Brothers, today I had tea and chatted with the big guys in the circle, and I gained a lot. Here is a summary for everyone:

1: If you make a lot of money, you should leave the market, rest quietly, travel and relax.

2: If you lose more than 10% continuously, find the reason immediately to avoid getting stuck in the quagmire.

3: Short-term trading, don’t trade when it is unclear, it is easy to lose money.

4: Don’t follow up when the increase exceeds 50%, it is often a trap and easy to be trapped.

5: After a continuous surge, high volume is a lure to buy more, control your emotions and don’t buy.

6: Buy low when weak, and buy when strong.

7: Be cautious when adding positions. Don’t add positions when you are not 90% sure and the situation is unclear. It is stable to build positions in batches at low levels.

8: Buy currencies in a familiar mode to make risk-free money. Keep these in mind and your investment will be more stable! #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC走势预测

BTC market analysis on July 12

The 58,000 support given in the analysis on the 10th rebounded to 59,700, and then the news fell to around 57,000. This kind of up and down seesaw market is recommended to wait and see, and less operation. Personally, I still maintain a short-term bearish and long-term bullish view

BTC's operating framework is now very clear, the lower half of 56,000-54,000, the upper half to 59,700, now the long chips are more and more concentrated, and the bottom-fishing is also increasing. If the market returns to the lower consolidation zone again, it will increase the probability of creating a low point, and continue to liquidate longs to test the 52,000-50,000 support

The German selling pressure has almost been digested by the market, and there are more than 6,000 BTC left. There may be a period of Mentougou selling pressure next. Yesterday's CPI positive rate cut expectations have been pushed forward to September, when the negatives of Mentougou will be exhausted, the US election, ETH upgrade, Ethereum ETF, FTX release funds and the Fed will release money. The current stage is to patiently wait for the right position to hoard coins.

Intraday operations still refer to wide fluctuations, the resistance level is 58,000, and the support is 55,500-56,000. There are many spot orders here in the liquidation chart, and they are all liquidated regardless of high or low multiples. In the volatile market, remember to stop profit and reduce positions frequently #BTC下跌分析 #BTC走势预测 #币安7周年

Sun Ge's long order of 67,000 US dollars in Bitcoin was exposed, with an amount of about 400 million yuan. Therefore, all the brothers in the group said that they would smash Sun Ge's position and make him liquidate, and said that Sun Ge would become the biggest person in history to resist orders.

However, I don't think there is any need to make a fuss about this matter. From the first ten years since the birth of Bitcoin, it has always been Sun Ge who cut the leeks of others. I believe that Sun Ge is also right this time. I will unswervingly follow Sun Ge's bullish view. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安7周年

I just had a chat with a senior tycoon in the field of cryptocurrency trading. He told me about his investment experience: he first entered the cryptocurrency circle with 400,000 yuan, lost only 80,000 yuan, and now his assets have exceeded 10 million. He said that the key to helping him change his fate is to persist in learning and continuously improve his cognitive level. The following are five valuable experiences he summarized, hoping to bring some inspiration to everyone!

Don't rush to stop loss in the early morning drop:
Generally speaking, the sharp drop in the early morning is mostly due to the overreaction caused by the bad news the night before. You might as well wait patiently for the market to repair and reverse. However, when there is a big rise at the end of the trading, don't blindly chase the rise, because some main players prefer to test the market or induce investors at the end of the trading, and may open low the next day to absorb funds.

Use trading volume to judge market trends:
Trading volume is a very practical technical indicator. If the trading volume shrinks during the rise, it means that the main force has strong control ability; if the trading volume shrinks during the fall, it means that the panic has not been completely eliminated, and the market may continue to fall.

Learn to understand the top structure of the sector:
The sector market is usually divided into five waves: the first wave is used to attract followers, the second wave is for washing and adjustment, the third wave is the main rising wave, the fourth wave presents a complex divergence trend, and the fifth wave is for lifting and selling. Among them, the increase in the third wave is the most impressive, followed by the first wave, and the fifth wave is the lowest. But the market is unpredictable, and some market conditions may end before the fifth wave is formed. When it is found that the rise of the leading sector has stagnated and the compensatory rise is no longer continuing, it is likely to have reached the top.

Pay attention to the acceleration stage at the top of the market:
Whenever the market accelerates at the top, you will often see a sharp rise in the altcoins of a certain sector, which may cause the market to reverse and turn around. Just observe whether the performance of the major leading currencies has stopped falling and rebounded, and the index may also rebound in the future.

Focus on studying one strategy:
For novices who are new to investment, focusing on studying one trading strategy is more ideal than learning multiple strategies at the same time. Greedy and easy to lose, not good at learning is very easy to be taught a lesson by the market. Do not switch modes at will, calm down and study hard. After achieving stable profits, you can learn more skills to achieve a thorough understanding.

Follow me, my homepage will share the bull market layout for free every day

The rebound of the pie has given two important pressure levels, one is around 60,000, and the other is around 66,500. Breaking through the first pressure level means that the rebound will continue, and there is the possibility of reversal. Breaking through the second pressure level means that it will start directly. The probability of a main rise increases. Specifically, we need to observe the wave pattern during the rise.

The operating cycle of pie and ether is very long. When it rises, it can be overwhelming. When it goes sideways, it is very annoying. The root cause of losing money is deeply participating in the adjustment wave. The root cause of not making money is using the way of adjustment wave to deal with the main rising wave.

Achievements in bull market dividends, failure in bull-bear transitions

A few days ago, when $PEOPLE hit the bottom, it was the best buying opportunity, but the market chose to continue selling. The trouble with this kind of selling is that it weakens the confidence of the staged market. Once confidence collapses, it will take several months of re-accumulation to form a unilateral market again.

This is the most difficult cycle. Not only is the capital concentrated in a few currencies, but it also creates the illusion of a bull market, and then collectively harvests, and there are almost no winners in the secondary market.

Of course, confidence is built through rising. If $BTC can consolidate around 52K for a week or two and then attack, it is not impossible. #币安7周年 #BTC下跌分析

$ETHFI is about to reach our target position of 2.2. Now you can close half of your position at 2.1. #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥

If the bull market continues, it is certain that 90% of the people behind will still miss the opportunity of the bull market.

Question: Will you miss the bull market if you are trapped? Yes!

The principle of missing the bull market: When you are deeply trapped and suffer huge losses, retail investors will form the "seed" of risk aversion and establish a psychological defense mechanism. Once individual currencies are untied, 90% of retail investors will choose to sell! So they will miss the subsequent bull market.

The current market is volatile. Whether you are keen on contracts or spot, you can check the introduction to find me. After the market fell sharply, I also looked at several potential coins and prepared to lay out.

Why not join me to capture the next wave of opportunities in the market #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC走势预测

5 altcoins that could explode this summer

1. Solana (SOL)
Due to its fast transaction processing and solid infrastructure, Solana's price and market position have significantly improved. Its efficient network performance and low transaction fees have attracted a large number of developers and investors, making it a popular choice in the market.

2. Toncoin (TON)
Toncoin is a promising investment option due to its low cost and high scalability. Its unique technical advantages make it highly competitive in the blockchain field, attracting more and more attention.

3. Polygon (MATIC)
As an enhanced solution to Ethereum, Polygon’s market value is expected to grow significantly. By offering higher transaction speeds and lower fees, Polygon makes the Ethereum network more efficient and practical, driving its rise in popularity.

4. TRON (TRX)
TRON is emerging in the field of decentralized digital entertainment and its value has increased significantly. Its platform attracts a large number of content creators and consumers, driving the expansion of its ecosystem and increasing its value.

5. NEAR Protocol (NEAR)
As a decentralized cloud computing solution, NEAR Protocol solves common problems of blockchain and has growth potential. Its efficient performance and user-friendly development environment have attracted a large number of developers and projects, driving the growth of its market value.

These five altcoins are expected to explode this summer with their unique technical advantages and market positioning. Investors can pay close attention to the development of these projects and seize market opportunities. #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC走势分析 #山寨季何时到来？

Analysis and forecast of Bitcoin market in the second half of July

Phase 1: Clearing leverage in the market

At present, Bitcoin has experienced two sharp corrections, reaching the levels of US$56,000 and US$53,000 respectively, and the amount of each clearing is about US$2.6 billion. However, the pain points of the price are different, so this stage may replicate the situation before the explosion last year, repeatedly clearing leverage in the market. It is expected that from July to September, Bitcoin may reach around US$70,000 and then fall. This position may re-attract a large number of users to enter the market. The situation of not breaking the previous high is very consistent with the conditions for clearing leverage, and the indicators of the weekly and three-day lines also support this prediction.

Phase 2: Expectation of Fed rate cuts

The Fed is very likely to cut interest rates in November. With the expectation of rate cuts, the end of the Mentougou incident and the landing of the Ethereum ETF, the price of Bitcoin may slowly rise again.

Phase 3: The arrival of rate cuts

With the arrival of rate cuts, Bitcoin may reach the range of US$100,000 to US$120,000, while Ethereum is expected to break through US$10,000. The violent altcoin season is expected to arrive after March next year.

Current stage strategy

At this stage, Bitcoin will continue to rise slowly, attracting more investors to enter the market. It may then hit $70,000, fall again to $56,000, and then continue to rise and repeat the test until the news and fundamentals are in line with expectations. #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #BTC走势分析

Market Analysis: Nonfarm Employment Data and Its Impact

The U.S. non-farm payrolls data for June was released, showing that it was 16,000 higher than expected, and the unemployment rate was also 0.1% higher than expected. In terms of news, this is a negative signal for the market. Although the data does not exceed expectations by much, it still needs to be treated with caution.

Impact of ETH ETF resubmission on the market

The ETH ETF refiling on July 8 has the potential to have a positive impact on the market. Although there has been some decline in the market recently, this may be preparation for a better rise. Investors should pay close attention to this development and make corresponding adjustments to investment strategies.

Focus on sectors: AI+DePIN

AI+DePIN is an important hot topic this year, and investors must not miss it.

Analysis of the potential of io.net

As a leading project in the DePIN track, io.net provides strong support for a variety of applications with high computing requirements through its decentralized GPU computing network. The $IO token has significant advantages in governance and staking, and is expected to further appreciate in value in the future as the ecosystem expands and application scenarios become richer.

Market outlook

1. The potential of the DePIN track: With the continuous development of blockchain technology, decentralized infrastructure will become an important part of the future digital economy. As a leading project in this track, io.net has huge growth potential.
2. Token appreciation space: With the continuous enrichment of application scenarios and the expansion of the ecosystem, the $IO token is expected to further appreciate.

Overall, the DePIN track has huge potential. With the continuous development of blockchain technology, decentralized infrastructure will become an important part of the future digital economy. Investors should pay attention to the development trends of relevant projects and seize market opportunities. #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币

Is Sol coin worth holding for the long term? How high will it be in 2024?

(Main business communication)

The Past and Present Life of Sol Coin

First, we need to understand the background of SOL currency. SOL coin is the native token of the Solana blockchain platform. Solana is known as the "fighter in high-performance public chains" and quickly stands out in the market with its distinctive features of high speed and low cost. Its team is strong and its technical skills are solid. These are the reasons why SOL Coin has attracted much attention.

Why is SOL coin worth holding for the long term?

1. Significant technical advantages

Solana’s high performance is undeniable. It can handle tens of thousands of transactions per second, and the handling fees are amazingly low. This powerful technical advantage has helped Solana quickly lay a foundation in DeFi, NFT and other fields, attracting many developers and project parties.

2. Ecosystem continues to expand

Solana's ecosystem is growing rapidly, with all kinds of applications springing up. From decentralized exchanges to games and NFT markets, Solana is involved in almost everything. A huge ecosystem means continuous demand, which provides solid support for the price of SOL coins.

3. Favored by capital

Friends, don’t look at the propaganda and look at the actual results. Look at the actions of those investment giants. Industry giants such as FTX and Alameda Research have invested heavily in Solana. This is the most intuitive reflection of market confidence. Rich people usually have keen and unique vision, and their layouts can often trigger further market explosions. #sol板块 #solana生态

Bad news, the market price has fallen again. Good news, you can go all-in again. #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #BTC☀

If you want to make a living from trading, even if you have excellent skills and a good mentality, you still need a big market to cooperate with you. Daily small moves are like chickens pecking at rice, far less than a major opportunity. Therefore, you must wait patiently for the arrival of a big opportunity. As the saying goes, if you don't open a business for a year, you can make a living for three years after you open it. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ASI代币合并计划 #非农就业数据即将公布

Why is it that everyone knows that the Yitai ETF will be approved soon, but its price is difficult to rise? There are two main reasons: First, there is a shortage of funds on the market. The current price has already covered all expectations, and new funds have not been able to enter the market; second, it is reported that many institutions and large investors hold more than 50% of their positions in copycats, and are in a state of being trapped. There are fewer players holding big cakes, and the profit funds of big cakes are difficult to flow to Yitai and copycats. Therefore, only after the approval of the Yitai ETF, a large amount of off-market funds will flow in, and the price will soar. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Which are the junk altcoins?

Continuous inflation and issuance, huge issuance but extremely low circulation, issuance of 1 billion or 10 billion, but hundreds of millions, tens of billions, and billions in circulation, there are still more than 70%-80% of the coins in the reservoir waiting to be diluted, thus diluting the price

Which are excellent altcoins?

Deflation coins such as: BNB FLOKL SHIB

Fully circulated coins such as: PEPE Bome PEOPLE NOT WIF

The quality ranking of altcoins is as follows

Deflation coins are greater than fully circulated coins, greater than reservoir coins, and greater than inflation

#Meme板块普涨 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Stop loss is not the same as loss
This is a sentence that most traders find difficult to understand. This is actually normal loss in trading. For trading, stop loss is the norm. It is just like the machine in the factory. When you produce a valuable product, there must be loss of the machine. The same principle applies to both. People who do not stop loss will find it difficult to trade well and will fail sooner or later. Be resolute in stop loss and accept it happily. The courage to stop loss is a necessary trait for a mature trader. No one's funds are lost due to stop loss. Frequent trading should be avoided. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #Meme板块普涨

Current trend analysis and countermeasures

Based on the current trend, there are probably three possibilities in the next few days:

1. Short-term rise
- Probability: 30%
- Prediction: The price will rise to around 65,500 on the 26th, 27th and 28th.

2. Short-term correction
- Probability: 50%
- Prediction: The price will fall back to around 57,000 within three days.

3. Sharp decline
- Probability: 20%
- Prediction: The price will fall sharply to around 51,000 within three days.

Countermeasures

1. If there is a short-term rise (trend one)
- Strategy: Cover short orders around 65,500.

2. If there is a short-term correction (trend two)
- Strategy: Buy the bottom of spot near 57,000 and close the short order at the same time.

3. If there is a sharp decline (trend three)
- Strategy: Buy the bottom near 51,000 and add one times leverage.

Notes

- Time node: The specific time is midnight on the 28th. You may need to stay up late to observe the market trend.

- Small fluctuations: If there are small fluctuations, no special attention is needed and they can be ignored.

- Trend analysis:

- Trend 1: Traditional short-selling trend.

- Trend 2: Similar to the callback trend on May 19.

- Trend 3: Similar to the plunge trend on March 12.

Through the above analysis and strategies, you can flexibly respond to market changes in the next few days and strive to obtain the best trading opportunities in different trends. #Meme板块普涨 #BTC走势预测

My subjective judgment

1. **The current bull market is in the mid-term correction stage**: A big market is expected in the next 3-6 months, and a super violent bull market is expected in the next year.
2. **Altcoin season is coming**: Altcoins will have a period of explosion, but the time to escape the top may only be 1-2 months.
3. **The huge potential of head projects**: In the fields of rune heads, inscription heads, and small pictures of Bitcoin, many assets may have 10-50 times growth opportunities in the future, including Pizza Dog, RSIC, Sats, Rats, Ordi, Wzrd Pups, Little Frog, Node Monkey and Puppet, etc.

Operation suggestions

1. **Do a good job of position management and allocation**
- 50% of the positions must be allocated to Bitcoin or Ethereum to ensure the stability and security of investment.

2. **Allocation of altcoins and head projects**
- 20%-30% of the positions can be allocated to the altcoins, inscription heads and rune head projects that you are optimistic about, in pursuit of higher returns.

3. **Maintain liquidity**
- Always reserve about 10% of funds for bargain hunting, be ready to ambush hot tracks and projects at any time, and respond flexibly to market changes.

4. **Allocate Meme coins**
- Keep 5-10% of the position for Meme coin investment, strictly implement the stop-profit and stop-loss strategy, and sell at a loss to ensure profits.

Through the above strategies, you can control risks to the maximum extent and strive to obtain higher returns in the mid-term correction stage of the bull market and the upcoming altcoin season. Only by maintaining flexible position management and scientific investment strategies can you move forward steadily in market fluctuations. #Meme板块普涨

How should we control the retracement in the process of cryptocurrency trading?

1. Reasonable position management
- Diversify investment: spread funds into multiple currencies to reduce the risk brought by the fluctuation of a single currency.
- Set the position ratio: set the investment ratio of each currency according to your own risk tolerance to avoid over-positioning a certain currency.

2. Use stop-loss order
- Set the stop-loss point: set the stop-loss point before each transaction, and automatically sell when the price reaches the stop-loss point to prevent greater losses.
- Dynamically adjust the stop-loss point: dynamically adjust the stop-loss point according to market trends to protect the profits already obtained.

3. Regularly evaluate and adjust the investment portfolio
- Regularly review the investment portfolio: regularly evaluate the investment portfolio to ensure that it meets the investment objectives and risk preferences.
- Adjust positions: adjust positions in a timely manner according to market changes and personal investment strategies to avoid over-concentration or over-dispersion.

4. Maintain a reasonable leverage ratio
- Control leverage use: In leveraged trading, control the leverage ratio. High leverage may bring high returns, but also increase risks and retracement.
- Be cautious when adding positions: When the market fluctuates greatly, avoid adding positions frequently to avoid magnifying losses.

5. Set profit and loss expectations
- Set reasonable profit targets: Set reasonable profit targets, and consider partial or full profit stop after reaching the target, and don't be too greedy.
- Treat losses rationally: When facing losses, don't operate emotionally, follow the established investment plan, and avoid larger drawdowns.

6. Stay mentally stable
- Avoid emotional operations: Stay calm when the market fluctuates, and don't make irrational decisions due to panic or greed.
- Make a trading plan: Make a detailed plan before each transaction, including entry points, stop loss points, and take profit points, and strictly implement them.

7. Learn and follow up on market trends
- Continuous learning: Continuously learn market trends, understand the factors that affect market fluctuations, and improve analysis and judgment capabilities.
- Pay attention to market news: Pay attention to market news and important events in a timely manner, and take risk prevention measures in advance.

8. Use risk management tools
- Hedging strategies: When the market is uncertain, reduce risks through hedging strategies, such as holding long and short positions at the same time.
- Margin management: Strictly control the use of margin to avoid forced liquidation due to insufficient margin.
#Meme板块普涨