Cybernetik137

In which direction the crypto industry will go. Analyst 0xKyle from DeFiance Capital's thoughts (liquid fund).
1 The chase for a bet on a promising future L1 blockchain will die (low probability of big wins, as was the case with SOL, SUI, AVAX).
Each blockchain will now need its own specific use case, which will be defined by what is built on it.

When it comes to trading in the market, it is impossible to do without mentioning Richard Wyckoff, a trading legend and the creator of the Wyckoff Method. His ideas on market movement and trading principles are considered to be some of the most effective and time-tested.
The Wyckoff Method is one of the most popular and effective approaches to analyzing market cycles. It can be used to identify market phases and more accurately predict future price movements.

At this moment, we're witnessing one of the clearest bullish signs I've seen in three previous crypto cycles:
➬ BTC.D is at a resistance area
➬ ETH/BTC is at a support level
Last time alts skyrocketed!
Is history poised to repeat itself this cycle? Let me delve into 👇🧵

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Okay, let's keep it straightforward.
I've navigated three bull markets, growing my crypto gains to around $4 million from just $4k.
Most of my success emerged from analyzing cycles, timings, and trends.
Forget about those mythical figures and complex chart doodles...
It's truly about grasping the bigger picture of the crypto world.
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Let's begin with a fundamental concept:
➬ Assets peak when they appear their most attractive
➬ Similarly, assets hit their lowest point when circumstances can't get any worse
There's ample historical proof of this in the crypto world.

Hence, the crucial question during a bull market to identify the peak is:
"Are there still possible drivers of growth that haven't been factored into the price?"
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A prime illustration is the downfall of FTX.
When situations hit rock bottom, improvement is the only way forward.
Solana even rose from $8 to $297 at its peak.
Conversely, when everything is perfect, deterioration is inevitable.
It's crucial to stay clear-headed amidst these fluctuations.
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Retail investors are exiting the market, with several facing financial setbacks — a crucial step towards progress.
Hope seems to have vanished, and the belief that crypto will only decline prevails.
Yet, the situation is more complex than it appears.
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On the flip side, the current situation is great for crypto growth.
We have:
· A president of a leading nation who supports crypto
· Widespread acceptance
· U.S. Bitcoin reserves
It's hard to imagine a better situation.
But this is where the challenge begins...
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According to the theory I outlined earlier, we're at a peak and can only descend from here.
However, the indicators don't show a market top, and the timing hints at the arrival of an altseason.

So, what's our actual position in the market right now?
Let me explain in more detail.
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We're in a situation where going down means:
- Cycles completely STOP working
- Bitcoin becomes a MACRO asset
Also, many have thought about moving to stablecoins from April-May and coming back in the third quarter.
When everyone thinks the same, it often doesn't go as planned...
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This is why I tend to view the present circumstances as far from perfect.
While BTC may transform into a more significant macro asset, the cycle itself is likely to persist as it is.
Without considering BTC, the market conditions are about as unfavorable as they can be.
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Altcoins appear bleak at the moment, which signals a potential upward surge.
This is underscored by BTC's dominance at a resistance level and ETH/BTC finding support.
The previous occurrence triggered a massive altcoin rally.
Current trends suggest we're at the starting point of another altseason.
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I believe we're at a crucial point in the market right now.
I've outlined the possible scenarios for better understanding.
Based on past trends in crypto, I lean towards continued growth.
However, I recommend caution; it's best to keep your current holdings without making any drastic changes.

Just HODL, and don't worry, we're all in this together.
The main goal right now is to not lose your assets.
Because seems like everyone is trying to scam you out of your precious tokens, even the Argentinian president...
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➡️ Friends, the market always shakes out the amateurs. Liquidations are not a reason to panic, but an opportunity to build positions. The main thing is to keep a cool head and follow the system.

🌜 Main mistakes that lead to account depletion:

🔴 1. Trading without a plan
If you enter a trade without a clear understanding of entry points, stops, and targets, you have already lost. Trading is a strategy, not a casino.

If the cycle repeats the years 2017 and 2021, then the peak growth usually occurs 12-18 months after the BTC halving.
• 2013-2014 cycle: Halving – November 2012 → BTC peak – December 2013 (13 months)
• 2017 cycle: Halving – July 2016 → BTC peak – December 2017 (17 months)
• 2021 cycle: Halving – May 2020 → BTC peak – November 2021 (18 months)

Have you ever wondered why some traders manage to catch the very first growth impulse? Their success is not just luck, but the result of a clear strategy. Here are some secrets of how experts predict the next big wave:

🔍 1. Watch for whales 🐋💸
Large investors act differently from retail traders - they carefully accumulate assets. Use Lookonchain, Nansen or Arkham to track whale activity. If their wallets start actively accumulating a certain coin, pay attention!