PIEGIMIRE

#BTC☀

《Unrest — Current Market Analysis》

The market this weekend has been quite volatile, with slight sideways fluctuations and no room for operation. The entire U.S. stock market is nearing a circuit breaker due to tariffs, and the entire cryptocurrency market will face the test of a U.S. stock decline after the market opens tomorrow.

Bitcoin has a downward support near 81000 and upward resistance near 84500. These two key positions determine the overall market trend. Currently, it is in a repair phase and has not shown signs of rebound or pullback.

Ethereum has a downward support near 17201385 and upward resistance at the 1900 mark. The overall trend is relatively weak, and the market repair has not shown a good trend, affecting altcoins as well.

Tomorrow, during the day on Monday, the overall market is expected to have some downward adjustments. Whether there will be an oversell needs to be monitored regarding whether the key support can hold. Do not over-leverage; keep some options open for yourself.



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【Binance Wallet On-chain New Investment Revenue Report: Issue Seven】

There's no Haidilao, but there is still Dai Mei. Binance Wallet's seventh new investment report: $STO is out (only counting pancake)

The window period for new investments is getting shorter, this time it has dropped to 30 minutes. Will it be even shorter next time? This time the over-subscription rate was overestimated, but the yield was also overestimated 😆

Changing the approach, the single yield has decreased, but the frequency of new investments has increased, with 4 times a week, also yielding over 100u

Don't neglect the pork knuckle rice, participate more, and be content to be happy~

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The market is bad, wash up and sleep, or go short. Even if you break my legs, I won't go long

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Once again, I guessed correctly. It was indeed a scheme to raise and dump the market. Trump announced the tax rate, which is indeed very high, even slightly higher than expected, causing the market to still not fully digest the bad news. It fell again, and while Bitcoin hasn't broken 82000 yet, the altcoin market is already in disarray. Sigh, this difficult bull market. Let's send a red envelope to everyone to boost morale. Leave a comment in the comment section saying 'Hold on, bull market!' to receive a lucky draw token red envelope! I wish everyone could get through the toughest times and welcome the great bull market together! $BNB #红包大派送 #红包

ADP data has been released, the expectation was 11.5, the published value is 15.5
There is basically no difference; this data usually has huge deviations, and this time the deviation is only 4, so it can basically be considered as nothing happening.
However, overall it indicates that the U.S. economy is improving, and the non-farm data expected to be released soon is also likely to promote a rate cut in the U.S., so without this data, one can consider there is no negative impact, which is a positive sign for rate cuts.
Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens tonight.
The Qingming Festival is coming soon; when burning paper money, everyone remember to burn some for the dogs. 🫢

ADP data has been released, the expectation was 11.5, the published value is 15.5
There is basically no difference; this data usually has huge deviations, and this time the deviation is only 4, so it can basically be considered as nothing happening.
However, overall it indicates that the U.S. economy is improving, and the non-farm data expected to be released soon is also likely to promote a rate cut in the U.S., so without this data, one can consider there is no negative impact, which is a positive sign for rate cuts.
Let's see how the U.S. stock market opens tonight.
The Qingming Festival is coming soon; when burning paper money, everyone remember to burn some for the dogs. 🫢

Insights from Historical Patterns

The acceleration phases of Bitcoin's past cycles (244 days in 2010-11, 261 days in 2013, and 280 days in 2017) have been progressively extended. This round, from July 15, 2024, to March 3, 2025, has lasted 232 days, nearing the peak window (244-280 days).

If the pattern continues, the peak may occur between early April and early May. Historical acceleration phases often end with an 'explosive peak', followed by a decline. The current volatility has risen to 51%, suggesting that significant movements are imminent.

This round of retracement has been mild, indicating a mature market with reduced volatility. The peak may not be as extreme as in the past but could still rise significantly. A 'consecutive 60-day new high' if it breaks above $110,000, may signify the final sprint.

On April 2, 2025, it will be the 262nd day of acceleration, close to the 2013 peak (261 days), potentially near the peak, requiring analysis of price and market sentiment.

Peak is imminent: break above $110,000, peak reached in April-May, followed by a pullback.

Peak has passed: no new highs in March-April, or has already declined.

Extended cycle: peak delayed until after May.

Conclusion

As of April 2, the peak is undetermined but within a critical window. If there is no breakthrough above $110,000 or a decline soon, the peak may have passed; if there is an increase, the peak is near. Attention should be paid to price, volatility, and sentiment.

#BTC☀

《Data Eve — Current Market Analysis》

The major coin has today found support around 84500, with resistance moving up to around 88000. Due to the weakness of Ethereum today and the overall low market sentiment, many altcoins are hitting new lows.

The resistance around 1950 for Ethereum is like a sword hanging over the neck, constraining the overall market's upward momentum, with support around 1840, showing a fluctuating upward trend.

Furthermore, ACT, which has been popular these past few days, should not be bottom-fished. The trend can be referenced at 1000 sats, and any rebound provides an opportunity to reduce positions. If you have any undue expectations of it, your funds may suffer losses.

The ADP employment data at 8:30 PM tonight is also eyeing this market closely, with an expected difference of 38,000 people. If it meets expectations, it could bring significant impact to the crypto market, so be cautious of sharp fluctuations.


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#ETH走势分析
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100X sold out once
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