Ling Xi's precise analysis once again is worth learning. Good evening, brothers! A wonderful week has begun. Last week, Bitcoin and Ethereum both rose by 10 points. Doesn't that feel great? I mentioned before that after interest rate cuts, the second half of the bull market would officially start. Last week's increase must have felt a bit like that.

But don't be too happy too soon. There are many resistance levels above Bitcoin at 69. According to the daily chart, it has attempted to break through several times without success. Last week, it once again reached the upper resistance zone. If it can't push through this week, we need to pay attention to a pullback!

Bitcoin's support levels for this week: 66000-62600-60100 Resistance levels: 70080-71400-72900
Ethereum's support levels for this week: 2610-2540-2440 Resistance levels: 2870-3000-3240

Today's market analysis:

Bitcoin last night broke through the second resistance level I provided before starting a minor pullback. Today, pay attention to the position at 68686. If it falls below this level, a 2-hour pullback will begin, and the support levels to watch are 68350-67910-67300 nearby!

As long as it does not fall below 68350 today, the 4-hour level remains bullish. A minor pullback will still lead to an upward movement, and the target/resistance levels to watch are 69215-69567-70080 nearby!

Ethereum last night pulled back to the first support level I provided at 2688 before breaking through the third resistance level at 2766. Today, keep an eye on the position at 2727. If it falls below this level, a 1-hour pullback will begin, and the support levels to watch are 2702-2685-2652 nearby!

As long as it does not fall below 2685 today, the 4-hour level remains bullish. A minor pullback will still lead to an upward movement, and the target/resistance levels to watch are 2746-2770-2795 nearby!

#APE暴涨 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #BTC重返6W9 #币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #YGG、ADA、ENA解锁 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi's latest sharing of cryptocurrency trading, is cryptocurrency contracts gambling? Many friends often bet 10/20/50 times
or even 100 times, and the money just rushed in, and the position was blown up overnight!
There are two types of people who open high leverage:
First: they like to bet small and win big, like to all-in, and are real gamblers!
Second: There is also a kind of novice who doesn't know how to operate and plan their positions. The contract is over before it even starts!

It is very important to manage the position of the contract to maximize the benefit of the funds,
and avoid your own risks.
How to manage the position of the contract scientifically?

Flexible use of funds: For example, if you want to open a position of 10,000U, you can be 1,000U-10 times, or 500U-20 times.
Stop loss 1%-3%,
Use 10% of the funds to bet on 100% of the profit, and the loss is also under control.
If you use 10,000-10 times 10,000-20 times. .
A wave of market conditions will take you away. Without a tolerance rate and trial and error capital, it is easy to lose everything and distort your mentality!

Using high leverage to borrow funds that are several times more than your principal for speculation, it is common to blow up your account, but it is rare to make money. If you want to use contracts, you must first understand the basics, such as leverage multiples and funding rates. If you don’t know anything, you will blow up your account and blame the tool for harming others.
So you must plan your positions reasonably!

#非农人数大幅升温 #HBO纪录片或揭示中本聪身份 #灰度拟推出AAVE信托基金 #美SEC对Ripple案裁决提出上诉 #Bitwise申请XRPETF $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi is optimistic about the future market, it's really awesome, good evening, everyone's mood is high after the interest rate cut, the market did not pull back all day yesterday, and it continued to rise in small steps. In this kind of rising market, some people are happy and some are worried, some people's account assets are increasing, and some people are still recovering their capital!

It only takes another 10,000 U (about 16 points) for the big cake to break the previous high of 7.38. Looking back at other cottage cottages, how much more will it rise to recover the capital? No matter what sins you committed in your previous life, buying cottages in this bull market should be considered to have paid off!

Today's market analysis:

At present, all levels of the big cake are on the long side. The 1-hour level has just finished the correction. Now the market has started a new wave of rise. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 64500-65150-66110!

If you can't rush up today and step back on the lower support level, pay attention to the positions near 63150-62620-61870!

Ethereum is currently on the long side at all levels. The 1-hour level has just completed the correction. Now the market has started a new wave of rise. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 2551-2594-2635!

If you can't rush up today and step back to the lower support level, pay attention to the positions near 2494-2461-2425!

#币安上线CATI #DODO助力Meme发行 #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #moonbix $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi began to talk about his views on the trend of the currency circle next week

Everyone knows that next week is the Federal Reserve's "Super Central Bank Week"! Will it be a week of rising? Let's first talk about how the last interest rate cut went.

Remember that the last interest rate cut was in 2019, when the first interest rate cut was carried out. It is similar to the current situation. Both are defensive interest rate cuts. Judging from the situation at that time, the US stock market was very difficult, and the EMA200 was stepped back and washed up as many as five times

Before the interest rate cut on the 19th, there were three retracements. From this, we can infer that after the interest rate cut, the market is likely to be washed up. Is it still a good thing that everyone knows? Then you have to give money directly.

Why compare these two periods of market conditions? Because the market's concerns are very similar in these two interest rate cuts; the bulls have reasons for the bulls, and they believe Because the tightening period has ended and entered the easing phase; short sellers are also considering tail risks, repeated inflation, economic recession, etc.

So next week, my prediction is that although the interest rate cut is a positive to a certain extent, the market has been warming up to the interest rate cut for several weeks, and coupled with the judgment of the US economic recession, it is still not optimistic about the big rise. In addition, the current tense long-short situation, the big cake has lost its safe-haven attribute, and there will not be a large amount of capital flight in the early stage of the interest rate cut. Therefore, for the interest rate cut in September, there is only one sentence for friends, all the good news is bad!

#新币挖矿HMSTR #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ 62518991476844739443359379148272831051024701$ETH $BNB 31355180756 47560147229 929111902 88

Liang Xi is optimistic about the future market again, and is going to get rich.

Good evening, Bitcoin and Ethereum have risen by about 5 points, which is really fierce. Last night's market analysis said that Bitcoin closed at 56425 in one hour, and Ethereum closed at 2323 in one hour, and then it began to rebound, and also reminded how much the 4-hour level would stabilize before the market went up! The direction and points were given to everyone in advance. Those who are long can go with the trend and make money. For those who are short, I looked at the 1-hour K-line. As long as you watch the market, you will definitely make a profit. If you don't watch the market, it will be uncomfortable! This wave of rise has led to a rebound at the daily level. When it fell sharply a few days ago, I recharged everyone's faith to buy Bitcoin. Last night, I talked about my entry price and average position price. If you keep losing money playing contracts, you can take a look at my strategy!

Today's market analysis:

Cryptocurrency is currently rebounding from the daily line at the 4-hour level. Today, the support level below the callback is around 57715-57300-56650. As long as the 4-hour level does not fall below 57300, the small level will still go up. If it falls below 57300, the 4-hour level will start to callback.

Today, the upper pressure level will continue to rise, and the upper pressure level will be around 58500-59100-59800!

Ether is currently rebounding from the daily line at the 4-hour level. Today, the support level below the callback is around 2350-2325-2300. Pay special attention to the position of 2350 today. If it falls below, the 4-hour level will start to callback.

Today, the upper pressure level will continue to rise, and the upper pressure level will be around 2388-2415-2450!

26040889994#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 2284820430658116071446$BTC $ETH 56345032683 58530670404 57590854745 211847703 37

Liang Xi told everyone how to withdraw money safely, which is awesome.

Many fans asked how to deposit and withdraw money safely. To be honest, I am not very professional in deposit and withdrawal, but my rich experience will tell you.

The first step is to find a dual-certified merchant with a large purple logo + yellow five-pointed star logo. This is not enough. Continue to look at the deposit he paid. Normally it should be 100,000 U. 15,000 is a little risky, because a good friend of mine who is a big KOL found an ordinary merchant with 15,000 U, and the merchant's transaction was directly frozen without reviewing the merchant's transaction flow.

The second step is that when you find a merchant that meets the above conditions, add him to the green bubble (WeChat) directly and ask him to send you a bank card transaction video that must be consistent with his An'an real-name authentication, preferably in the past three months. The transaction flow mainly depends on whether the card he transfers to you has a personal transfer record. If there is a personal transfer record, there is a risk. He may say that his partner transferred it to him. This depends on whether the same person transfers it to him for a long time.

The most important thing: when the merchant sends you the bank statement, you only need to look at his bank card statement. If the money is all transferred to him by the securities company or the bank's wealth management funds, then the money is relatively clean, because there are only a few securities companies and banks.

Some fans said that I only have a few thousand U, can I also find a large number of merchants to withdraw money?

Answer: Yes, I see that the minimum withdrawal requirements of these large merchants + SHIELD merchants are about 2900 U at the lowest. Normal retail investors also meet the requirements. Don't be inferior and be confident, because everyone in the currency circle has the potential to become a large investor.

#美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国经济软着陆？ 8382541422928948894561#BNBChainMemeCoin $BTC 38942989357$BNB 64059645390 260655955 26

Liang Xi's latest sharing is really awesome

Good evening, brothers. Ethereum has come to steal again at night. Ethereum almost fell below the previous low of 55555, which is a bit scary. The Ethereum orders for Ethereum that I gave last night were profitable at the first support level. You should make a profit by moving the profit. After all, there will be non-agricultural data released at 8:30 in the evening!

Today's market analysis:

Ethereum is currently rebounding at the 1/2 hour level. Pay attention to the upper pressure level of 57250-58330-59100!

If the rebound fails to go up and step back, pay attention to the position of 56475. As long as it does not break, it will continue to rebound. If it falls below, the rebound fails and the market turns to empty. Pay attention to the lower support level of 55950-55555-54950!

Ethereum is currently rebounding at the 1/2 hour level. Pay attention to the upper pressure level of 2415-2465-2490!

If the rebound fails to go up and falls back, pay attention to the position of 2380. As long as it does not break, it will continue to rebound. If it falls below, the rebound fails and the market turns bearish. Pay attention to the support level below 2361-2338-2305!
#小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #Telegram创始人获保释 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi thinks it is a bear market now and there is no cure.

On the 18th of last month, I asked people to buy the bottom of the market in batches at the points below 56,000. At that time, 56,000 was not included in the bottom-buying range. I guess some people thought I was joking. It is a bit unbelievable to see it a little long in advance, but the trend is there, you can't do it without preparation. On the morning of August 26, it was around 64,000. As soon as I saw that the market was about to change, I immediately started to short and have been shorting until now.

45,000 and 42,300 are likely to be reached later. Some people also saw that it was below 38,800, which is equivalent to the full return of the more than 30,000 points of gains of BlackRock ETF through the back pull. For the time being, I hold a conservative view on this. These are the target entry points for spot bottom-buying. There is no need to refer to the contract, but the direction must be very clear. The small-level macd of 4 hours has not been able to climb to the zero axis recently, so it is a bit early to talk about trend reversal. The opportunity to go long is compressed and limited to the hourly level of the pullback range. If the hand speed is a little slow, it will be trapped. The long army is forced to become the air force. This is essentially a feature of the bear market.

#小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BIFI

Liang Xi's interpretation of the market is really beneficial, awesome god

1: Bitcoin fell to around 57,100 yesterday and began to rebound. It reached a high of around 59,800 this morning, rebounding 2,700 points, a 5% increase is not bad. In the short term, the market is still in the rebound repair of this wave of 65,000 declines. Bitcoin's short-term focus is on support 57,000 and pressure 61,300

2: Ethereum's trend is basically linked to Bitcoin. Ethereum's decline hit 2,400 and began to rebound. Today's high hit around 2,560, rebounding 160 points, an increase of about 7%, Ethereum support 2,390, pressure 2,600

3: The U.S. stock market did not open yesterday, and it will open normally tonight. The U.S. stock market did not open in the past two days, and the liquidity of the market was relatively poor. Pay attention to the opening of stocks tonight

4: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2 a.m. on September 19th, whether it will be a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut, Or will there be no rate cut?

Let's predict various situations. If the rate is cut by 25 basis points, the market will basically fluctuate normally, because everyone knows that there is a high probability of a 25 basis point cut. It is not good news, after all, it is basically digested in advance. If it is cut by 50 basis points, it is a big good news. The market is likely to surge and the market will reverse. If there is no rate cut, it is bad news, the market will plummet, and various possible They all exist, because the Fed's words are unreliable and often change

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi has a new view on the future market, please refer to it.

1. Analyze the market:

1. The price of Bitcoin is about to enter the key support range of 55,000-57,000. The current price is a price worth buying for long-term holders, which can be seen from the continuous outflow of Bitcoin from the exchange in the past 7 days. However, the short-term price slump is mainly due to the lack of native benefits and the overall low trading sentiment.

2. Ethereum has faced increasing criticism in the past week, and it has criticized those who have gone in the wrong direction and focused on applications, and those who have criticized the L2 route, etc., which has caused its price to be more sluggish relative to Bitcoin. However, Ethereum is still the public chain with the most developers and ecosystems in the blockchain. I believe that if innovation explodes in the future, it will have a place, and the value will return at that time.

3. The performance of other altcoins is even worse. Bitcoin's market share has reached a new high since April 2021, 57.42%. It is difficult for altcoins to run out during the period of poor liquidity. A comprehensive altcoin season may have to wait for the overflow of liquidity or Bitcoin to break through to a new high.

2. Thoughts on altcoins:

From the perspective of new investors (meaning new liquidity):

1. No old coins will be bought except ETH BTC BNB SOL.

2. For newly listed tokens in 2023-2024, choose those with high circulation and can get in touch with the macro main line.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi continues to be pessimistic about the future market, and it is estimated that it is not very good.

The 58200-57700 range of the big cake is very hard. After the big needle was pierced to 49000 on August 5 and rebounded to 62720, it was pierced to 56000 and closed up. After five or six times of stepping back to this range, it did not fall below, and later rebounded to 65000.

Replaying the early July, before Trump's assassination and the big cake conference, the big cake rebounded to 58200 after the third wave of decline from 72144 to 53300 and began to rebound in the fourth wave. I remember that the K-line was suppressed as soon as it rushed here, and it was suppressed for four or five days until the day when Trump was assassinated. It broke through 58200, and the 60000 mark was opened, and then the 10,000-point space above was opened layer by layer. This shows that without information stimulation, it is almost difficult to break through 58200.

Thinking in reverse, in the current downward trend, the support here is also very hard. Once it is broken, it will start a unilateral decline, and there is also a callback space of more than 10,000 points below. At present, the lowest point of the September trend may be 45150-44800. Considering the length of the needle, it may extend 3,000 points. So will it be broken here? The answer is definitely. The short-term and medium-term are strongly bearish. Any rebound in the short term is currently a lure to buy more and an opportunity to take over the short position!

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi continues to be bearish on the market, pessimistic

The whole September is very pessimistic. First of all, from the technical point of view, the big cake is in a decline at the daily level. Whether it is 4 hours or daily lines, it is suppressed by the short-term moving average. Then from the capital side, we can also see that BlackRock is also selling, although it is very small, not to mention other ETFs, which means that everyone is hedging. Then the most important thing is that there is a high probability of interest rate cuts in September. In fact, the entire cycle has been preempted for a long time and it is very likely to run away in advance.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS $ETH $BTC $BNB

Liang Xi's talk is awesome. Today's Bitcoin price: The current Bitcoin price is about $59,000. It was previously recommended to short in the range of $60,000 to $61,000, and the profit has been successfully stopped. Since the decline from $65,175, Bitcoin is still in a range of fluctuations, and it is expected to continue to fall after the shock ends.

The rise from $48,888 formed a complete three-wave rise, while the decline from $65,000 formed a three-wave structure of oscillating decline, and it is expected to form an ABC structure. Among them, wave A is the beginning of the decline, wave B is the current rebound stage, and it may enter the downward trend of wave C in the future.

The current operation suggestion is to wait for Bitcoin to rebound to around $60,500-61,500 and continue to arrange short orders.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS $BTC $ETH $BNB 708706673 31

Liang Xi started to curse again and started to talk about market views. Yesterday morning, Nvidia's financial report was still beyond expectations, and the stock price fell sharply before and after the market. But the data in the financial report is still good, basically in a state of growth. I won't interpret the financial report too much. Because I don't understand it either. Let's get to the point:

Big Pie View:
Big Pie breaks through 59369 with volume, chase long on the right side, and withdraw the stop loss.
Big Pie falls below 59071 hourly level or 15-minute level closing price, chase short on the right side, and withdraw the stop loss.

Big Pie falls back to 58518 and there is a false break and accompanied by a withdrawal action. You can buy a small lot. If there is no withdrawal action, don't fall below the stop loss. Don't resist the order, don't fight.
How did it rise yesterday, how did it fall back today. Hunt back and forth.

Pay attention to 60238 above Big Pie. If it is given, you can sell a small lot, and stop loss after breaking through and standing firm. Pay attention to the changes in volume.
You need to be patient when placing orders, and wait for the key support and resistance levels to do so. If you rush in at a position that is neither up nor down, you will easily get beaten.

Pressure above the big cake is 59520-60197-61267
Support below the big cake is 58599-57950-56717
Use the support and resistance levels flexibly, and do not rely on them too much.

Ideas for Ethereum:
If Ethereum falls below 2516 with volume and cannot be recovered, chase the short position on the right side and recover the stop loss.
If Ethereum breaks through 2532 with volume and stands firmly at 2532, you can buy a small extra hand. If it cannot stand firmly and trembles without volume, don’t buy more.

Pay attention to the false breakthrough of 2b at 2593 above Ethereum, and sell a small extra hand, and stop loss after breaking through. The two cakes are slightly stronger than the big cake.
If Ethereum falls back to 2461, you can buy a small extra hand, and run away immediately if it falls below.

Ether upper pressure 2552-2598-2639
Ether lower support 2458-2429-2397

Dear friends, the annual rate data of the core PCE price index in July will be released at 8:30 tonight. Pay attention to short-term sharp fluctuations. Prevent pins and take profit and stop loss. Adjourn.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi cursed again, but also gave the code of wealth

TMD, another big drop, the price of Bitcoin was 64,000 yesterday, and it has soared to 58,000 today, and the entire network has been liquidated for 2 billion.

Now I want to buy more Bitcoin when it hits the second bottom at 58,000, and stop loss when it reaches 60,000. The profit and loss ratio is still worthwhile.

However, the gambling element of the contract is too big, I still want to buy People at the bottom, because the US election debate will be on September 10, People will definitely have a wave of popularity, and the spot will not be liquidated, so it is definitely more stable than the contract.

#加密市场急跌 #Telegram创始人被捕 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB 405342726 56

Liang Xi scolded the cryptocurrency circle thoroughly

Good morning, brothers

1. Review of yesterday's market
The market did not go as expected, and entered a market oscillation period again!
Yesterday's opening price of Bitcoin was 62834, the highest price was 63212, the lowest price was 58034, and the closing price was 59415, with an increase of -5.44% and an amplitude of 8.24%
Yesterday's opening price of Ethereum was 2680, the highest price was 2699, the lowest price was 2392, and the closing price was 2457, with an increase of -8.33% and an amplitude of 11.45%
The intraday amplitude was close to 10%, and the frequency of Ethereum's fluctuations was getting larger and larger!

2. Analysis of today's market
This morning, the market fell rapidly at 5 and 6 o'clock, and the long army was hit again. The long orders were constantly exploded, and the main force still wanted to wash the market many times!
At present, the market has entered a period of oscillation again, waiting for repair and adjustment!
Intraday pressure and support analysis
Pie pressure level 59800-60500-61200
Support level 58800-58000-57000
Ether pressure level 2480-2550-2650
Support level 2400-2300-2200

3. Spot sector analysis and recommendation
The current cottage spot cannot tolerate the pattern, you can only eat a band and leave!
The frequency of Ethereum fluctuations is too large, and the cottage follows the ups and downs. In addition to the medium and long-term positions, the others are mainly based on bands!

#加密市场急跌 #Telegram创始人被捕 #以太坊基金会 #新币挖矿DOGS #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH $BNB 969755550 09

Liang Xi is completely crazy

Yesterday, the market analysis in the group showed that the price may fall to 62,000 before Friday

Today, it has adjusted back to around 62,600

The market has adjusted back, for several reasons

(1) The tens of thousands of coins released by Mentougou continued to bring selling pressure, so it rose to 65,000 and then fell down

(2) After rising for several days, profit-taking has been fleeing

(3) The expectation of interest rate cuts has been partially released

(4) Big funds are worried about the release of data on Friday and inflation rebound

Before the September interest rate meeting, three more important data will be released:

One PCE, one CPI, and one non-agricultural data

This week's focus:

(1) Nvidia's financial report will be released on Wednesday. If it falls sharply, the AI ​​sector in the cryptocurrency circle will also fall. Choose the opportunity to short

(2) PCE data will be released on Friday. If it is lower than expected, it will be positive, and if it is higher than expected, it will be negative. Bitcoin may fall

The tens of thousands of coins in Mentougou are under great selling pressure

September will still need to fluctuate for at least two weeks

And the remaining 30,000 to 40,000 coins in Mentougou will continue to be released in September

Bitcoin is in a situation of volatility and cannot go up,
but there is no need to worry about a sharp drop
Israel and Iran cannot fight, and peace talks are expected
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine will not be too big in the near future
The interest rate cut is imminent, and the long-term outlook is still bullish
If it falls below 60,000, it will be pulled back quickly

The market is up and down, don't chase the rise,
At the same time, just hold the coins in your hand and wait slowly
#Telegram创始人被捕 #新币挖矿DOGS #美联储何时降息？ #BNBChainMemeCoin #MtGox钱包动态 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Liang Xi started to scold Ethereum again

If Bitcoin cannot stand at 64,000, it cannot go up. Everyone should pay attention to the support level of 63,555 in the sideways trading zone. This position has been broken several times and closed up. Last night, it continued to step back and pay attention to the support levels of 63,100-62,500-61,580 below. As long as it does not fall below 61,580, the daily level is still on the long side. It will still go up if it falls below. If it falls below, the daily level will start to pull back and this wave of rise will end!

If the market wants to go up, the 4-hour level must stand firm at 64,000. Only when it stands firmly above this position, this wave of 4-hour level pullback will be considered over and the market will continue to go up. Pay attention to the upper pressure level/target around 64,480-65,000-65,600!

Ethereum, this garbage, broke the second support level near 2,708 at night and rebounded. It fell again after failing to stand at 2,750. If the market continues to fall back last night, please pay attention to the support levels of 2691-2660-2633 below. As long as it does not fall below 2660, the daily level is still on the bullish side. If it falls below, the daily level will start to pull back and this wave of rise will end!

If the market wants to go up, the 4-hour level must stand firmly at 2750. Only when it stands firmly above this position, this wave of 4-hour level pullback will be considered over and the market will continue to go up. Pay attention to the upper pressure level/target near 2780-2800-2830!

#Telegram创始人被捕 #新币挖矿DOGS #美联储何时降息？ #BNBChainMemeCoin #MtGox钱包动态 $BTC $ETH $BNB 961460001 52

Cool and awesome sharing

Is there a correlation between the Fed's interest rates and the price of the pie?

The interest rate cut is coming. Is it a good thing or a bad thing? Or is the higher liquidity brought by the interest rate cut actually good for the price of the pie? See what intuitive feelings you can find from historical data?

We grabbed the U.S. dollar interest rate and the price curve of the pie from 2010 to 2024, and looked at the trend of the pie price after each interest rate change.

We can see:

1. 2016-2018: The Federal Reserve began to raise interest rates from 0.5% to 2.25%. The price of the pie also experienced a significant increase during this period, from $500 to nearly $17,000. This suggests that during this period, pie prices were surging despite rising interest rates.

2. From 2018 to 2019, the Federal Reserve continued to raise interest rates, and the price of the pie dropped from a high of 17,000 to around US$3,400. During this period, the Fed stopped raising interest rates, and the price of the pie rebounded, returning from US$3,400 to around 11,000.

3. 2019-early 2020: The Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates, from 2.25% to 0.25%. Flatbread prices fluctuated and fell back during this period.

4. From March 2020 to February 2022, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 0.25%, and the price of the pie rose from around 8,000 to around 61,000;

5. In March 2022, the Federal Reserve entered the interest rate hike cycle again. The price of the pie fell from the high to around 16,000 in the early stage of the interest rate hike cycle, and then rose to around 71,000.

To summarize past data:
The first interest rate hike cycle: the market rose first and then fell;
The first interest rate cut cycle: the market goes sideways
The second interest rate hike cycle: the market fell first and then rose
During both periods when interest rates remain unchanged, the pie will rise;

If nothing else happens, the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates in September this year. What do you think the trend of the pie will be like? Fall first and then rise? Or pull up after going sideways?
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Liang Xi completely admires hackers

Good afternoon, brothers. So many things happened today. Let me talk about the first one. Last night, the DAI tokens were stolen, and the hackers bought all the ethers, causing the ether to soar in a short period of time. The second is that the CEO of the chat software TG was arrested, causing the related token ton to fall. I really envy those hackers. They accidentally became financially free!

Let's talk about the market: Bitcoin is still moving in the sideways zone. The market analysis in the group last night talked about the top and bottom of Bitcoin, and there was no breakthrough or break at night.

Because of the hacker's mindless buying last night, Ethereum rose straight to the third pressure level and then began to fall, but it was okay, and it did not fall below the bottom support of the sideways zone. It was sideways all day yesterday, and it is expected to move out of the market in the evening or at night today. Everyone pay attention!

Next market analysis:

Today, the big cake continues to pay attention to the top pressure level of 64480 in the sideways trading zone. Only after breaking through this pressure level will the market continue to move up. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 65000-65600-66155!

If the upper pressure level of 64480 in the sideways trading zone cannot be broken today, pay attention to the bottom support level of 63555 in the sideways trading zone. As long as it does not fall below this position, it means that the market will continue to fluctuate sideways. If it falls below this support level, the 1/2/4 hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the lower support level near 62510-61570-60400!

Today, Ethereum continues to pay attention to the top pressure level of 2780 in the sideways trading zone. Only after breaking through this pressure level will the market continue to move up. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 2800-2830-2881!

If we cannot break through the pressure level of 2780 in the upper sideways zone today, pay attention to the bottom support level of 2736 in the sideways zone. As long as it does not fall below this level, it means that the market will continue to fluctuate sideways. If it falls below this support level, the 1/2/4 hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support level below 2708-2666-2633!

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