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Although we have detailed plans, things are unpredictable and always full of variables. We must work hard and know how to adapt to nature.
In the vast ocean of coins, if you can maintain a stable mentality and behavior, you will eventually succeed!
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Unless it is expected to enter a bear market, the decline will be minimal. If the current situation is regarded as a precursor to a rebound, Fibonacci analysis shows that the lowest support level is between 2220 and 2260. Once it is touched, it is expected to rebound. 📈
If this range is lost, the outlook will be worrying, the attractiveness of currency speculation will be greatly reduced, or it may mark the beginning of a new round of bear market. However, based on the principle of not blindly guessing the bottom, it seems that the probability of this happening is not high at present. 💰 $BTC $ETH #新币挖矿HMSTR #FTX赎回Solana #美降息25个基点预期升温
1. Market trends The market followed the rebound in U.S. stocks, and the rise in U.S. stocks drove gold to a new high.
2. Quick overview of market hot spots 1.TON Ecosystem: $HMSTR launches new trend. Hamster is a popular battle game with tens of millions of users. 2. RWA related: $TRU and $OM have increased significantly, DWF has become a new market maker for TRU, and OM is expected to land on the main network in October. 3. Public chain dynamics: $SUI price rises and new contracts are launched. 4. DeFi hotspot: $PENDLE rises and expands BTC staking services.
3. Highlights of Hot Events 1. International focus: The United States calls on Nigeria to release detained Binance employees. 2. Trump Encryption Project: WLFI live broadcast is scheduled for 8:00 on September 17, Trump will deliver a speech. 3. Gold prices soared: reaching a new high, and the world paid attention to the Fed's interest rate cut. 4. ETF fund flows: Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of US$39.03 million, and Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of US$20.14 million. 5. Rising transaction fees: Fractal Bitcoin mainnet transaction fees have increased, with multiple blocks exceeding 3600 Sat/byte. 6. SOL distribution: The FTX/Alameda address distributed nearly 180,000 SOL to 20 addresses, which may flow to CEX. 7. ZKsync update: Officially launched on-chain governance system. 8. Market trends: QCP Capital predicts that market momentum will accumulate, and investors will increase their holdings of year-end call options. 9. Telegram’s new favorite: Catizen Application Center incubates the popular game Bombie, aiming to become the leader of Telegram mini programs. 10. New trends in Grayscale: The first XRP trust in the United States will be launched to lay the foundation for potential ETFs.
4. Preview of economic data - Attention time: 0913 22:00 - Data Highlights: Preliminary one-year U.S. inflation rate expectations in September
5. Token unlocking reminder - Project: Render ($RENDER) - Time: September 14, 20:00 - Details: Unlock 760,000 tokens, worth approximately US$3.59 million, accounting for 0.19% of the circulating supply. #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 If you don’t know what to do, you can click on me to follow or click on my avatar to find me at any time. All contract and spot gameplays are shared.
CZ is about to be released from prison, ready to go?
We have discussed before that although CZ cannot directly operate Binance after being released from prison, as the largest shareholder, he still holds actual control and key decision-making power. It is worth mentioning that CZ has been promoting the field of education, and is expected to increase investment in this area after being released from prison.
Recently, BNB has been strong, and the market speculates that it may be related to CZ's return and the launch of new IEO projects. At the same time, Binance added CAT API, and the listing rumors came true, and the value of CAT soared. Aave also performed well, planning to cooperate with CB to launch CBBTC, and cooperating with Trump's new project and RWA track, indicating that it has entered a new round of rising cycle. Aave led the market in the last bull market. Will it repeat its glory this time?
On the eve of the Fed's rate cut, economic data has shown that inflation is slowing down and the economy may fall into recession, so a rate cut is imperative. Next Thursday, at 2 a.m. on September 19, the Fed will decide to cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points, and there may be two more opportunities for rate cuts this year. #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期 If you don't know what to do, you can click me to follow, click my avatar to find me at any time, and all contract spot gameplay is shared. Just to increase fans
The depth of interest rate cut policies and the market’s multi-dimensional response
Small differences in interest rate cut policies, such as the difference between 25 basis points and 50 basis points, can significantly affect market trends and investor psychology.
Targeting a 25 basis point rate cut: - Market opinions are divided: An interest rate cut of this magnitude has divided market opinions. One side views it as a mild response to the economic slowdown, reflecting the Fed's prudent attitude; the other side worries that it will not be enough to boost the economy, exacerbating doubts about growth potential. - Subtle reflection of recession concerns: The 25 basis point adjustment subtly reflects different interpretations of the economic recession - whether it is a precautionary buffer or the risk of recession is emerging, and the market mentality is becoming more cautious. - Subtle shift in capital flow: The interest rate cut signal prompts the adjustment of capital strategies, with the flow away from traditional interest rate-sensitive safe havens such as bonds and towards risk areas such as the stock market and real estate that have been suppressed by previous interest rate increases, indicating a short-term rise in market risk appetite.
Let’s talk about another 50 basis points interest rate cut: - A strong signal of recession warning: Once the interest rate cut reaches 50 basis points, the market generally interprets it as the Federal Reserve's deep concern about the economic recession, which is regarded as a direct confirmation of a sharp economic slowdown, thus triggering market panic. - Profound changes in market sentiment: Although this sharp interest rate cut may stimulate the stock market to rise in the short term, in the long run, it will deepen the uneasiness about economic fundamentals, increase the volatility of the stock market, and increase the demand for safe havens, prompting capital flows to gold and the US dollar. Waiting for safe harbor. - Large-scale migration of funds: Fear of recession prompted funds to flee high-risk assets on a large scale and quickly pour into safe-haven assets. This process not only intensified market volatility, but may also pose liquidity pressure to market participants who rely on financing. This particularly affects companies and asset classes that are highly dependent on external funding. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 #美国经济软着陆? If you don’t know what to do, you can click on me to follow or click on my avatar to find me at any time. All contract and spot gameplays are shared. Just to gain fans
- 1-hour chart: BTC price pulled back to the short-term support level (around 56,000, refer to Tang Ge's analysis), and then rebounded. However, this rebound structure shows that it is difficult to sustain. It is recommended to take profits at the right time and wait patiently for the new low to be confirmed before looking for entry opportunities.
- 4 hours and above: After a local rebound, the short-term downward space is limited, but the upward space is also insufficient due to the suppression of the medium and long-term correction structure. Strategically, it is advisable to wait for a smaller level of correction before looking for an entry point. The continuous upward trend on the 4-hour chart usually requires multiple price fluctuations (i.e. ripple effect) before it can appear.
Key points: - Short-term support: 55827 to 55363, it is recommended to pay close attention and operate in time. - Second support: 54855 to 54361, as a reference for further support. - Medium and short-term suppression: 58719 to 58693, pay attention to the upward resistance in this range.
The current BTC operation suggestion is to be cautious, flexibly grasp the rebound and callback opportunities, and accurately locate the key support and suppression positions. #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BNBChainMemeCoin If you don’t know what to do, you can click me to follow, click my avatar to find me at any time, and all the contract spot gameplay is shared. Just to increase fans
CPI will be released tonight The market's expectation of a 50-point drop is dashed There is a high probability that the interest rate will be cut by 25% The bullish trend continues The data seems to be unable to support the market to move upward Real money and silver liquidity intervention is needed to drive a real increase in volume Crypto assets have been junk assets in the past two years Nothing can beat them #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会 #BNBChainMemeCoin #BTC走势分析 Follow me on the homepage, and I will share spot codes, bull market layout strategies, and 100-fold potential coins for free every day
**Interpretation of the important speech by Fed Chairman Powell**
Fed Chairman Powell delivered an important speech, clarifying the direction and focus of policy adjustments. The following is a condensed summary of the key points of the speech:
1. **The time is ripe for policy adjustments**: Powell pointed out that the time has come for policy adjustments, which indicates that the Fed will take new monetary policy measures. 2. **The labor market remains stable**: He emphasized that the Fed does not seek or welcome further cooling of the labor market, which means that the job market will remain active and the public does not need to worry too much about unemployment. 3. **Strengthen confidence in inflation returning to 2%**: Powell expressed strong confidence in the inflation rate falling back to the 2% target, showing the Fed's determination and ability to control inflation. 4. **Balancing employment and price stability**: He promised that the Fed will fully support a strong labor market and make further progress in achieving price stability, demonstrating its strategy to maintain balanced economic development. 5. **The policy interest rate has sufficient room to deal with risks**: Powell mentioned that the current policy interest rate level provides sufficient room to deal with possible risks in the future, indicating that the Fed has sufficient flexibility and response capabilities in interest rate adjustment.
In summary, Powell's speech is intended to convey a clear message to the public: despite the upcoming policy adjustments, the Fed's goal is to continue to optimize the economy. The job market will remain stable, inflation will be effectively controlled, and the Fed will do its utmost to ensure the smooth operation of the economy.
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2024.8.22 Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum intraday market】
Good afternoon, brothers. Have you grasped the market in the past few days? The daily line will go up and down every day. Yesterday, I talked about the Bitcoin daily pressure range of 6.13-6.18. The bottom support near 5.8 can be high and low. The lowest last night was 5.88 and the highest was 61793 at midnight. The bottom and top were publicly told to everyone in advance.
Ethereum reached the first support and the first pressure level last night. At night, it even pulled to the second pressure level and then came down. Whether you are short at the pressure level or long at the support level, you should make money.
The points are disclosed every morning and evening. Basically, you can get orders every day. Remember to follow and leave a trace of your visit in the comment area! Support it
Today's Bitcoin market analysis: $BTC has already pulled up in the middle of the night. At present, the 1-hour level is in the correction and other levels are on the bullish side. Pay attention to the position of 60840 today. As long as the 1-hour level stands at this position, this wave of correction will end and the market will start to rise. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 61360-61800-62700!
If the 1-hour level cannot stand at 60840 today, it means that it still cannot go up. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the positions near 59870-59360-58770. As long as the 4-hour level does not fall below 59870, it will still go up!#BTCtrend analysis $ETH has pulled up in the middle of the night. At present, the 1-hour level is in the correction and other levels are on the bullish side. Pay attention to the position of 2626 today. As long as the 1-hour level stands at this position, this wave of correction will end and the market will start to rise. Pay attention to the upper target/pressure level near 2655-2688-2720!
If the 1-hour level cannot stand at 2626 today, it means that it still cannot go up. If it continues to fall, pay attention to the positions near 2600-2553-2515. As long as the 4-hour level does not fall below 2600, it will still go up!
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Last night, the expectation of rate cut spread like wildfire
The US stock market and the crypto market soared hand in hand, painting a prosperous picture.
The "evaporation" of 810,000 employment data, coupled with the dovish signals in the Fed minutes, gave the market an early insight into the subtle direction of the September interest rate meeting.
On Wednesday, US Treasury yields from two-year to 30-year all hit a two-week bottom, and the interest rate swap market placed high hopes on the extent of rate cuts this year, betting on a surge of more than 100 basis points. All these waves are due to two shocks: the US non-agricultural data unexpectedly encountered a cold wave that has not been seen in 15 years, and the market is in turmoil again. Traders have quietly laid out and waited for Powell's words on Friday to reveal the final answer
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For digital currency players, an exciting piece of information is coming! Under the wave of interest rate cuts in September, the capital torrent is ready to go, and the altcoin craze may sweep in. The much-anticipated big cousin will also return to the stage in September, indicating that the cryptocurrency market is about to usher in a second round of strong rebound, and the prospects are promising! 🌟
At the same time, the CARV airdrop event recently launched by Binance is also worth noting! CARV, an emerging force, is leading the innovation trend in the fields of games and AI. The platform is carefully constructed to drive the vigorous development of the two industries with high-quality game content and cutting-edge artificial intelligence data. The CARV protocol not only opens up unprecedented potential space for users, but also subverts the inherent framework of traditional data use and leads a revolution in data management methods. 🚀
Based on the forefront of Web3 technology, CARV makes full use of the decentralized advantages of blockchain technology to build a more transparent and fair data management ecology and economic system. Here, users truly become the masters of data, have absolute control over data, and can freely determine its flow and value realization path. Through data sharing, users can not only enjoy economic rewards, but also contribute to the prosperity of the data economy while ensuring personal privacy. 🔒
Looking to the future, CARV is expected to occupy a pivotal position in the blue ocean of decentralized infrastructure and become a new era landmark of data autonomy and economic freedom. With its innovative data management strategy and sharing model, CARV is leading the data market into a new era of greater openness, transparency and efficiency, and contributing indelible power to the profound transformation of the global data economy. 🌐
The same is true in the currency circle. If you are confused and don’t know what to do, you can click to follow and find me by clicking on my avatar. All strategy fans have it. Just to increase fans... #MtGox钱包动态 #杰克逊霍尔年会 #美联储何时降息? #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #币安Web3钱包
**Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum market trends on August 21** **Market Review** Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) continued its consolidation trend, experienced a slight correction, and gradually stabilized after touching the lower edge of the downward channel. The overall trend remained stable, and there were no significant negative factors in the fundamental information. The supply of stablecoin USDT on the chain continues to increase, which indicates that the market may usher in a rebound opportunity in the short term. Investors may consider paying attention and making timely arrangements. As the interest rate cut cycle quietly begins, we should be cautiously defensive in the early stage and respond flexibly to market fluctuations. At the same time, Ethereum (ETH) followed the pace of BTC and also experienced a mild correction, maintaining a range-bound pattern with solid support below. You can consider continuing to buy dips during day operations, indicating that a new round of rising cycles is accelerating. In addition, assets such as SATS and PEOPLE are in the correction stage, providing good opportunities to build positions in batches. **Today’s Focus** **BTC**: - **Short-term trend**: The 1-hour and 4-hour charts have returned to a positive state, showing good market momentum in the short term; although the daily level is slightly below ideal levels, trading volume has increased, supporting the current upward trend. It is recommended that investors continue to adopt follow-up strategies. - **Key Price**: The upper resistance area during the day is set at the range of 58300 to 58800, while there is a solid support of 60300 to 60800 below. If the price pulls back near the support level, it is a good time to enter the market or add a position. **ETH**: - **Short-term performance**: Similar to BTC, ETH shows a healthy recovery trend on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts. Although the daily level is slightly inferior, the overall trend is still stable and has not touched the key resistance level. - **Operation Suggestion**: Intraday trading should focus on the resistance range from 2670 to 2720 above, and the solid support from 2520 to 2570 below. If ETH pulls back to the support level, it is also a suitable signal to intervene or increase positions. To sum up, although the current market environment is accompanied by certain uncertainties, the overall trend is positive. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to seize the upcoming rising opportunities.
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SHIB Token: Leaping up in a new bullish divergence, the increase is astonishing 498%!
SHIB stands out in the cryptocurrency field with its extraordinary charm and becomes a dazzling dark horse. Although there have been many new stars in the digital currency field in recent years, few have attracted such widespread attention and loyal fans as SHIB. The continued expansion of the SHIB community has laid a solid foundation for its subsequent development.
In the turbulent sea of the cryptocurrency market, SHIB's price trend has always been the focus of everyone's attention. Currently, there are optimistic voices predicting that SHIB may hit the $0.1 mark, which is undoubtedly an exciting prospect for all holders, indicating that investment returns may usher in explosive growth.
Technical analyst Marks pointed out that the Shiba Inu token is approaching the critical area of the failed wedge on its 1D chart, which may be a harbinger of a bullish breakout, leading SHIB to a new price milestone of $0.000081. In addition, the clear bullish divergence shown on the price chart indicates that SHIB's long-awaited price surge may come soon.
"If you are confused by the market fog and find it difficult to grasp the market trend, why not join my homepage and get free market insights and profitable strategies every day to help you see the moon through the clouds." With this wave of strong bullish trend brewing, given the significant breakthroughs observed, SHIB's process from the current starting point to the target of $0.000081 may be accompanied by an amazing increase of more than 498%, opening a new glorious chapter!
If you are losing money now and don't know what to do, you can click me to follow, click my avatar to find me at any time, all the contract spot gameplay is shared. Just for fans #杰克逊霍尔年会 #美联储何时降息? #币安Web3钱包 #美国7月PPI低于预期 #新币挖矿DOGS
The latest US economic indicators have once again reinforced the market's expectations for an upcoming rate cut, with the only uncertainty focusing on the specific scale of the rate cut.
This weekend, the market will focus on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, which is seen as an important indicator of policy direction.
Specific data show that the report released by the US Department of Labor on August 14 showed that the consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.9% year-on-year in July, lower than the market's original forecast of 3%, and the most moderate increase since 2021.
Further analysis shows that if the impact of changes in food and energy prices is excluded, the core CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year, and this increase has slowed down for four consecutive months, and the core CPI's month-on-month increase was only 0.2%. At the same time, the producer price index (PPI) in July increased by 2.2% year-on-year, not only lower than the market's expectation of 2.3%, but also lower than the previous month's 2.6%; its month-on-month growth rate was only 0.1%, which was also lower than the market's expectations and the previous value of 0.2%.
The above-mentioned mild decline in CPI and PPI further strengthened the market's belief that Powell's speech to be held this Friday may pave the way for the Fed to take interest rate cuts in September.
1) The bullish volume of the main volume above 49,000 in the four-hour level laid the foundation for this rise. 2) Some good news yesterday also boosted the momentum of the rise and enhanced the bullish volume; 3) It rose directly without a second bottom of 50,000, and the main force of the bulls was very strong in pulling the market; 4) It is estimated that this wave of rise will rise to around 690, and then look at the pending order data of the active sell order in the order book.
The same is true in the currency circle. If you are confused and don’t know what to do, you can click to follow, click my avatar to find me, all strategy fans have it. Just to increase fans...
🌩️The "Golden Dog Storm" is about to sweep in🌩️ Are you ready?
🌪️ Eric Trump of the Trump family has recently released a low-key signal that the cryptocurrency and decentralized finance (DeFi) fields are about to usher in major changes!
This news is like a boulder thrown into a quiet lake, stirring up waves in the crypto community, and everyone is speculating: Is the Trump family about to launch a bombshell?
As the US election in November approaches, the tense atmosphere on the political stage is becoming increasingly intense, and Eric's words undoubtedly add fuel to the boiling situation! Everyone is speculating whether the Trump family is planning to launch their own cryptocurrency feat?
After all, their enthusiasm and investment in this field are obvious to all. Looking back, the Trump-themed meme coin on Solana became popular just by concept, and the price soared, which shows how deep its influence is. Now, under the attention of the public, how this legendary "Golden Dog" will make a shocking debut has become the focus of heated discussion!
Eric's words are like a double bombshell in the political and crypto worlds, and they are just in time. Trump himself is also a staunch supporter of cryptocurrency. He has not only stood up for Bitcoin many times, but also personally attended the 2024 Bitcoin Conference. His running mate JD Vance also has a special liking for Bitcoin.
What is even more remarkable is that the Trump family's crypto assets on the blockchain have accumulated into a mountain, worth more than 10 million US dollars! Even if the TRUMP meme coin has no direct connection with them, its ability to attract money is still not to be underestimated, attracting the attention of countless investors.
If Trump personally stands up for cryptocurrency, the effect may repeat the glory of Musk's promotion of DOGE, and it is not impossible to create a new 10,000-fold myth!
The arrival of the "Golden Dog" this time may open a new era in the crypto world. Let us look forward to the birth of this legend together!
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Donald Trump Jr. said: "We are about to shake up the crypto world with something huge."
The bull run we are waiting for is about to happen, just buy more and hold.
Something huge is about to happen, all MEME coins and altcoins will rise, just hold, it will be realized soon 🚀🌕
Always always always DYOR and non-financial advice.
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The Ripple case has been sentenced, and Ripple was fined $125 million.
The SEC's request was $2 billion. After this news was released, the price of#XRProse by more than 15%.
💠 The news has not been shared by important pages. However, it has begun to be reported at a high price in the market.
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⭐Why did I emphasize yesterday that double-needle bottoming can be used to buy the bottom, but unfortunately it didn't happen. Then the bottom of 49,000 the day before yesterday was not the real bottom. Today I will talk about some naked K knowledge.
① The double-needle bottoming pattern only appears at a low level, indicating that the price has bottomed out in the short term. If the position is high, you should operate with caution. ② From the perspective of long and short forces, the second K line is a reconfirmation of the bottom tested on the first day. The long lower lead shows that the short-selling force cannot compete with the bulls' willingness to go long. When the third K line cannot create a new low again, it is the best time to enter the market. ③ After the "double-needle bottoming" pattern appears, the stock price generally rebounds immediately and goes out of a wave of extraordinary rising market. However, if the stock price does not rise all the way in the short term, but adjusts, then investors should observe calmly, combined with the market environment and individual stock characteristics at the time, and then decide whether to intervene.
Some people say that learning knowledge is useless, and it is indeed useless, because those who make a fortune by playing with coins do not understand technology and rely on luck to buy a good coin at a low price and hold it for several months or one or two years. Why can't those who know technology make money? To put it bluntly, it's a matter of mentality. This field relies on mentality for 70% and technology for 30%. Those who have mastered the technology are either overconfident or timid. It is extremely rare to have a strong technical mentality. They are not normal human beings! Because technology is rational, human nature is irrational
#加密市场反弹 #美联储何时降息? #Ronin跨链桥安全漏洞 #JumpTrading转移资产 #JumpTrading转移资产 If you can't find the direction in the currency circle and don't know what currency to buy, click the avatar and take a serious look. More information and strategies related to the currency circle will be shared free of charge.