Recently, someone asked me if trading through technical analysis is gambling.
When it comes to trading, people often equate trading with gambling. Some believe that whether engaging in cryptocurrency trading or gambling, there is a certain degree of randomness and uncertainty, hence the similarities between the two. First, let's clarify the difference between gambling and trading. In gambling, the outcome is entirely determined by luck, and you cannot influence the result through any techniques or strategies. However, in trading, although there are risks, you can formulate strategies through technical analysis and use probability to assess risks and rewards.
In my opinion, the crypto space is the best way for ordinary people to change their fate. It is fair because it is globally participatory, thus eliminating many manipulators; at least Bitcoin has absolutely eliminated manipulators, leaving only large holders and whales. In this era, having a fair competitive platform for ordinary people is already a rare blessing, and we can still demand more.
In my view, the crypto space is also a pyramid; at the top are the US government, Chinese government, Vitalik Buterin, Zhao Changpeng, Li Xiaolai, Sun Yuchen, and private whales holding over 100,000 BTC. The second layer consists of investment institutions like BlackRock and Grayscale. The third layer is the coin issuance teams with funds and technology. The fourth layer consists of miners, brick movers, and C2C market makers. The fifth layer is for large holders above A8. The sixth layer consists of experienced traders in the crypto space who engage in various airdrops and whitewashing in the primary market. The seventh layer consists of traditional traders transitioning from the futures market and stock market to the crypto space, mainly focusing on contracts with spot trading as a supplement.
Having traded for so many years, I've both made profits and suffered losses. First, let's summarize the main reasons for losses, some of which I have also experienced.
Leverage is a double-edged sword; if used well, you will run faster than others; of course, conversely, if used poorly, you will die faster than others. After playing contracts for a long time, you will find that playing spot becomes very simple. Many beginners hope that one transaction can yield huge profits, turning 10,000 into 1 million, then from 1 million to 500,000, losing 50%, returning to 1 million, needing to double, and then back to zero, just a multiplier. Thus, beginners are most likely to become self-satisfied, thinking they are exceptionally gifted after making a few profits, and impulsively go all in, only to return to zero. Traders who truly want to survive in the crypto market never put themselves in a desperate situation. From the moment they go all in or heavily leveraged, they are destined to be losers. I hope friends are sufficiently alert in leveraged trading +.
Trading experts' trading secrets, I hint with simple one or two sentences
A friend in the crypto circle, a man from Beijing, three years ago after a phone call with me said he had blown up a contract three times with a debt of 60 million, then went silent. It turned out he was in seclusion for three years. Now, after clearing his debts, he has a few small suns and an income of seven figures monthly, with an annual income in the eight figures! Not long ago when we met, I summarized and organized his insights from these three years, and through the last trading practice, the win rate surprisingly reached 98%. Now I share this with those who are destined to find it. A common ailment among retail investors worldwide is holding onto losses and selling immediately as soon as they turn a slight profit. They do not look at trends or trading volumes, only at limited profits in their accounts. They need to take the opposite approach: hold onto profits and cut losses quickly. The final result is unlimited losses. My principles for taking profits and cutting losses are: take profit at 15%, cut losses if profits fall to 10%, and let profits run. If the price drops after buying and losses exceed 5% of the principal, then cut losses. If you can ensure a profit of 10% and a loss of 5% each time, then after 100 trades, even if your win rate is only 50%, your returns will reach 300%. Is it difficult? The difficulty lies in human greed and fear. Remember that understanding and action must align with the trend. Once a trend forms, there is no need for excessive analysis; you must follow it and move with the funds, without guessing or predicting. If you cannot judge the trend, look at the moving averages. The so-called moving averages divide the market into bullish and bearish phases; bullish means upward, bearish means downward. For short-term trading, look at the daily moving average; if there is a volume breakout, follow it. For mid to long-term trends, look at the weekly moving average; if there is a volume breakout, enter, and exit if it breaks. Acting in accordance with the trend means not going against it. If the market is bad, firmly stay out of positions; if the trend is downward, do not easily try to catch the bottom. Do not fantasize about being able to buy coins that will rise against the market, nor should you expect a rebound just because you bought them. The probability of such situations is too low. The core of trading coins is to only engage in high-probability events and to abandon low-probability ones. Being able to admit mistakes and control losses promptly is fundamental to surviving in the market, and its importance far exceeds not being able to profit today. No matter what method you use, mastering just one is enough. You need to use this method precisely, absolutely, and thoroughly. For short-term trading, you must look at 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour candlestick charts. You can find the entry and exit points of the day based on the KDJ indicator, and you can clearly judge the intentions of the main force using the OBV indicator. The fundamental difference between washing and delivering is in the volume decrease and increase. For a coin that is strongly attacking, if a risk warning announcement appears, it can be understood short-term as 'just a volume contraction for shakeout, at least there is still a new high to expect.'
The simplest way to make money in cryptocurrency! Once you realize it, it's like drinking water!! Rules for making money in a bull market, remember!!
1. Once an uptrend begins, it won't easily end, so don't be afraid of the major corrections that occur early on. Boldly enter the market; the most troublesome thing is to wait for an even lower point. The longer you wait, the higher it goes, and you'll miss the opportunity. 2. In a bull market, you should often inject funds. If your position is not full, try to wait for a pullback and go all in. Otherwise, you might get a sudden jab, and most people can't bear it. 3. Make sure to manage your positions well. It is best to lay out in several key sectors because if you are fully invested in one sector and it doesn't move in the short term while other sectors are rising, it becomes very uncomfortable. If you chase after it, you'll get stuck, and if you sell out, that sector might take off in just a few days. Many people have encountered this, so either don't buy, or if you buy, you must hold firmly. Your coins will eventually rotate, and in a bull market, even the worst coins can multiply five to ten times.
TROY (Token) - TROY is a Launchpad project by Binance at the end of 2019, a GameFi project, no significant progress has been found for the project, suspected to be manipulated by speculative funds or project parties in a sluggish market.
The official announcement has been made, TROY has launched a Meme issuance platform called TroyPump, which is built on the BNB Chain network. TroyPump primarily helps influential Meme intellectual properties grow and promote. With the strong support of the TROY Meme Foundation, new Meme tokens can receive considerable incentives, thus providing more opportunities for the entire ecosystem to develop.
TroyPump aims to create an innovative and dynamic Meme development platform, aspiring to become a new benchmark in the field of Meme culture, elevating the entire sector to a higher level. $TROY
Mindsets to have in the cryptocurrency world and guidelines to avoid pitfalls
People are not confused by the things themselves, but by their views on those things-- Ancient Greek philosopher A book states: "Mediocre generals, when faced with complex environments, will list a pile of difficult problems and question marks for themselves, getting overwhelmed and unable to find direction. A true general, however, cuts through the confusion with a sharp knife, seeing the essence and crux of seemingly ordinary situations at a glance, and acts decisively." This is similar to investment decisions; excellent investors are adept at identifying the main contradictions in both the market and companies, and can see the details. The 'logical fulcrum' that forms the overall and final decision.
If I had bought 10,000 dollars worth of Bitcoin ten years ago, what would I be like now?
I entered the market with 50,000, then to 100,000, and then to 302,000. In the third year, I reached 590,000, and in August of the fourth year, I reached 3.78 million, and in November, it exceeded 7 million. Until a few years ago, I could easily withdraw 30 million in the cryptocurrency circle. During that period, I hit rock bottom; at that time, I reached around 4 million at my peak. At that moment, I thought I could be considered a big shot in the crypto world, and I resolutely quit my job to focus on trading, even borrowing money to trade. However, reality gave me a harsh slap in the face. The financial crisis not only made me give back all my profits but also left me with a mountain of debt, forcing me to sell my house, and my wife almost left me.
What confusions might arise from trading in the crypto space?
The circle is the same; with Bitcoin standing out recently, the profit effect continues to attract outsiders, and more traditional industries and clueless newcomers are flooding into this field because of the potential for making money and getting rich quickly. Mixed feelings, sigh, for me personally, more worries than joy. Why do I have such thoughts? Because I have experienced enough! For example, during the National Day holiday, many friends and relatives whom I haven't contacted for many years, whether by phone, WeChat, or offline, no fewer than five people, have been curious about what I have been doing over the years. They came to ask me the same question: that is, I should hurry to open an account during the long holiday, as the national policy is so favorable, the global financial market will flood with liquidity, and a bull market in the stock market is coming, etc. They are eager to make a profit in the stock market.
Having been in the market for 10 years, I summarize these 5 golden rules that can help you minimize risks and remain undefeated in a frequently fluctuating market.
Rule 1: Invest small amounts to avoid going all-in. Unlike mainstream markets, the high volatility of the market dictates that we should not 'go all-in'. Unlike traditional investments, the risk of projects going to zero here is extremely high, so small amount investments are a rational choice. One important significance of investing small amounts is that even if a project encounters problems, the losses can be controlled within an acceptable range. In the market, keeping enough 'backup' is particularly important; this is not only key to protecting the principal but also a sign of alertness and respect towards market risks. Rule 2: Act promptly, make decisive decisions. In the low market, the timeliness of information is particularly important. Once an opportunity is confirmed, act immediately without hesitation. The market changes rapidly, and prolonged waiting may lead to missed opportunities. In the market, opportunities often vanish in an instant, and excessive hesitation may cause you to miss potential high-return projects. Decisive action is not blind following; it is based on careful evaluation of projects and a keen grasp of market dynamics. Every choice must be accountable for your judgment, but after choosing, you must act swiftly to seize the advantage in an uncertain market environment.
Is trading technique more important or trading psychology more important?
In the last bull market, I made 32 million. Let me share my experience of making my first bucket of gold in the cryptocurrency space. Male, born in 1990, graduated from university in 2014, worked in Shenzhen, and entered the cryptocurrency space in early 2016. Currently, I have a house in Shenzhen, three cars, and I can take out 100,000 for consumption each month without pressure, while most of my other assets are in the exchange. I previously worked in e-commerce in Shenzhen, earning about 20,000-30,000 a month, with monthly expenses over 10,000. I could save about 10,000-20,000 each month. Like many 'migrant workers' in Shenzhen, I wanted to buy a house there. However, with this level of income, saving for a down payment seems like it will take forever. Job income has its limits, and it's hard for wages to rise significantly.
Bankruptcy of 300 million dollars! Bitcoin surges to 100,000 dollars! Is the ticket a scam? A pullback is an opportunity to get on board!
Last night, MSTR rose another 10%, yes, after reaching a new high, it surged by 10%, directly hitting 430 dollars. It is precisely because of MSTR's big rise that BTC's rise was driven in the opposite direction, fundamentally because it and its CopyCat bought nearly 500 million dollars of BTC.
Well, the depressed FOMO sentiment has returned, and once again surged high. This is also why I have always said, you can look bearish, but do not short, because you never know what situation or content will stimulate users' emotions. For example, if you had shorted yesterday, you would be feeling uncomfortable today. Moreover, we do not know how long this FOMO sentiment can last, we can only measure it through trading volume and the reference of spot ETF. This is also the trend I hope my friends understand; as long as the trend does not change, the subsequent positive factors will exponentially amplify users' emotions. The trend is the most important.
Will Bitcoin break through the previous high and surge to 100,000 dollars next? Are you surprised?
Is it possible for the market to continue breaking 100,000 this week? Is the probability high? Personally, I see it as a very high probability. Currently, the trend indicates that breaking the previous high is a matter for this week; a breakthrough of the previous high will lead to a pullback in the last few days of the month, forming a big bullish candle on the monthly chart to welcome the next month's rise.
Before forming a large oscillation range, the current rhythm is as follows:
The bears go short, the bulls chase long, then a false breakout pulls back, the long positions stop out, and the short positions take profit at the top; the entire network has recorded a bankruptcy of nearly 300 million dollars. Long positions account for 178 million dollars, while short positions account for 110 million dollars, with over 105,000 people liquidated.
These days, I am preparing to launch a divine order soon!!!
Calm down, this round will be intense. Regardless of the scammers in the VC circle or various Meme frauds, everyone knows clearly: regulation is coming. This means that if they don't scam now, there won't be another chance; this round will definitely not be missed. Really, there is no industry in the world with a lower cost of crime than the crypto space. Once regulation steps in, causing chaos won't be that easy; all kinds of eyes will be watching you, who would dare to move? They will seize this opportunity well, nurturing the retail investors for 4 years, and if they don't harvest, there will be no more chances. Of course, as retail investors, you and I are the same; before regulation is implemented, let's ride this wave together. This is the regulatory bull. As retail investors' understanding develops, most people have jumped from VC pits to Meme pits... Personally, I do not recommend getting involved; you know the reasons... I do not deny that playing these might make money, but they are not suitable for the vast majority of people. Mentality, funds, price fluctuations, etc. are hard to bear. For ordinary people, holding coins is relatively stable; this is the last wave of dividends, make sure to seize it! Recently, many people regret not holding coins... No worries, when the crazy bull comes, they will regret even more; adapt in advance.
These days I am preparing for the upcoming layout of the divine singles!!!
What is wrong with Ethereum? Why is this cycle completely unable to keep pace with Bitcoin's rhythm?
Is Ethereum really in decline? Is it difficult to replicate the glory of past years? Will a new round of paradigm innovation in the Crypto industry occur within the Ethereum ecosystem? This article will take you back to the origin of the Crypto industry—Bitcoin, to reflect on Ethereum and the entire industry, and to explore where the path to revitalizing the Crypto industry might lie? Escaping the inertia of Ethereum First, no one can completely deny Ethereum! Ethereum has its value and pioneering significance, and smart contracts have indeed opened a new chapter for the entire crypto industry. At least before the birth of Ethereum, most projects in the crypto industry were just poor imitations of Bitcoin. They simply modified a few parameters of Bitcoin's code to create larger block Bitcoin, faster Bitcoin, or more private Bitcoin, etc. Essentially, they were just simple knockoffs of Bitcoin. The concept of altcoins basically encapsulates all Crypto projects before the birth of Ethereum. After the birth of Ethereum, the entire Crypto industry entered a wave of Ethereum knockoffs. Since 2015, countless so-called public chains have been born, such as larger block Ethereum, faster Ethereum, better-performing Ethereum (including Layer 2), etc. Moreover, the so-called ecosystems of each public chain are basically replicas of the Ethereum model, merely DeFi, GameFi, various L2s, modularity, etc. Now, retail investors have become desensitized by various cleverly named and diverse narrative concepts that have repeatedly harvested them, so they simply don’t believe anything anymore and only play the simplest and most straightforward memes. Although everyone knows they won't last long, at least they can enjoy a thrilling gamble!
The existence of Bitcoin in the future may lean more towards the value of gold. This is because Bitcoin shares many characteristics with gold: scarcity, durability, divisibility, portability, and anti-inflation properties. The total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million, and over time, the supply becomes increasingly limited, just like gold becomes more rare. Furthermore, as a digital asset, Bitcoin is not controlled by traditional banks, making it a good store of value, especially during economic instability.
Currently, anyone who is a novice or has yet to step into the crypto space knows that good news keeps coming: the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, Trump's election, and Dogecoin's rise with Musk's support. This good news makes people look forward to cryptocurrencies hitting new highs. However, when everyone is greedy, it’s time to be cautious. High leverage can lead to overnight wealth, but will capital be a philanthropist? Who can guarantee that a bad piece of news won't destroy such a market? In the future, Bitcoin will remain scarce, and may even disrupt traditional finance, which means it is becoming increasingly valuable, but it is also becoming harder to make money, even in a bull market.
These days, I am preparing for the launch of a strategic layout that is about to begin!!!
Bitcoin speculation cools slightly as traders await Trump's next promise
The largest digital asset briefly fell below $87,000 on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said there was no need to rush to cut interest rates. That put the token about $6,500 below its all-time high set on Wednesday. In the derivatives space, K33 Research said the premium of bitcoin futures listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange over spot market prices has fallen. U.S. institutional investors use these contracts to take positions on the original cryptocurrency. Open interest, or open interest, for put options surged in 24 hours at an $80,000 strike price, according to Amberdata.
Someone asked if the threshold for novices in the cryptocurrency circle is high?
How should I put it? Friends who have just entered the cryptocurrency circle must pay some tuition fees. Don't ask why. Many veterans have come this way. If you just buy spot goods blindly, for example, buy a Dogecoin, buy 10,000 yuan, and don't care about anything, look at it again in the second year, if you lose, you lose, if you make money, you make money. Many people just like to buy after making money, always thinking that it will rise, always thinking that this will be a hundred times or a thousand times. I once bought 4,000 yuan of spot goods, and I didn't sell them when it rose to 12,000. As a result, it fell to only a few hundred yuan. Later, I bought various coins and waited for them to rise several times before selling them. As a result, everything I bought fell, similar to running away. So here I advise all cryptocurrency friends, there is no pie in the sky, earning 10%, as long as it is a good thing, you must sell it, and holding money in your hand is the hard truth, and money in your hand is money
The magic order I have been preparing to lay out these days is about to be opened! ! !
Comment 168 to get on the bus! ! !
Impermanence belt Impermanence belt Impermanence belt!!!
In the cryptocurrency world, there are many ways to play. Let me tell you about a few common ones so you can understand them at once! 1. The method of hoarding coins This is simple. Just buy the coins and leave them there, waiting for them to rise slowly. Half a year, a year, or even longer, if you hold them patiently, you will get a good return. But the difficulty is that many people want to sell when they see the price rise, and get panic when they see the price fall, and they simply cannot hold for a long time. Therefore, hoarding coins may seem simple, but it actually tests your patience. 2. In a bull market, chase the rise and sell the fall In a bull market, take some spare money to play around, don’t invest too much, just one-fifth or less. Find some coins with moderate market value, and when they rise, switch to the next one that falls, and repeat the cycle. Even if you are trapped, you can get out of it in a bull market. But remember, the coins you choose can’t be too rubbish, you have to be careful when playing this game.