CryptoBirb
Chartered Market Technician®
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Buckle up
GM bulls☀️
I’ll bite: what’s next fartcoin?
FOMC TRADE GUIDE - 8 GOLDEN RULES:
1. Short-term Impact
Don't expect a bull run or a bear market out of this. Keep your emotions in check to avoid deception.
2. Expect Price Shocks
A price shock refers to a sudden and significant change in the price (3-5x average volatility) from unexpected news.
3. FOMC Days Are Noisy
Trading on noisy, volatile event days is not safe.
4. Mostly a Coin Flip
It’s been proven over time to be rather a coin flip with little statistical advantage.
5. Exit Windfall Profit
Typically, right after the FOMC decision, prices retrace to the previous levels with little effect except for volatility spikes.
6. “Buy The Rumor, Sell The News”
This heuristic often drives prices higher in anticipation of the news release.
7. Disparity Means Volatility
The magnitude of the price reaction depends on the disparity between the expectations and actual news.
8. Don't Fight The Fed
While the Fed's decision is speculative, trading against their trend-setting calls is a losing bet.
For an average risk-averse and loss-averse trader, it is suggested to stay on the sidelines.
At times, no action is the best action.
Drop a comment if find it helpful✍️
1. Short-term Impact
Don't expect a bull run or a bear market out of this. Keep your emotions in check to avoid deception.
2. Expect Price Shocks
A price shock refers to a sudden and significant change in the price (3-5x average volatility) from unexpected news.
3. FOMC Days Are Noisy
Trading on noisy, volatile event days is not safe.
4. Mostly a Coin Flip
It’s been proven over time to be rather a coin flip with little statistical advantage.
5. Exit Windfall Profit
Typically, right after the FOMC decision, prices retrace to the previous levels with little effect except for volatility spikes.
6. “Buy The Rumor, Sell The News”
This heuristic often drives prices higher in anticipation of the news release.
7. Disparity Means Volatility
The magnitude of the price reaction depends on the disparity between the expectations and actual news.
8. Don't Fight The Fed
While the Fed's decision is speculative, trading against their trend-setting calls is a losing bet.
For an average risk-averse and loss-averse trader, it is suggested to stay on the sidelines.
At times, no action is the best action.
Drop a comment if find it helpful✍️
Daily reminder to buckle up & GM👋
Jim Cramer said “I own #Bitcoin, you should own Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a great thing to add, to have in your portfolio."
We’re so cooked
We’re so cooked
Remember memecoins?
Bears will be punished.
Soon, all will realise Bitcoin is the future again.
Every 4 years, we're looking at incredible rallies.
2013, 2017, 2021, 2025.
I call it the end game.
The most vertical phase - mainstream era.
Everyone will talk about bitcoin again.
Friends, family members.
Taxi drivers will trade while driving.
Grocery stores will shill their new meme they bought.
Drake will put on NFT pfp again.
Justin Bieber will bring BAYC, Pudgy back.
Celebrities will boast about holding crypto.
XRP tattooed on asses.
McDonalds roll out BitMacs.
Apple & Visa accept crypto.
Everyone will be making money.
'I'm a genius' moment.
Suffering from success, and so on.
But,
after sitting on gains for over 2 years, bull will end soon.
First to leave will be insiders.
Then, ETFs and big funds.
Will happen only as normies pile up joining.
They will be used as exit liquidity.
Institutions will dump on your friends.
Your families will regret buying "etherim".
Many will walk away with millions.
Most will lose everything.
To over trading.
Over invested by a lot.
Cycle repeats again & again.
Your job to be on the right side of the trend.
Don't short rising SMA200.
Observe inflection in Q3 (summer slowdown).
Markets will lose the steam.
Bearish momentum divergences emerge.
So, don't long falling SMA200.
It will still be hot, but it's a trap.
Your job is to lock in and watch.
Time your exit.
Have a trading plan: entries, exits, stops, signals.
Above everything, please use protective stops this time.
Most money is in vertical rallies, so pick trailing stops.
Don't take profits too early.
The end game is about to begin.
What if
this time you're actually gonna make it?
Soon, all will realise Bitcoin is the future again.
Every 4 years, we're looking at incredible rallies.
2013, 2017, 2021, 2025.
I call it the end game.
The most vertical phase - mainstream era.
Everyone will talk about bitcoin again.
Friends, family members.
Taxi drivers will trade while driving.
Grocery stores will shill their new meme they bought.
Drake will put on NFT pfp again.
Justin Bieber will bring BAYC, Pudgy back.
Celebrities will boast about holding crypto.
XRP tattooed on asses.
McDonalds roll out BitMacs.
Apple & Visa accept crypto.
Everyone will be making money.
'I'm a genius' moment.
Suffering from success, and so on.
But,
after sitting on gains for over 2 years, bull will end soon.
First to leave will be insiders.
Then, ETFs and big funds.
Will happen only as normies pile up joining.
They will be used as exit liquidity.
Institutions will dump on your friends.
Your families will regret buying "etherim".
Many will walk away with millions.
Most will lose everything.
To over trading.
Over invested by a lot.
Cycle repeats again & again.
Your job to be on the right side of the trend.
Don't short rising SMA200.
Observe inflection in Q3 (summer slowdown).
Markets will lose the steam.
Bearish momentum divergences emerge.
So, don't long falling SMA200.
It will still be hot, but it's a trap.
Your job is to lock in and watch.
Time your exit.
Have a trading plan: entries, exits, stops, signals.
Above everything, please use protective stops this time.
Most money is in vertical rallies, so pick trailing stops.
Don't take profits too early.
The end game is about to begin.
What if
this time you're actually gonna make it?
Shoutout to all 4 people liking my posts
Soon everyone will be bullish. But many will realise that too late
Things about to get wild
GM
Our partners @TreehouseFi hit $350M+ TVL, 18K+ depositors, sold 1,000 TSC NFTs (0.4 ETH floor), launched DOR Testnet. For 2025: DOR Mainnet, tAssets expansion, $1B+ trading volume, new partnerships. LFG
Hit 700,000 followers👉👈
We've got 4 bullish months of solid gains ahead