Until you are mature enough to understand that there are probabilities in the market, there is a very high chance that you will end up doing badly here.
There are no "gurus", there are people who are willing to share their experience in the market.
But of course: learn from someone who has lived through a complete Bear Market and a Bull Market, that is, someone who has at least four years in the market.
Evolve... this phase of blindly following what you heard from someone is one of the earliest stages of the market.
Absorb the content, but consider whether it makes sense or not and make your own decisions.
No one will be right 100% of the time, so act like an investor and be prepared for all scenarios.
Shifting the blame is not the way to go. After all, if things work out, you won't share the profit with anyone, right?!
You may not agree, but the market is fair! Coldly fair... 🤔
The greatest rewards are destined for those who take and strategically manage the greatest risks.
After all, returns are directly proportional to risks.
⚠️ I'm not saying to be reckless or to use irrational leverage.
🧠 Think about it:
Do you agree that in any risky professional activity: if you don't have the necessary knowledge to carry it out, it can be fatal?
⚠️ In the high-risk market, it's no different. If you don't know what you're doing or what you're buying, you'll be massacred.
That's why I'm saying that you'll be comfortable with high risk when you:
1️⃣ At least understand the macro and micro context.
2️⃣ Understand what you're buying and why.
3️⃣ Follow a clear strategy for exposure and closing the position.
4️⃣ Do not subject yourself to the risk of ruin that is betting literally everything in a reckless and irresponsible way.
✅️With this perspective, no noise will disturb you or take away your peace, and you will also have the conviction that VALUE and PRICE are completely different things.
Buying Bitcoin regularly is starting off on the right foot. After all, what is the difference between buying something for 50 or 60k that could be worth 500k?
It is in these situations that you realize that state currency is as risky as Bitcoin. I would even say much riskier...
With a simple signature, your account and assets can be blocked or seized.
Or a state currency that simply went "wrong", and everything you have accumulated in life becomes just a pile of paper.
⚠️ How will the trillion-dollar debts that countries have and that grow every day be paid? Do you really think you are safe with your fiat currency?
Anyway, recently, we had the case of Starlink, which had its assets blocked in Brazil in a monocratic decision, despite being a different company from X. 😱
✅️In these moments, the Bitcoin thesis is strengthened. There are no intermediaries holding your asset unless you allow it. In addition, Bitcoin is becoming scarcer and deflationary.
1️⃣ People leveraged themselves with Japanese Yen at a rate of 0.10%.
2️⃣ They bought stocks, crypto assets, and even currencies from emerging countries with returns greater than 0.10%, the famous "Carry Trade".
3️⃣ They profited from this percentage difference and even ended up paying less than the initial loan, as the Japanese Yen was depreciating.
A great deal until then...
4️⃣ However, the Bank of Japan increased the rate to 0.25%, causing the Yen to appreciate.
Result: The debt of those who took out loans increased both due to the rate and the appreciation of the Yen itself.
⚠️ Why did everything fall? Those who took out loans sold their positions to pay off the debt, hence the fall in country currencies, stocks, and crypto assets.
🤔 People are unnecessarily exaggerating the scenario we find ourselves in.
🚨 OPPORTUNITY ALERT: Bitcoin following our analysis, ready for a possible long! 🚨 Don't miss this chance – see now how to take advantage of this movement!
$BTC remains in a bearish channel on the weekly chart (in red), but we are heading towards the upper border of this channel at the $70,000 level through a bullish channel formed on the H4 chart (in green).
📊Which provides us with the following LONG opportunity: Suggested down payment: $66,300 Stop: $65,450 Take Profit 1: $68,475 Take Profit 2: $70,000
Risk/Return: Take Profit 1 ($68,475): 2.56 Take Profit 2 ($70,000): 4.35
⚠️Suggested Leverage: Up to 75x for a maximum risk of 2% of capital, considering that the stop loss is set at $65,450.
Operation confirmed. Don't waste time, just click on the graphic below 👇
🤔What’s ahead:
1️⃣Least likely scenario:
It surpasses the $70k level, retests the upper border of the weekly bearish channel and moves on to test ATH resistance.
2️⃣Most likely scenario:
It touches $70k, gets rejected, goes back to support at $68k (previous daily top) and tries to surpass the $70k level for the second time, getting rejected and making a double top that marks the beginning of a bearish move in the short term. term that could stop at the $63k level (half of the weekly bearish channel) or drop to the $58k level (lower edge of the weekly bearish channel).
Regardless of any scenario, I believe that we are in reaccumulation and, in the end, one way or another, we will break the ATH and start the search for a new historical top.
📈 Did you like the analysis? Follow us for more valuable insights and don't forget to like and comment. Let's grow together on this crypto journey! 🚀
I hope I'm wrong, but there are three strong reasons for Bitcoin to start a strong fall and not the bull run as everyone expects.
Follow us, like and give your opinion!
1️⃣ - There is huge GAP in CME Bitcoin Futures at 59K. Historically, a GAP is rarely open, meaning this region can be revisited again.
2️⃣ - Bitcoin prices are respecting the edges of the bearish rising edge technical pattern on the 4-hour chart. Normally, this pattern breaks upwards (may reach 70K), but then seeks the base abruptly (59K).
3️⃣ - In addition to being on a rising edge, Bitcoin also remains within a bearish channel on the daily chart. By the way, we are about to test the upper border of this channel.
In short, it's too early to FOMO or position yourself on alt/meme/shitcoins. If Bitcoin's bearish scenario comes to fruition, there won't be a coin left standing.
At most, this is the time to buy just $BTC . Maybe $ETH or $SOL .