Brothers, many altcoins have begun to bottom out. I have to find coins to trade on the weekend. The ETF has been negative inflows for some time, and I have been selling but dare not trade. It started to have positive inflows yesterday. Although the big cake did not pull up today, the altcoins started to go positive. And the inflows and outflows are mainly cyclical. Once it falls, it will fall for a few days, and once it rises, it will rise for a few days. This is just the beginning. Brothers, wait for Lao Teng to notify you, the layout of the altcoins is about to begin. #2025加密趋势预测 #加密市场调整 #BTC上攻11万? #“圣诞老人行情”再现
Everyone is discussing that the season of imitation is coming, but I think we still have to wait. The main force has just finished washing the plates, trapping retail investors before starting to pull the plates to release them, isn't this just self-inflicted?
For the season of imitation to truly arrive, two conditions must be met:
The main force must have a large number of chips in hand. The big cake must restore its upward momentum. Both of these are not achieved overnight; they need to accumulate slowly. From the weekly chart, we can see that in the past month or two, the weekly level was almost seven consecutive uptrends, Now, under the situation where the big cake's weekly chart is showing a solid bearish candle, there have only been two consecutive bearish candles, and today is only Tuesday. So, the old vine is not very optimistic and feels that there will still be a downward trend ahead.
However, this does not mean that the imitations will not catch up; many imitations are close to historical bottom positions.
Although there is no concept of a bottom for imitations, relatively speaking, there isn't much space below anymore. The current rebound in imitations is just to reserve space for possible upcoming pullbacks. Otherwise, if the big cake continues to decline, many imitations will break new lows. Today, the big cake has dropped below 94,000 again, but most imitations have shown signs of rebound. Today's greed index is at 55, indicating that the market still has relatively high confidence in the short term.
As for rises and falls, no one can complete it in an instant; the main force's trick can be summarized in two words: panic and time.
But rest assured, I still have a positive outlook for next year's market. Be patient; opportunities are ahead!
Bitcoin shows strong pullback, Ethereum Foundation stops selling; these coins will yield unimaginable returns with a simple layout.
Current price status: Bitcoin is currently stable above $90,000, and the market is in an adjustment phase. Bitcoin market analysis: short-term adjustment, long-term bullish current market overview.
Short-term expectations: It is expected that from the end of November to early December, Bitcoin may fluctuate below $100,000, and there may even be a certain degree of pullback. The bullish tone remains unchanged, although there may be concerns in the short term, the overall direction is still positive, the logic of the bull market still holds, and the macro environment and market sentiment support the long-term upward trend. Short-term adjustments are a healthy phenomenon: high-level fluctuations and pullbacks help relieve pressure and lay the foundation for future highs. Short-term volatility is inevitable; the key is to maintain confidence and not be swayed by market sentiment. Gradual layout during the adjustment period is a good opportunity to buy low, while maintaining flexibility with funds. Pay attention to key levels; if the pullback increases, focus on the support level around $88,000, and consider increasing positions in phases.
ULTI: AI + gaming dual hot spots, potential cryptocurrencies Recent hot topics: AI leader FET increased by 30%. Gaming leader AXS rose by 60%. ULTI also belongs to the popular track and is expected to rise with it! Market Highlights: Bottom consolidation and accumulation: The current coin price is in a bottom-range, with a noticeable increase in trading volume, indicating that main funds are laying out. Golden needle probing the bottom: Multiple attempts to probe the bottom show strong support. Market initiation: Initial signs of a rise have appeared, with the trend looking positive. Investment Strategy: Short-term targets: First target: 0.0175 Second target: 0.025 Lower support: Support level: 0.013 Stop-loss level: 0.012 Summary: Low position, hot spots, increased trading volume, ULTI is expected to explode, seize the layout opportunity, and follow the sector to soar!
Currently, the market is in a high-level consolidation phase. The daily price deviation is extremely severe. The market has been continuously attempting to break new highs recently but has failed. Currently, it has attempted and failed to stabilize at 93000 for the second time, and it has also failed to stabilize at 91700 for the sixth time. For now, it has succeeded in the short term, but we will see if it can hold without falling back. This indicates that the market is continuously trying to break through, but there is strong resistance, with significant sell orders and pressure, indicating that there are forces in the market that are suppressing rapid breakthroughs and digesting the bubble.
Currently, the overall market sentiment is quite skewed. Under normal circumstances, the difference between short and long liquidations should not exceed 5%. The first chart shows the leveraged liquidation map for Bitcoin on exchange B. Currently, the strength of longs is three times that of shorts. The second chart shows the leveraged liquidation map for Bitcoin on exchanges B, OKX, and BYBIT. The ratio of longs to shorts is close to 5 times. The game rule in the market is that your losses are someone else's gains.
If it keeps rising without looking back, longs will continue to profit, and shorts will be wiped out significantly around 95400.
However, this is still not enough to cover the profits made by longs.
This money cannot come from the exchange. What do you think will happen in the market?
So now is the time for a major trend to wait for a pullback to enter long positions, while small trends can be played around casually, but it is essential to use stop losses.
The current trend is to wait for shorts without shorting.
When a significant pullback occurs, that will be our entry opportunity.
This cannot be clearly timed right now because the market is constantly changing, and this data is also statistically derived. We can choose to gradually bottom-fish, for instance, as clearly indicated in the chart, many long liquidation prices are above 87500. We can start entering gradually from around 88500.
This situation is flexible.
At this time, just don't shoot all your bullets out.
An An has just released the 60th Launchpool project Usual (USUAL)
USUAL can also be obtained by staking FDUSD and BNB For now, the same value of BNB will earn more USUAL than FDUSD at the same time The specific staking risks and comparisons are explained below
FDUSD is a stable currency, and the price does not fluctuate. When staking, the amount of staking is the amount of FDUSD redeemed, 1=1, the disadvantage is that the return is relatively small, and the advantage is stability and security
BNB is a platform currency, and the price fluctuates. The rise and fall of the market fluctuates with the market. It is possible that the price of BNB will be pulled back due to large market fluctuations, which may cause more coins to be mined, but the principal will lose more, or the increase in BNB will be greater than the income from mining K. The disadvantage is that the risk is relatively large, and the advantage is that the return is relatively high.
Let me briefly tell you about the start time of USUAL staking and the subsequent launch expectations The activity period is four days. Staking starts at 15:00 on October 11, 2024 Staking ends at 18:00 on October 19, 2024 Total supply: 4 billion USUAL Initial circulation: 4.9 trillion USUAL (12% of the total initial supply of tokens) (7.5% of pledged airdrops) According to the standards of a K-mining project launched by An An before, the market value of 300 to 500 million US dollars is launched, and the unit price is 0.1 to 0.06 US dollars. But this is not the point where Lao Teng recommends entering the market
This time USUAL is different from the previous pledge mining projects. The previous ones were that the coins obtained from the pledge would not account for more than 30% of the initial circulation. This time, the mined tokens directly accounted for more than 60% of the initial circulation So Lao Teng concluded that after the launch of this USUAL, there must be a large number of mining users to sell pressure. At that time, there will be a relatively large long needle. Brothers must pay attention when rushing, don't get too excited
Since the interest rate cut in September, the price of Bitcoin has skyrocketed from 54,000 to 71,000. The understanding of past interest rate cuts is that the first cut indeed had a very positive effect on the market, reducing pressure in the short term, which is beneficial. However, multiple cuts can lead to a rapid recession in the market, causing the economy to stagnate after a period of rapid expansion, resulting in a significant downturn. In early November, there will be a decision regarding the second interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. If there is another substantial cut, then brothers should be cautious about holding overly optimistic fantasies.
SUI, which has increased fivefold in 60 days, is about to usher in a tenfold short-selling opportunity
Understanding of SUI fundamentals:
Currently, it ranks 23rd in the cryptocurrency market value ranking and second in the Layer 1 sector. Its market value has surpassed APT, which is also listed in the same sector. Participating investment institutions include B An (the world's first exchange), A16z (the world's top venture capital institution), FTX Ventures, Grayscale (the world's largest cryptocurrency investment institution) and other sector giants. SUI has a total issuance of 1 billion tokens, and currently has 280 million tokens in circulation. The initial financing amount is 336 million US dollars. There are two types of unlocking atmospheres: 1. Linear unlocking, unlocking nearly 600,000 tokens per day, with a value of over one million US dollars; 2. Regular succession unlocking, regular monthly unlocking, the next time will be unlocked at 8 am on November 1, Beijing time, 64.19 million tokens will be unlocked, with a value of approximately 116 million US dollars, accounting for 2.32% of the current total circulation value.
Ethereum · The reason why it can't outperform Bitcoin has been found, and the reason for the recent market panic has also been identified Currently, the total market value of Bitcoin ETFs is $60 billion, with Grayscale having a total outflow of $20.1 billion The total market value of Ethereum ETFs is $6.82 billion, with Grayscale having a total outflow of $3.1 billion Altcoins represent the altcoin market, which is being drained, coupled with foreign turmoil, leading to severe market risk aversion, Institutions in the market are massively increasing their Bitcoin holdings for hedging, while retail investors are frantically selling altcoins for safety Additionally, due to some panic-driven exits, the Ethereum Foundation is cashing out This has resulted in Bitcoin's crazy surge, while the altcoin market doesn't understand the situation and continues to be drained
I've been following TIA for a long time, always waiting to see if it will pull back so I can short it [sour] , the bad news from the brand-name can't escape, I've just missed it so cleanly, the unlocking starts the day after tomorrow I still remember it was at 5.94 last time, now it's at 5.16, now I don't want to miss the upper resistance around 5.5, looking for opportunities to short with low leverage Why low leverage? This coin is going to unlock the day after tomorrow, the volatility will be very huge To balance the risk, placing small low-leverage orders is the best choice
Big Biscuit: In the past few days, I have been emphasizing the shift from bullish to bearish thinking. Since Monday, the market has already experienced three consecutive days of pullbacks, and it is currently adjusting its deviation rate. Yesterday, it was trading around 67000, and the market has repeatedly attempted to break through the support level of 66600 but failed, forming a strong support after the pullback. From a daily perspective, it is highly likely that the market will attempt to break downwards again, still under pressure from the trend line. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the K-line has turned down again, and the market still needs to continue breaking down! For intraday operations, you can short on rallies, with key resistance at 67350-67800 and key support at 66600-66000.
Second Biscuit: From a daily perspective, three consecutive solid bearish candles have formed, contrasting with the repeated attempts of the big biscuit to form a bottom. The second biscuit has been in a continuous downtrend without looking back, and currently, there is no obvious small support in the current small wave. The second biscuit has pulled back from the high point to the area between the MA7 and MA14 moving averages, which can be used as a defensive support point. On the 4-hour chart, after the death cross of the MA mentioned in yesterday’s report has formed, there has been no clear reversal signal, and it is still continuously under pressure from the MA7 moving average. For intraday operations, maintain shorting on rallies, with key support at 2630-2665 and key resistance at 2580-2650!
Altcoins: Currently, the market liquidity is very poor, and the overall volume cannot keep up, only maintaining the trend of the big biscuit. The second biscuit and altcoins are basically stagnant. The current trend needs to be refined; if not refined, it will rise every day until the end of the month and the beginning of next month, coupled with the election news at the beginning of next month, there is not much room for movement. To put it bluntly, it is just passing time, adjusting downwards with the big and second biscuits together. Still, the same saying applies: light positioning is possible, but you must watch the target and the hype, focusing on ultra-short-term operations. The time for long-term investments is not yet here.
Today's market greed and fear index is 72. The greed index has been hovering around this level for a while, with a strong bullish sentiment in the market. From the 16th to the 21st, there has been a continuous high-intensity greed index for five days. Currently, what is missing is just a catalyst to push the market further. The bullish sentiment has been brewing for half a month now. Yesterday, Ethereum experienced a strong surge, which directly drove the rise of altcoins, leading to a preliminary rebound. Looking at the K-line weekly chart, we can see that Bitcoin has now approached its historical high point, leaving only a few points of space. However, Ethereum's rise seems to be far off. This is partly due to the Ethereum Foundation's massive sell-off, but more so because Ethereum and altcoins are moving synchronously. Apart from a few established altcoins, project teams have given up, and many new altcoins are still at the bottom, lacking significant movement. Ethereum is waiting for altcoins to catch up. Currently, the arrival of a bull market is getting closer, and every time Ethereum rises, it will inevitably bring up the altcoins as well. The only thing that might confuse everyone is whether there will be one last drop. K-line: After yesterday's surge, Bitcoin reached a recent high point, and a minor pullback today is not very significant. Currently, the support below Bitcoin is at the 68000 MA7-day moving average, with the first support at 66800 as the second support below. For Ethereum and its altcoin brothers, it is advisable to pay close attention to Ethereum's trends. Currently, Ethereum has also broken through the upper Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart after a rapid surge yesterday. The day's pullback has simply played a role in market correction. Currently, the first support level to watch below is around 2715 as the first intraday support. The second support below is at 2680. Point Analysis Today's key focus on BTC Bitcoin: Upper resistance around 69100 to 70000 as the first and second resistance. Lower resistance at 68000, down to around 66800 as the first and second support. (Intraday focus on low longs) Today's key focus on Ethereum: Upper resistance from 2750 to around 2770 as the first and second resistance. Lower resistance at 2715, down to around 2680 as the first and second support. #APE暴涨 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #YGG、ADA、ENA解锁 #特朗普家族加密项目
Analysis of the intraday trend of BTC Today's market greed and fear index is 71, down 2 points from yesterday. After three consecutive days of false breakthroughs at high levels, some people in the market have begun to panic and turn from longs to shorts. But longs still dominate.
Let's talk about the macro first: The dog dealer has been pulling the market so urgently, and the purpose is to trap the leeks at the highest point. Now the leeks have been cut more and become more refined. Many people have shouted for a few more days on the surface, shouting everywhere that the bull is coming, but they just don't get on the bus. It is obvious from the trading volume of the crypto market in the past few days that the total trading volume of the market on the 15th is between 90 billion and 110 billion, and the current trading volume today is only about 80 billion (24-hour system). And since the 14th, the crypto market has been stretched continuously, and the cake has been pulled by more than 10%, but the overall market value of the crypto market is still around 2.33 trillion. There has not been much capital flowing into the currency circle during this period. So the dog dealer has done so many things for one thing, which is to trap the leeks at a high level, so what are the basic elements of this? The cottage market is generally rising, creating a wealth effect. You come and I will leave. Lao Teng’s personal opinion is that the current position may undergo a continuous small shock correction in the next few days, and then the cottage market will make up for the rise in the weekend. When there is obvious capital flowing into the currency circle, it will be seen whether it is to lock in the leeks. Let’s talk about the K-line from the Bollinger Bands. The big cake has directly broken through the upper track for two consecutive days. The current market needs to make a market repair process and give the next wave of trend a space to make up for the rise. The big cake is currently trading around 68,000, which shows that there are indeed a lot of resistance above. After many high-intensity pull-ups, the market also needs a power accumulation before attacking. And the current market is exactly the same as the market around July 20, and the points are also similar. Therefore, Lao Teng predicts that this wave of market will have a correction of more than 4 to 5 points. After the next wave of stretching, wash the market. Of course, Lao Teng is now talking about a small cycle of at least half a month. After all, this wave of trend in July also took nearly two weeks. When the market rises and drives the entire market to a climax, that is when we go short until everyone is talking loudly. #美国大选如何影响加密产业?
The coins on the Ethereum Layer 2 network are continuing to rebound. I will simply compare the coins of the four kings of L2 by market value. OP: 1.8 billion market value, launched in June 2022, unlocked every month, 2.6% in 3 days for the next unlock. ARB: 1.6 billion market value, launched in March 2023, unlocked every month, 2.56% in 3 days for the next unlock. STRK: 800 million market value, launched in February 2024, unlocked every month, 3.6% in 3 days for the next unlock. ZK: 500 million market value, launched in June 2024, first unlocked 264 days later. Brothers, with such simple data comparison, brothers, do you know which one to invest in? The second-layer ecosystem of Ethereum is more than this [Eat melon][Eat melon][Eat melon]
CAT (Simon's Cat Token) Brothers, it has doubled. The 100U Ares CAT that I led you to buy has doubled to date.
I shared the 100U Ares coin with you on August 20th. Lao Teng has been paying attention to this coin. Lao Teng mentioned this coin several times last week, indicating that you can buy it. First, it is a cat series coin that was launched with the popularity of the dog series. Second, FLOKI was fully promoted before its launch, and it has been promoted and paved the way. It is also the first coin to be completely out of the circle after the launch of its sub-coin platform TOKEN FI. Third, before it was launched, it has attracted the attention of major institutions, DWF, Grayscale and other top cryptocurrency giants.
Currently, this coin has been listed on OKX's Heyue pair. If the promotion and marketing are further promoted and listed on the spot pair, it will take off soon. Believe in Lao Teng, leave it to Lao Teng, and wait for the benefits. Lao Teng promotes all coins with famous brands and never hides anything. If you are willing to believe, follow it. If you don't want to wait and see, just wait and see. This is a powerful blogger who speaks with results.
After looking at the Jinshi data, I found that the market is complicated. Japan raised interest rates and the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates.
The Federal Reserve meeting at around 2 am tonight will make a decision on whether to cut interest rates or not.
Brothers, a big turning point may be coming. Today may be the day when BTC leads the market to turn.
The entire investment community is paying attention to the news tonight.
There are three voices in the market at present.
Directly cut interest rates by 50 basis points, market sentiment directly exploded, and the sentiment reached the overall BTC currency market instantly pulled up, and then quickly fell back. The step was too big, and the market impact could not be borne. The market needs one to two months to re-adjust.
The batch interest rate cut this time, 25 basis points in September, gave the market sufficient confidence, and the market began to turn to the arrival of bulls. It continued to rise all the way to November to escape the top and wait for the next wave of market.
The descending resolution was directly postponed again. There will be no more interest rate cuts this month. The market fell into a huge selling frenzy and fell into a slump. It is not impossible for the market to return to 5.3W.
Brothers, I will share a coin with you. ZK has entered the first position and has placed an order for the second position. Brothers can focus on this coin. It has the lowest market value in the L2 layer network among the Ethereum series coins and has never been a bullish one. ZK: You can start the first position layout at 0.095, and the disconnection operation is 15 points as a base, waiting for ETH to make up for the subsequent rise and drive the overall 2nd layer to fly