#Bitcoin whales are back in action.

Whale activity has been in the negative zone for a long time, but with the interest rate cut and the $60k resistance being overcome, it has moved back into the positive zone.

It is currently around +2. It would be much better if it rises above +10 in the future.

The fact that such data turn positive in direct proportion to the price shows that the rise is healthy. As long as the $60k support is maintained, the current outlook will remain positive.

Good morning friends☀️

With the interest rate cut that came after years,#Bitcoinfinally managed to rise above $60k.

I think we will continue to see the positive effects of the interest rate cuts in the coming months.

It was also nice that the $60k resistance was broken on such a volatile day. As long as there is no daily close below $60k in the current situation, the current outlook will continue to remain positive.

The first important resistance ahead is the $69-74k range, so this level can be followed as the target price for now.

I wish everyone a nice day and lots of earnings.

There is no negativity in the interest rate decision or economic projections.

The fact that interest rate cuts have started for the first time in 4 years will be good for the flow of money into risky assets.

Of course, as always, Powell will have the final say. We are waiting for Powell.

Economic projections have been released.

FOMC members' interest rate expectations for the coming months are promising and look quite positive.

The median interest rate expectation for the end of 2024 has decreased from 5.1% to 4.4%.

The median interest rate expectation for the end of 2025 has decreased from 4.1% to 3.4%.

Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points

We should keep an eye on the liquidation map on volatile days.
#Bitcoinmay receive reactions from areas where liquidations are intense. Currently;

🔹Long liquidations are intense in the $53-50k and $49-46k range.
🔸Short liquidations seem intense in the $65-67k and $70-72k range.

For example, if positive announcements come and the price goes up, short liquidations will work as resistance, or on the contrary, if negative news comes and the price goes down, this time long liquidations will act as support.

You can follow long liquidations as support and short liquidations as resistance, my friends.

There is very little time left for the FED interest rate decision!

As of now, the probability of a 50 bps cut is 55%, while the probability of a 25 bps cut seems 45%.

Normally, the probabilities would not be this close and we would have a clear idea about the interest rate decision.

Since the interest rate cut will be made for the first time in years in this meeting, the probabilities are very close and everyone is undecided.

On the other hand, the agenda will not only be the interest rate decision. In addition, this meeting has extra importance since the economic projection will be published.

Therefore, unlike other meetings, we cannot make a comment like "if there is this much discount, it will be positive, if there is this much, it will be negative" in this meeting.

If you are already planning to open a transaction according to the news flow, you should have a terminal such as Refinitiv or Bloomberg terminal that can transmit the news in milliseconds in order to take quick action on such days.

If you follow the news or transmit orders without using a terminal, you will be very late and in this process you will become the exit liquidity of Wall Street cannibals.

Therefore, we should focus on the long-term effects of the interest rate cut, economic projections and Powell's statements, not the short-term, and shape our portfolio accordingly.

I think the graph above will shed light on this issue. The detailed explanation of this graph is already in the profile, but to summarize briefly;

🔸If a negative result occurs, the price is likely to fall to the $52-49k range, and this range is a suitable level to buy.

🔹If a positive result occurs and a volume close above $60k, the price is likely to rise to the $69-74k range.

My personal opinion is that today's meeting will reflect extremely positively on the price in the long term, regardless of the short term.

Therefore, I continue to hold my spot Bitcoins, I will add if the $60k resistance is broken or the price falls to the $52-49k range. Other than that, I do not plan to make any changes.

I will share current data before the interest rate decision and share economic projections with you instantly at the time of the decision, my friends.

Good morning friends☀️

The big day has come for the markets. Today at 21:00, the FED interest rate decision will be announced and economic projections will be published.

Coinbase started buying#Bitcoinwhen it fell to $49,000 and they have been collecting#BTCfor about 1.5 months. We will probably understand why they are buying tonight.

I will also share an article about what may happen before the interest rate decision, friends. I wish everyone a nice day and good earnings.

US stock markets started the week negatively.

The possibility of a 50 bps interest rate cut has increased considerably. While some think that a 50 bps interest rate cut will be positive, a large portion of the public is still concerned about a recession.

This week, the markets will be very active due to the FED meeting, economic projections and Powell's speech.

Interest rates have been at their peak for more than a year and we can now interpret the fact that interest rate cuts will begin positively.

I think that large capital, which has been parked in high interest rates for a long time, will now start rotating towards risky assets.

Even the possibility of an interest rate cut has now started to weaken the dollar index. The decline of the dollar index is also interpreted positively for the crypto sector.

In fact, before the 2020 and 2017 bulls, we see that the dollar index peaked and started to fall. After the dollar index started to fall, we see that the bull rally started on the Bitcoin side.

In short, it will not be very important which way the prices move this week. We will probably see various manipulations.

The main point we need to focus on is the long-term impact of the interest rate decision to be announced this week.

I think that in the long term, interest rate cuts, falling dollar index and global liquidity increases will have a positive impact on the#Bitcoinprice.

Good morning friends☀️

We have entered an important week. I think that the calm course that has continued in recent weeks will be disrupted this week and that we will have an active week for the markets.

The FED interest rate decision will be announced on Wednesday. In this meeting, economic projections including the expectations of FOMC members for the coming months will also be published. Therefore, the meeting has extra importance.

On the other hand, the possibility of a 50 bps interest rate cut has increased considerably in recent days. While the possibility of a 50 bps interest rate cut was seen as 30% 1 week ago, this possibility has now increased to 59%.

The expectation of a transition to monetary expansion together with the interest rate cuts will of course have a positive impact on the financial markets.

I think that large capital, which has been benefiting from high interest yields for a long time, will now shift towards risky assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies. We also started to see the effects of this last week.

The downward trend was broken last week and the price managed to make a new high peak. In the current situation, we can say that the short-term outlook is positive as long as the $58k support is maintained.

I will share other data such as spot CVD, whale activity, liquidation map during the day and I will update frequently since we are in an important week, my friends.

I wish everyone a good week and lots of profit.

#Bitcoin has been moving sideways around $58,000 for 3 days.

Since the price is moving sideways, the data does not change and it becomes difficult to understand which way the price will move.

Let's still look at the current data and try to understand how the price will move together 👇

1) Direction of the Trend

The price was in a downtrend for a long time, but the downtrend was broken 3 days ago and the price managed to climb above it.

Although the downtrend resistance has been broken, a new high peak has not been made yet. When the h4 close above $59k occurs, a new peak will be made and we can say that the price has moved into an uptrend.

2) Spot CVD

Spot CVD is moving sideways. Coinbase is buying, Binance is selling.

We can interpret Coinbase's buying as a positive.

3) Whale Activity

Whale activity increased from around -20 to -9 but has not yet moved into the positive zone.

Whales are probably waiting for the price to make a new peak instead of a downtrend breakout. If the $59k breakout occurs, we can see whale activity turn positive, but it is still in the negative zone.

4) Liquidation Map

🔹Long liquidations are intense in the $55-53k and $49-46k range.

🔸Short liquidations are intense in the $60k range, followed by $65-67k and $70-72k range.

You can follow long liquidations as support and short liquidations as resistance.

The long-term outlook is already extremely positive. In the short term, it would be better to see closings above $59k and whale activity turn positive.

I haven't shared much recently, friends, since the data hasn't changed. I'm trying to give you clear information without confusing you too much. I can share a lot of posts and reach more interaction and followers, but instead of confusing you with unnecessary information, I'm trying to provide you with the right information in a short and concise way.

If you think it's useful, it will be enough for me if you like the posts, friends.I wish everyone a nice day and good luck.

Good morning friends☀️
#Bitcoinrose to $55,000 with the clearing of liquidations in the $53k region. In order for the rise to continue, the falling trend channel needs to be broken.

It would be too early to say that the danger is over before the falling trend resistance is broken, but if the falling trend break occurs, we expect the rise to continue. You can easily follow the falling trend by drawing it on your chart.

Spot CVD is moving horizontally. Binance continues to sell as always. Coinbase continues to buy from $49k.

Since Binance sales and Coinbase purchases meet each other, spot CVD is moving horizontally, but we can interpret Coinbase's purchase as positive.

We did not see any effect of whales in the last rise. Despite the 5% increase, there was no change in whale activity and it is still at -20.

If the falling trend break occurs, we can probably see that whale activity has turned positive, but for now it is still in the negative zone.

It would be too early to say that the short-term outlook is positive until we see the downtrend break and whale activity rise above 0. It would be beneficial to be careful as long as we do not receive these two confirmations.

The long-term outlook still remains positive. We already talked about the long-term outlook in detail in the last video. If you haven't watched it yet, you can watch the last video. There is very critical information in the video 👇

https://t.co/4wBQiE6Tv0

I will update instantly when there is a change in the data, friends. I wish everyone a good week and good earnings.

#Bitcoin cleared all of its liquidations in the $55-53k range.

I had explained that this area was likely to work as support, and $53k worked as a nice support.

After the liquidation clearing, the price started to rise again without closing below $53k.

Current status;

🔹Long liquidations are intense in the $49-46k range.

🔸Short liquidations are intense in the $65-67k range.

For now, we can say that the decline has stopped as long as the $53k support is not lost, but if this support is lost, we will understand that the real target is the liquidations in the $49-46k range.

In other words, the $53k support will determine whether the decline will continue or not. Since the reaction received is not very strong, it will be useful to follow closely.

I will update as soon as there is a change in the data, friends. I wish everyone a nice day and plenty of earnings.

#Bitcoin has entered the region where liquidations are intense.

There are intense long liquidations in the $55-53k range. This region seems likely to work as support.

If liquidations are cleared and the price still drops below $53k, we will understand that the real target is the $49-46k region, but for now, protecting the $53k region is of great importance for the decline to stop.

I marked the other liquidation levels on the chart, friends. You can follow long liquidations as support and short liquidations as resistance.

The market continues to move sideways and without volume.

Funding rates are at normal levels, spot volumes are low and there is no major activity on the futures side. Not only the crypto sector, but also the US stock markets have been moving sideways for 2 weeks.

The markets seem to be waiting for something. There is uncertainty and investors are waiting for this uncertainty to end. My personal opinion is that this expectation is the US elections.

The US has the largest economy in the world and who is in power directly affects the dollar, the world's most widely used currency, and the financial markets.

If Trump is elected president, it will undoubtedly be great for the markets, but the polls show that Harris is ahead and they are neck and neck. The fact that the poll results are very close naturally leaves investors undecided.

There are 2 months left until the election and the uncertain and boring process for the markets may continue until the election result is clear.

On the other hand, when we look at how the US elections affect the#Bitcoinprice regardless of which candidate or party is in power, we come up with a great result.

As you can see in the chart, Bitcoin has experienced great increases after the US elections and, so to speak, the bull has started after every election.

The chart shows us that elections can have a positive effect on the price, no matter which candidate wins.

Therefore, it would be the most logical option to wait without intervening in long-term investments during this process.

In the short term, we can say that the current outlook will remain positive as long as the price does not close below $58k in volume.

The closing on Sunday was below $58k, but since it did not have enough volume, the price closed above it again the next day. Since the market is volatile and uncertain, we should not see millimetric closings like this, but at least 2-3% different and volatile closings.

If there is any change in the data, I will update it instantly, friends.

I wish everyone a nice day and lots of profit.

#Bitcoin is testing the same support for the fifth time.

The $58,000 support has been tested 5 times in the last 15 days, and the percentage of increase after each test decreases.

It is very important to maintain this support so that the decline does not continue, so the daily and weekly close should be above $58k.

If the support is lost, the probability of the price retreating to the area where long liquidations are intense will increase. In the current situation;

🔹Long liquidations are intense between $55-53k and $49-46k.

🔸Short liquidations are intense between $65-67k and $70-72k.

In other words, the answer to the question of how long the decline will continue if $58k is lost will be the $55-53k range.

If the price cannot hold despite the liquidations accumulated in this region being cleared, this time the possibility of $49-46k will come to the fore.

Since the $58k support has not been lost for now, it is too early to talk about these possibilities. For these possibilities to come to the fore, we need to see a daily close below $58k.

If such a close occurs, it would be logical to increase the amount of cash and reduce portfolio risk.

I will make instant updates like this when I think it is important, my friends.

We are in a critical period, so if it will be useful for you, I can add the current status of other data under this post. Just write which data you are curious about.

I wish everyone a lot of profit.

Good morning friends☀️
#Bitcoinmanaged to hold on to the $58,000 support once again.

This level is an important S/R flip support that has worked as support/resistance many times. Therefore, it is very important to protect this level.

It was good that the day's close yesterday was above the support.

Since the price is moving sideways, liquidations continue to accumulate.

🔹Long liquidations are intense in the $55-53k and $49-46k range.

🔸Short liquidations seem intense in the $65-67k range.

If the daily close occurs below $58k, there may be a possibility that the price will first fall to the $55-53k range and then to the $49-46k range, so protecting the $58k support is very important.

This possibility can be followed if the $58k support is lost, but as long as $58k is maintained, the price seems more likely to move towards short liquidations in the $65-67k range.

We will also share a detailed Bitcoin analysis on our YouTube channel today and we will discuss all the data in detail in the video, friends.

I wish everyone a nice day and lots of earnings.

Good morning friends☀️
#Bitcoinhas fallen back to the $59,000 support. They took advantage of the market's lack of volume and pulled the price down from the futures.

There is no serious selling pressure on the spot side. Coinbase is still buying and has not made any sales.

When we look at the futures side, we see that the real sales come from the futures.

During periods when the market is low, they can drag the price in the direction they want from the futures with small amounts.

Despite the decline, the $59,000 support has not been broken yet and as long as there is no closing below $58k, the support will continue to be maintained.

Therefore, as long as we do not see a daily closing below $58k, the current outlook will continue to remain positive.

On the global side, the data is generally positive, liquidity is increasing and interest rate cuts are expected.

Expectations for interest rate cuts, liquidity increase and a transition to monetary expansion indicate that expectations are positive on the global side.

Don't forget to examine the graph below to understand what happens when the global money supply increases. When you examine the chart, you will see that liquidity increases bring about an increase.

While the global side is so positive for the first time in 2 years, I think these declines are just manipulation.

If a closing occurs below $58k, of course it would be logical to increase the cash amount, but as long as a closing occurs below $58k, we can say that the outlook is positive for now.

I will update instantly when there is a change in the data, my friends.

I wish everyone a nice day and plenty of earnings.

Good morning friends ☀️

Bitcoin started the new week calmly, the price has been moving sideways around 63k for about 3 days.

There is no important data to be announced this week, so the calm and volumeless progress may continue for a while.

During periods of volumelessness, it is usually necessary to trade big movements without making many transactions. Therefore, in this process, it will be enough to follow only the $59k support without being too sensitive to the short-term price movement.

As long as $59K is maintained, the short-term outlook will continue to remain positive.

With the price rising to around $63k, the whale activity, which had been negative for a long time, also turned positive and increased to +2.

Of course, this value is not very serious, but it was still good that the whale activity passed into the green zone. It will be much better if it goes above +10 in the coming days.

A new week means new opportunities. I will update frequently throughout the week, friends.

I wish everyone a nice day and lots of earnings.

Good morning friends☀️
#Bitcoinquickly rose to around $65,000 after the $59k breakout.

In the last analysis, I explained that Coinbase and ETF investors continued to buy and the outlook turned positive since the $59k resistance was broken.

Although there are minor delays, the price generally moves according to the data and eventually reaches the point it needs to be.

In the current situation, as long as the $59k support is maintained, the positive outlook is expected to continue and there is no significant resistance ahead of us until the $71-73k range.

Spot CVD continues to maintain its positive outlook.

In the last rise, Binance also started buying. Coinbase is still buying and has not yet returned to selling.

On the other hand, ETF investors continue to buy.

This week, there was a net inflow of 8,400 BTC, so we can say that ETF investors made approximately $540 million worth of purchases.

When Bitcoin was around $60k, I shared with you clearly that the outlook was turning positive by both publishing a video and sharing analysis here.

I am trying to share in the clearest and most understandable way without making too much noise. I hope it is useful.

If there is a change in the data, I will update it instantly. I wish everyone a nice weekend and good earnings.