Comprehensive on-chain analysis and order strategy (interpretation of key on-chain indicators) 1. Market sentiment and profitability MVRV (market value/realized market value): The current value is 1.658, which is in the neutral range and has not reached the top (>3.5) or bottom (<span signal, but it is far below the historical peak, indicating that there is still room for growth. SOPR (Expenditure Output Profit Ratio): The current value is 1.016, indicating that investors have made a small profit, but have not entered the stage of excessive greed, and the market has not yet peaked. Fear and Greed Index: It is in the "Healthy Greed" range (80-90), supporting medium- and long-term bullishness, but be wary of short-term corrections. 2. Miners and institutional behavior Miners' selling pressure: Recently, miners have sold thousands of BTC per day, which may suppress prices in the short term, but the computing power remains high (about 559 EH/s), indicating long-term confidence. ETF fund flow: Spot ETFs continue to have net inflows (such as BlackRock and Fidelity), but Grayscale (GBTC) has a high selling volume, so we need to pay attention to the dynamic balance of fund inflows/outflows.
3. Technical signals Pi Cycle Oscillator: The distance between the 111-day and 350-day moving averages has widened, and the bullish momentum has recovered. The short-term support level is $102,500 (the lowest price on January 26), and the resistance level is $105,000. RSI and MACD: RSI is 72 (overbought area), and the MACD bar is positive, indicating that there may be a short-term correction but the trend has not changed.
2. Order strategy recommendations Long strategy (suitable for those with higher risk appetite)
1. Limit buy: Entry point: $102,000-102500 (recent low support area). Stop loss: $100,000 (psychological barrier + below technical support). Take profit: First target: $105,000 (short-term resistance). Second target: $109,000 (near the historical high).
2. Breakout and long: If the price stabilizes above $105,000, you can place a breakout order (such as $105,200), with a target of $110,000 and a stop loss of $103,800.
Short strategy (suitable for short-term swing trading)
1. Pullback short: Entry point: $107,000-108,000 (resistance zone near the previous high). Stop loss: $109,500 (above the historical high). Take profit: $103,500 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level).
2. Oversold rebound capture: If the RSI falls back below 50, you can place an order near $98,000 (200-day EMA support), and the rebound target is $11,000#BTC
🚀 Bitcoin has rocketed past 109k, smashing ATHs! Where's it going next? Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇 🎁The top 3 closest predictions will win 300 USDC, 150 USDC, and 50 USDC. Jump in and share your prediction now! *Campaign Period: 2025-01-20 07:30 to 2025-01-26 20:00 (UTC) ‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry. Terms and Conditions: This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
Is the second pancake still being held waiting to rise, brother?
10年资深散户-牛市在2025年底
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Have you ever encountered situations like this? That is, if you don't cut your losses, this coin just won't rise or only rises a little while falling a lot. Leveraging means going long on a short squeeze, and shorting leads to a long squeeze, right? Also, when you think a coin that has fallen a lot should theoretically rise, once you buy into it, it surprisingly continues to plummet. When you can't bear it anymore and cut your losses, it then skyrockets? If you encounter such situations, then you are being secretly observed by the Pi Xiu coin, because you have revealed your hand. Please refer to the following situations: 【1】Price Manipulation Concerns: Most large exchanges have been accused of influencing market prices through means such as artificially inflating trading volumes, spoofing (rapidly surging or crashing prices), allowing the platform to secretly profit or providing convenience for specific accounts. They even directly fabricate prices using methods like spoofing and flash crashes, siphoning off all assets from leveraged users. 【2】Insider Trading Rumors: Some exchange employees or executives are said to have advance knowledge of certain tokens being listed, allowing them to buy in at low prices before the listing, and then sell after the price skyrockets, making substantial profits. Ordinary investors, due to information asymmetry, end up being 'harvested.' 【3】Suspicious Stablecoins: To bridge fiat currencies and digital currencies, many companies have launched stablecoins pegged to the US dollar at a ratio of 'one-to-one'. Theoretically, each stablecoin should be backed by an equivalent amount of US dollars or other secure assets. However, in reality, companies issuing stablecoins often engage in shady practices behind the scenes.
🎉Some people in their twenties have eyes full of hope, while others in their thirties see darkness everywhere. Thanks to Xiao Hei's mockery, true gold is never afraid of being tested by fire.
Old fans of Li Chen know the strategy; I have never played trivial games, which aren't meaningful. I also thank the old fans for supporting me.
This time, Sui has allowed everyone to enter around 4.44, currently hitting 3 times straight to the second tier at 4.63. For those who want to see the pattern position, you can take some profits and keep your principal loss to continue soaring. Without further ado, I just want to ask, does the rib taste good?😍$SUI #大盘走势 #sui链
🎉Some people in their twenties have eyes full of hope, while others in their thirties see darkness everywhere. Thanks to Xiao Hei's mockery, true gold is never afraid of being tested by fire.
Old fans of Li Chen know the strategy; I have never played trivial games, which aren't meaningful. I also thank the old fans for supporting me.
This time, Sui has allowed everyone to enter around 4.44, currently hitting 3 times straight to the second tier at 4.63. For those who want to see the pattern position, you can take some profits and keep your principal loss to continue soaring. Without further ado, I just want to ask, does the rib taste good?😍$SUI #大盘走势 #sui链
Will Morning Brother run to 740? The average price at 710 is still being held 🤪
淘金的黎晨
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Bearish
Analysis on November 12: Short near BNB 693-698 First tier target 681-686, second tier target 663-668, pattern level: 646
BNB is about to break through the 800 mark on the 8th, but fate seems to have played a joke on those blindly chasing highs, quickly plunging to the 600 mark. Li Chen believes that the market consolidation is still ongoing. As the market continues to cool down, it's easy to get washed out when bullish. There's a high probability it will spike down and break below 600, leading to a situation that starts with 5, followed by a rebound.
But let's not look too far ahead, as I know some family members might not be able to hold on and reap the fruits of victory in advance. It's better to make a phased profit-taking. After taking profits, let everyone make new trades to quickly flip the account, which is a good positive cycle. If you don't understand the layout in a bull market, you can refer to Li Chen's past performance: #BNB走势 #大盘走势