Out: Sold at twenty thousand waiting for a correction, and now it's risen to fifty thousand, no choice but to re-enter.
Satisfaction: Bitcoin is at one hundred thousand! Feels like it should peak here, I'll pull out first and leave the tail-end market to you all, might as well short it.
Greed: Bitcoin is at one hundred fifty thousand! Shorting leads to liquidation, time to go long, it's definitely going to keep rising! An eternal bull market! Selling the house to go all in! The bull-bear transition happens silently, soon the crypto market starts a new round of major corrections, those who couldn't run in time are stuck at the peak.
Throughout this process, Bitcoin's actual increase exceeded fifteen times, but many retail investors may have only profited a few times, and even end up giving back their meager profits due to not selling at the peak in time.
The real winners are those who hardly operated at all from start to finish.
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Meme coins and institutional coins are two different types of coins.
Generally speaking, the maximum growth potential for meme coins is basically on-chain, such as people, shia, and pepe. After they go on exchanges, it cannot be said that there is no increase, but the growth has basically reached its end, so after meme coins are listed on exchanges, one should consider shorting them at the right time.
Institutional coins, due to concentrated holdings, require discretion in market making, so they are generally pumped on exchanges.
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Methods for releasing positions, generally divided into two types. 1. Active Release Strategies 1. Cut Loss If it is determined that buying was a serious mistake, especially when buying at the peak of a previous surge, one must have the determination to cut losses decisively and promptly to ensure capital safety. There are many opportunities in the cryptocurrency market; as long as capital does not suffer major losses, it can always be earned back. 2. Change Currency When the current cryptocurrency is underperforming and has further downward potential, if one accurately judges that another cryptocurrency has significant upward potential and a stronger trend, one can decisively swap to the new cryptocurrency to offset losses from the old one. 3. Short Selling When it is confirmed that one is deeply trapped and unable to cut losses, and if the overall market or a certain cryptocurrency has further downward potential, one can adopt a short selling strategy, selling the trapped cryptocurrency first, and then buying it back at a lower position, effectively reducing costs.
2. Passive Release Strategies
1. Averaging Down If the buying price is not high or there is firm confidence in the future market, one can use the averaging down technique. However, ordinary investors can typically only withstand one or two rounds of averaging down, so the timing of averaging down is crucial. 2. Lying Flat When deeply trapped with a full position, unable to cut losses or add to the position, one can only wait passively. As long as it is one's own money, not borrowed or loaned, there is patience to wait.
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Specific methods and application techniques for stop-loss
Stop-loss is by no means equivalent to cutting losses; it is one of the important principles of short-term trading, and it also has extremely specialized methods and scales. In practical operations, the setting of stop-loss points is as follows:
1. When trading in the direction of the trend, the stop-loss point should be set further away from the purchase price to avoid being washed out by strong fluctuations. Generally speaking, in this case, the distance between the stop-loss price and the purchase price should be greater than 5%.
2. When speculating against the market, the stop-loss point should be set closer to the purchase price to guard against systemic unpredictable risks. Generally speaking, in this case, the distance between the stop-loss price and the purchase price should not exceed 2% to 4%.
3. Implement stop-loss when the stock price effectively breaks the upward trend line.
4. Implement stop-loss when the stock price breaks the short-term moving average (generally referring to the 5-day and 10-day moving averages).
5. Alternatively, set a suitable stop-loss point based on your own capital tolerance and psychological endurance. However, in any case, it should not exceed the 10% limit.
6. Flexibly set stop-loss points based on the specific stock characteristics of the held stocks. For stocks that are relatively active and prone to large fluctuations, set them further away; for stocks that are stable and have lower activity, set them closer.
7. In a clearly bullish market, there is no need to discuss stop-loss. At this time, all short-term speculative operations should be stopped; what you need to do is hold stocks for the medium term and fully invest your funds for a decisive battle.
8. In a clearly bearish trend, there is also no need to discuss stop-loss. At this time, you should be in an absolute cash position; how can there be a discussion about stop-loss?
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Cryptocurrency Trading Decompression Methods! 1. Based on your current position 1. If you are a trader with a shallow loss, you can take advantage of a rebound market to exit or reduce your position at a high point. 2. If you are a trader with a deep loss, you can consider partial buying at a high to lower your average cost or buy more to lower the average price, allowing you to take psychological control before the market moves. 2. Based on the trend state of the purchased cryptocurrency 1. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in a downtrend, once the downtrend is confirmed and the trend has formed, it is recommended to stop loss immediately; do not harbor illusions of gain and loss. Hesitation and indecision may lead to deeper losses, making it difficult to extricate yourself. 2. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in a balanced oscillation trend, there is no need to stop loss immediately; patiently wait for the cryptocurrency to enter a high point in the oscillation cycle. Once you can exit or your loss is minimal, you should decisively leave the market. 3. If the cryptocurrency you purchased is in an uptrend, there is no need to stop loss; hold on patiently for a while, and you will inevitably recover your losses and may even see significant profits.
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Gently I came, just as I gently leave, In the shimmering red and green waves, I am the invisible hand.
I wave my sleeve, casting a dark net, In your dreams, I am the hand that catches dreams.
The rise and fall of the K-line is the poem of trading; The strategy in the shimmering waves ripples in my heart. The footprints on the chain silently beckon you; In the gentle waves of the market, I willingly become a submerged water plant!
The truth or falsehood of the news is not gossip, it is the rainbow that leads you here, Crushed in the rumors, settling the dream of profit. Looking for dreams? Prop up a bullish line, exploring towards higher cliffs, Loaded with a boat of starlight, landing in the dazzling starlight.
But I cannot sing, quietly is the flute of trading; Gas also keeps silent for me, silence is the result of greed. Quietly I left, just as I quietly came; I wave my sleeve, taking away not a single counterfeit coin.
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The price broke above again last night, the stopping position is really good, 996! Yesterday's short was indeed a bit greedy, resulting in missing nearly a thousand points, and it went straight back up in the evening. Today is Saturday, and as per the usual practice, let's watch for fluctuations, but right now I really don’t want to think too much, let's focus on high shorts. If you want to think more, I suggest using a light position.
The coin price is high, and the fluctuations have increased quite a bit. In the past few weekends, the market has been pretty good. For intraday trading, I suggest operating around the 99800-96800 range, focusing on high shorts.
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When the Fox Meets the Weasel: Trump Did Indeed Give Musk an Appointment Letter, but Also Left a Backup Plan
Having two people do one person's job is really efficient!
"This is a sarcastic remark made by U.S. Democratic Congresswoman Elizabeth Warren regarding Trump's plan to establish a 'Department of Government Efficiency' after his re-election as president, targeting Trump himself, as well as Trump's major financial backer—Musk, who is about to become the head of the 'Department of Government Efficiency.'
In response, some have indicated that the reason Trump is establishing the 'Department of Government Efficiency' is to repay his major backer Musk for his support in Trump's rise to the presidency.
However, there are also reports suggesting that Trump assigning a position to Musk is merely a weasel wishing the fox a Happy New Year; he secretly still has a backup plan ready for unforeseen circumstances.
What is the appointment?
On November 12, 2024, U.S. local time, just six days after being elected president, Trump announced his plan to establish a 'Department of Government Efficiency,' to be jointly led by entrepreneur Musk and Ramaswamy. Reports indicate that although this department is not a federal government agency and can only provide advice and guidance outside the government, both Trump and Musk have highly praised the formal establishment of this agency. Musk stated: "This is not a threat to democracy, but a threat to bureaucracy... People have no idea how much substantive impact this will have!"
Trump stated:
The 'Department of Government Efficiency' will "pave the way for dismantling government bureaucracy, reducing unnecessary regulatory laws and wasteful spending, and restructuring federal agencies." It is understood that once the Department of Government Efficiency is operational, it will cooperate with the White House and the Office of Management and Budget to oversee federal agencies in terms of public spending, personnel framework, efficiency improvements, etc., reducing administrative waste, cutting fiscal expenditures, and providing guidance for the reduction and improvement of federal agencies.
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80% of those who desire to profit in the cryptocurrency world usually go through three stages: The first stage is the experience journey, often involving small gains followed by significant losses, or the money earned is completely lost again. The second stage is to solidify beliefs, achieving small gains, summarizing experiences and lessons after encountering new things, and then forming a personal rhythm. The third stage is the moment that can truly change one’s fate, relying on strategy, timing, discipline, and perhaps a bit of luck, one might be able to earn considerable wealth. Those who can return with full loads and retire successfully in the first stage are extremely rare; more people exhaust their capital and fail to reach the shores of success, and being able to persist on the 'table' is already impressive. In short, during an upward cycle, everything seems beautiful; during a downward cycle, everything appears terrible. Therefore, when information floods in like a tide, it is essential to remain humble and patient. The more eager one is to operate, the more losses one often incurs. Strive to cultivate a good mindset, excellent discernment, and a high level of focus!
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How can we seize this bull market and realize the reversal of positions?
1: Pyramid bottom-picking method: suitable for the predicted big crash. Bottom-picking method: entrust 80% of the coin price to buy one-tenth of the bullet position, entrust 70% of the coin price to buy two-tenths of the bullet position, entrust 60% of the coin price to buy three-tenths of the bullet position, and entrust 50% of the coin price to buy four-tenths of the bullet position.
2: Moving average method: you need to understand the basics of K-line. The indicator parameters are set as MA5, MA10, MA20, MA30, MA60, and the level is selected as the one-day line. If the current price is above the MA5 and MA10 lines, hold it firmly. If MA5 falls below MA10, sell the coin. If MA5 rises above MA10, buy and open a position.
3: Violent hoarding method: do the coin you are familiar with, only suitable for long-term high-quality coins with a liquid fund, a certain coin is currently priced at US$8, then entrust 7 US dollars to buy, and when the purchase is successfully executed, entrust 8.8 US dollars to sell. Use profits to hoard coins. Take out the liquid funds and continue to wait for the next opportunity. Adjust dynamically according to the current price. If there are three such opportunities in a month, you can hoard a lot of coins. The formula is that the opening price is equal to the current price multiplied by 90%, and the selling price is equal to the current price multiplied by 110%!
4: Violent gameplay of small coins: If you have 10,000 RMB, divide it into ten parts, buy ten different types of small coins, and the price is preferably within 3 RMB. After buying, don't worry about it. Don't ship it if it doesn't double 3-5 times, and don't ship it if it is locked, and put it for long-term. If a certain coin triples, take away the principal of 1,000 yuan and invest in another small coin. Then the compound interest income is exaggerated.
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How $10,000 Turned Into $2.5 Billion? Shiba Inu (SHIB) Takes You on the Road to Billionaires!
Early Shiba Inu (SHIB) investors are among the luckiest few in the crypto community. Those who held out until SHIB hit an all-time high of $0.00008616 in October 2021 saw massive returns on minimal investment. During the 2021 bull run, the price of the dog-themed cryptocurrency rose by millions of percentage points. Those who participated in the project early on became millionaires overnight.
According to Bubblemaps, one of the earliest Shiba Inu (SHIB) whales controls nearly 10% of the asset’s supply. Despite the massive gains, the whale wallet continues to hold onto its tokens. Between August and October 2020, the whale purchased 38 ETH worth of SHIB, which was around $10,000 at the time.
How $10,000 Turned Into $2.5 Billion?
Fast forward to October 2021, and the whale’s SHIB holdings have surged to nearly $5 billion in value after SHIB hit an all-time high. To increase anonymity, the whale split his holdings into 14 different wallets. In 2023, the whale further split his holdings into 150 different wallets.
The Shiba Inu Fund (SHIB) has seen a significant drop in value over the past few years. The asset is down 71.6% from its 2021 high. As a result, the whale’s holdings have also lost some value. Today, the whale holds nearly $2.5 billion worth of SHIB and shows no signs of selling.
What would happen if the whale sold his Shiba Inus?
The whale controls nearly 10% of the SHIB supply. The whale’s wallet holds more SHIB tokens than the public wallets of Binance and Robinhood. If the whale decides to sell his holdings, the SHIB community will be in chaos. The price of the asset could plummet, and investors and fans will start to panic.
The whale's firm diamond hand brings stability to the project. At present, the identity of the whale is unknown. This person may even be Ryoshi, the anonymous creator of SHIB.
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How to choose the next promising Memecoin to be listed on BN? 1. Liquidity health, which is the ratio of liquidity to market capitalization. A higher ratio indicates better liquidity conditions and a more stable price; conversely, a lower ratio indicates concerning liquidity and significant price volatility. 2. Per capita trading volume should not be overlooked, as it is the ratio of trading volume to trading addresses. A high value indicates a concentration of large holders and high control; a low value indicates a predominance of retail investors and dispersed chips. 3. Per capita transaction count is derived from the number of transactions divided by the number of addresses. A higher value indicates high activity and frequent swing trading; a lower value indicates stagnant transactions and fewer swing participants. 4. Potential index, which is the ratio of trading volume to market capitalization. A high value indicates that the market cap struggles to match trading demand, indicating significant upward potential; a low value suggests that the market cap can meet trading demand, limiting upward space.
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The price of Bitcoin has reached a new high of 100,000, but are you still holding a copycat and wanting to cry without tears? You feel that the bull market is difficult, and you may not have a good time in the past one or two years. That is not your fault.
It is because the whole market is full of VC coins + various insider trading!!
They wear suits and shout "building", but they issue a lot of junk VC coins
The current situation of the entire currency circle is: exchanges set up casinos and set up platforms, dealers (project parties) write scripts, and gentry (VC) pay money + insider trading. Everyone shares the leeks that are worshipped by the crowd
Are people born equal? No, people are born to be slaughtered! People are born to be leeks! This is the current situation of this fucked up world
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