怂人面前全是坎

#新币RED新玩法

Since ancient times, deep affection cannot be retained; it is always tricks that capture people's hearts.
Recently, the market has been trending stagnant, as many people have been trapped, many have seen their funds shrink, and some have even exited the market. Thus, it is once again time to test the performance. Project parties perform like magic, with various tricks to attract the limited liquidity in the market.

Example 1: Bnx, suddenly surged, announced at a high point, then played with range fluctuations, seemingly saying, if you want to buy, pay a high price, if you love it, buy it or not, in short, very arrogant. In fact, it is just a token swap; no matter how beautifully the story is told, the essence remains the same.
Example 2: Ern, only announced when the swap time was nearing, quickly surged, then played with large range fluctuations.
Example 3: New token Red. Previously, new tokens were launched with no bottom line for harvesting, then when no one was left to take over, a new gameplay was adopted. What’s with the price limit restriction? It’s merely about low pre-market trading volume, creating a sense of scarcity and fostering a false impression of supply not meeting demand, making it impossible for retail investors to buy, brewing FOMO feelings. When officially launched, the trading volume suddenly increases, revealing its true nature. (Exchanges should base their operations on trust; playing tricks every time a new token is launched will only cause unease, rather than a sense of novelty.)
Overall, there is still a chance for new token Red in pre-market trading; once the price limit is lifted, one can make a profit on the spread. When officially launched, still look for a high point to short.

#Bnx故事讲完散场时

Everyone loves to listen to stories, watch performances, and eat meat and drink wine. How happy it is!
If you meet a stingy person, there is no wine or meat, only stories, and the stories are not told well, and the heat will be annoying.
BNX rises quickly, and does not want to give everyone a chance. It only releases the story after the rise, and the story is incomplete and confusing.
But after all, the story is told, the performance is over, and it’s time to leave.
Here are two similar examples with different gameplay. One is Usual, where the story line is relatively clear at the beginning and the time node is also clear. The second is Zen, where the story is not released until halfway through the performance. Generally speaking, these two give everyone a chance. After the rising process is completed, the falling process begins. Old players know how to operate.

#Vine蓄势待发

VINE's decline is not ordinary. It basically fell back to the high-volume area where it was initially listed. After sideways trading, it rebounded and still has explosive power.

If it continues to fluctuate upward, it can be bought on a small retracement and speculate on small waves.

Overall, the profit and loss ratio is still very cost-effective.

#置换币D跃跃欲试

Just yesterday, I posted about bottoming out and replacing coin D, and today this coin is making moves.
However, it seems that not many people are paying attention to this coin, after all, it's an old game theme.
But with a small market cap, there is room for manipulation and opportunities for speculative games.
I bought a portion around 0.082, then placed an order at 0.074, but unfortunately, I didn't get filled.

This coin cannot add a K-line chart, which is strange; the trading pair is D/usdt, what kind of operation is with the symbol/?

#Bnx逆势开空敢跟么

The market has been generally sluggish recently, with BNX leading the way.
This also means that the music is too high to be appreciated by the public, and the one-man show will eventually come to an end.
It is meaningless to guess when the peak will be reached, after all, the initiative is in the hands of others...
You can make money by following the trend, and you can survive by going against the trend. Success or failure depends on timing, methods, and determination.
I plan to place a small order at 1.3 to try shorting, and if it is right, I will find a point to increase the position later.
If it is wrong, go to 1.5 to try shorting again...
It will not be fatal to try a small order first, there will always be a point where it will reverse.
Come on if you are brave, haha ​​😃!

Share an unconventional logic: as long as you are strong enough and insist on your own correctness, the market will admit its mistakes to you one day and correct them.

#D抄底机会

The drop in replacement coin D has been relatively large, presenting a potential rebound opportunity.
Lightly buy the dip; if you buy right, hold on and ride the wave.
In case it drops again, don't panic; if it falls below 0.06, add more to your position. Buying the dip requires determination.

Strange, how come this coin can't add a K-line chart.

#Cake喜欢搞事来回震荡

This morning I found that Cake suddenly reversed and then fell again, oscillating back and forth with a significant amplitude. My habit is to open one direction; I won't repeatedly trade both long and short.
I guess it's taking advantage of the fact that everyone hasn't woken up yet, so it's acting recklessly, haha! Such evil manipulation.

#Bnx震荡Cake走弱

BTC has been in a chaotic fluctuation for many days, and ultimately chose to slowly decline. Altcoins have already felt the chill and are falling one after another.

At this time, it is not suitable to bottom fish; opportunities still require patient waiting.

The two most powerful coins recently are Bnx and Cake. Currently, Bnx has not yet broken the support at 8.3 and needs to be observed carefully. Cake has already weakened, resembling a parabola, and it is highly likely to accelerate its decline.

#BNX能空吗Ip和Hei

Many people want to short Bnx, mainly because they see its large price increase and its dominant position, while they themselves have not bought in, creating a sense of imbalance and dissatisfaction towards it.
Currently, Bnx has not broken the support level of 0.83, so it is still not advisable to short it.
When trading contracts, one should follow the trend, and when shorting, it is essential to choose coins where a downtrend has already formed, entering on minor pullbacks. In such cases, opening a position can be profitable and highly efficient; even if the entry point is slightly off, using lower leverage and wider stop-losses can still be quite stable.
There are actually many coins where the downtrend has already formed; here I will mention two examples, Hei and Ip, which are both black swans, haha😃. Don’t be fooled by their significant declines; in fact, for these explosive coins, a decline to half of the highs is a regular occurrence.

#BNX是要收割了吗

Previously, Bnx surged to around 0.65, and many people started calling for a short. Then, well, the short sellers were taken out.
Of course, some people went long and enjoyed the ride all the way.
However, I still stand by my point: issuing tokens is to raise money, and surging is to offload. The surge is temporary; it will eventually fall.
Currently, it seems that after some fluctuation, a false breakout could lead to a reversal, which needs confirmation.
Aggressive traders might try to short after breaking below the previous high.
However, a more conservative strategy is to wait for the price to break below support at 0.83, and then try shorting after it pulls back. After all, it could also hold here and continue to surge to new highs.
Be patient; opportunities will always come.

#Trump反弹还是反转
I wrote before that buying at the bottom would attract many doubts.
In fact, you can make money by following the trend or going against the trend, and you have to bear risks. The key to success depends on the selected currency, the timing of buying and the operation method.
After Trumpcoin fell below 20, I wrote that I would buy at the bottom in batches. At that time, the purchase price was around 19. It soon fell to a new low, but the price difference was not large and did not meet the conditions for covering the position. The third time it fell to a new low, I covered the position at around 15.
Now it rebounds, the pressure level is 20.7, if it cannot be hit, it can be halved, and half of the bottom position is retained.
There is no need to guess whether it is a rebound or a reversal. The market is developed, and the operation is to take one step at a time.
Don't chase the rise directly if you haven't bought it before, after all, it will fall back after a wave of pull-ups.

#Hei交易机会
The previous Lit swap is completed, and the code name is changed to Hei. It will be online for trading at 16:00.
For the swap theme, simply put, it is to change the vest and repackage it, just like a movie sequel, and make up a story to tell everyone. After a series of operations, the chips in the hands of the project party will usually increase, and of course someone needs to take over.
Lit is swapped to Hei, and the circulation volume changes from 66 million to 100 million. In this way, the project party has more chips.
Everyone knows that the circulation volume has increased, and how to distribute it is actually a difficult problem. The low-end operation is to smash it all the way down. The high-end point is to pull up first to lure more, then oscillate, and finally fall.
But no matter how you play, it will fall in the end.
As I said, stay rational, don't open a short position as soon as the contract goes online. Recently, from the perspective of new coins, it is easy to pull back when the contract goes online, which is a bit against the rhythm of the air force.

The spot opens at 16:00, and the contract should be online at 18:00.
Before the replacement announcement was released, the price fluctuated around 0.85, then hit a low of 0.52, and closed at 0.74 when trading was suspended on the 10th.

#Layer资金费率变动警示
The funding fees for new coins have changed to every 2 hours, and the cost of shorting has increased, requiring caution!
Things are not that simple; let's review the past.
In the past, new coins would rise and fall with significant volatility, with many participants. Some made profits while others incurred losses, and market enthusiasm was high.
Later, after a rapid increase following the launch, the price would just keep falling without looking back. The cases of The and Me are typical examples.
Eventually, the launch became the peak, with no significant rebound, and the market kept going further down...
The market environment has worsened, and traders have been played out.
Thus, some quick responders began to short new coins and won repeatedly.
Then, more people joined in, leading to an increase in the number of shorters, pushing the funding rates to the max, and the contract prices were severely discounted. The cost of shorting increased, but the shorts remained the winners.
Recently, there have been too many shorts on new coins, which completely disrupted the market balance.
Then a special event occurred: the Layer contract launched at a relatively low price, and the shorts were subsequently stopped out.
I was one of them. I had made profits multiple times before, but now I lost once. We, the shorts, do not get proud in victory nor discouraged in defeat, with steadfast resolve, we will never yield. After being stopped out, of course, we find another high point to continue opening positions.
At this time, the rules were adjusted, and the frequency of funding fee collection increased, indicating that there were too many shorts exceeding the market's capacity.
This feels like a yellow card warning and needs to be treated with caution!
In conclusion, the market environment has changed, and the market atmosphere has also shifted; it will not change just because of one reverse rally. However, in the future, opening positions will require careful consideration, weighing the pros and cons before taking action to avoid blind operations and falling into a stampede event.

#Layer新币上线理性开空

Business is coming again!
Today, a new coin is launched on Layer. I don’t care how it will go at the opening.
Before, two new coins were launched at the same time. I shorted Cheems and expected the other TST to rise. In the end, I didn’t need to act. It was a bit ugly.
Before, when a new coin was launched, I planned to buy some spot at the opening to make a short difference, and then wait for the contract to come out before opening a short. Now it’s good. The plan is streamlined, saving half of the workload. There is no need to watch the market for two hours after the opening.
According to convention, the contract will come out two hours later, usually the price has fallen sharply, and directly shorting means chasing the short, which is very uncomfortable when encountering a rebound. So you need to stay rational, observe, and find a good point to place an order.
Not much to say, the market opens at 22:00... and work starts at 24:00.

#ARC适合做波动差价
A few days ago, I shared the method of bottom-picking and rolling spreads. At that time, I talked about buying Bio and Solv at a low price, and then I was questioned by many people.
Let me explain here that this method is not applicable in all situations. Simply put, there are prerequisites: that is, BTC is not unilaterally bearish, but still fluctuating; you must choose the right currency; and the buying point must be near the low point of a wave of decline.
Among the recently selected currencies, Arc is the most suitable for volatility spreads. As shown in the figure below, there were three bottom-picking opportunities after Dafu fell. Among them, the first one looks more like a V-shaped rebound, after all, there is no bottom sideways; the second one has the characteristics of bottom sideways, and bottom-picking operations are easier; the third one has a W bottom, and bottom-picking operations are very safe.
Of course, looking back at the first two times, they were just rebounds, not stage bottoms. The market will only be clear when it comes out, and it is impossible to wait for the market to become clear before going back to operate.
Some people choose to open shorts at the secondary high point of each rebound in this kind of falling trend, that is, points A and B in the figure. Actually, you can make money by going long or short, it depends on your personal habits, but don't go short and long at the same time, excessive greed will backfire.
Arc only has contracts, I do it as spot, with 1x leverage. Going long is better than going short in one aspect, that is, you don't need to set a stop loss when you open 1x, after all, you won't get liquidated;
And shorting with 1x leverage can also get liquidated.
Other currencies such as spx and fartcoin are not so smooth in volatility spread.

#BNX什么时候可以空

I didn't get in on the rise of BNX, after all, the increase was already significant by the time I noticed. In the current market conditions, chasing after a rise carries more risk than buying the dip. Then I watched it continue to rise, feeling a bit of FOMO.
Yesterday it rose to around 0.64 and then pulled back. I saw someone calling for a short, saying there was a triple top, so hurry and short.
From my perspective, it's all about higher lows and higher highs. I'm talking about the real candlesticks; the first high has too long of an upper shadow, it's distorted.
Also, during the first wave of the rise, the trading volume was too high; checking the data shows the turnover rate was very high. It can be understood that the institution took a lot of players' chips.
So now the question is, when will we see a top?
After all, it's hard to see coins that have risen several times; everyone is waiting to short, haha 😂

#Tst看好Cheems看空
New currency is launched, I guess Tst will rise after a small pullback, while Cheems will drop significantly. Hehe😒

Market opens at 19:00, are you ready!

#新币BIO抄底机会SOLV

New coins usually keep falling after they are launched, and those who buy at the bottom are miserable. But things will turn into the opposite extreme. If they fall too much, there is still a chance to pull up.
Bio has a large decline and has never risen. Solv has a small market value and is worth looking forward to.
Here is a brief description of my bottom-fishing operation method:
1. Find the low point of volatility and buy a part first. If the volatility is not large (within 20% increase or decrease), hold the position;
2. If it rises by more than 20%, halve it, and if it rises by more than 50%, sell it all;
3. If it falls by more than 20% after buying, add 1 times the funds, and then halve it after a rebound. In this way, the cost of rolling positions is reduced, and the position remains;
4. If you encounter an extreme situation where you buy and fall by 50% (small probability), add 1.5 times the funds, and the rebound is also halved.

By the way, some people buy spreads and start covering their positions when the price drops by less than 10%. This way, the spread cannot be reflected in the position, and there is no way to roll the position, which is easy to get out of control.

#Lit卖飞了Trump接盘么
Lit saw some pressure after hitting 0.52 yesterday, so I picked up some chips and placed a sell order. Just woke up, took a look, and FOMO'd...
I have always insisted on trading replacement coins (after all, there are very few tradable topics), previously replacing dar with D, ftm with S, and buying before the replacement has shown average performance. So I habitually make price differences at about a 50% increase. This time, encountering a project party with vision makes me feel like I lack vision.
Previously, Trump coin dropped to around 35, I boasted that it would halve from the high of 80 to 20 before I would buy again. Today it broke 20, and the rebound has gained strength, indicating that many people are willing to buy at this level. However, this low point may not hold.
There is a saying: 'Counter-trend trading at the bottom, heavy positions can create miracles.' For those who habitually do left-side trading, you can try to build positions in Trump in batches. Left-side trading means, of course, buying more as it drops, and not easily cutting losses.
Those who don't have enough psychological resilience should refrain from counter-trend bottom-fishing.

#ARC做个反弹怎么看
The Arc drop is almost over; you can try for a rebound. Range 0.34～0.31; open a long position with low leverage.
Overall, as long as BTC doesn't experience a major drop, the risk of opening an order in this range is not high.
Will this trade succeed? Does anyone have an opinion to share?