牛油果投研_大牛

#比特币价格走势分析
BTC and ETH evening market chart

#比特币走势观察
ETH——
The current level of adjustment lies in the changes in the 4-hour structure, and the 6-hour gap still has room—upward target: around 3430. The key is the breakout at the 4-hour level—the logically delivered level is in the 8-12 hours, in the 3450—3480 range【Adjustment completed this week】—Mind Map——>
Where is the liquidation space above the larger level?~~~
The liquidation range for the bears——
First level: 3406—3432【6-hour resistance range】
Second level: 3448—3472【8-12 hour resistance range】
Support levels:
First support zone: 3372—3352
This week's optimal value investment structure—10-30 minute zero-axis rebound opportunity—【High probability of having a 15-30 minute range rebound opportunity】
If it breaks down—then look again
As long as the 4-hour level breaks through, the pullback will run up towards the 3800 level—no need to take profits

Why?
1. This month there will be a testnet upgrade testing the Prague upgrade—around March; 2. Trump took office on January 20—Musk's inauguration—3. Discussion on the possibility of interest rate cuts—where is the risk? If the upgrade is delayed—there is a risk similar to a past upgrade that was delayed and caused a crash—the pressure range at the 12-hour level 3480—3520 is an absolute suppression.

#比特币走势观察
BTC——January 2nd 10:44
Viewpoint 1——Gap 94000—93800【48-hour recovery probability 70%】
Viewpoint 2——High-level 6-hour bottom structure resistance level: 95700——96500.
Viewpoint 3——When the gap is filled, consider entering the bullish market【Important investment opportunity】; meanwhile, support range: 94400—93800.
Viewpoint 4——4-hour level breakout point 95500. Target for upward delivery: resistance area: 96500.
Viewpoint 5——92500 is the peak of the daily structure, ice line——must not break.
Viewpoint 6——In the week before Trump took office, it needs to effectively rise and return to the previous high near 108000.
High-level bearish liquidation area——
Intraday: 95400—96200
Weekly level: 96600—97600

#MicroStrategy增持BTC
December 31 Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis

#MicroStrategy增持BTC
Time: December 30, 21:13
ETH——Long Position【Large Scale】
Entry Range: Initial Position 3266—Additional Position 3240
Take Profit: 3410
Stop Loss: 3230
Note: Investment carries risks, exercise caution in building positions, leverage suggested within 50 times.

#BTC挖矿难度创新高
A brief analysis of the market trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum on December 30

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现
December 29 Bitcoin and Ethereum Morning Analysis Navigation Map

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现
December 28 Evening BTC - ETH Market Analysis

#加密ETF申请热潮涌现
After UNI's massive sell-off of 220 million USD the day before yesterday, the next focus should be on the repair and adjustment of the small-scale structure. 220 million is quite significant, but this wave seems to still be lacking a bit of momentum. Pay close attention to the following two support levels:
1: 12.65—12.3
2: 12.15—11.8

#GMT热度飙升
ETH——
Market Analysis——Daily level and 2-day major support rebound——Internal structure adjusted to the 4-hour resistance level——Small level adjusting at 1-hour bottom structure. 3300 is the ice line testing level.
Support Levels——
1. Support range: 3315—3285
2. Major level support for long positions: 3255—3227
3. Long market liquidation range:
1) 3311—3278; 2) 3258—3220
Resistance Levels——
4. Resistance range: 3370—3398
5. Major level resistance for short positions: 3435—3467
6. Core liquidation range for short market:
1) 3353—3381; 2) 3416—3454

#GMT热度飙升
December 28, 09:43
BTC——The market is undergoing a 6-hour bottom adjustment with support adjustments in the 1-hour bottom structure. Focus on intraday small-level pressure adjustment opportunities within the 1-hour timeframe.
Resistance Levels——
1. Resistance Range: 95500—96200
2. Key Short Position Liquidation Range:
1) 95119—96283; 2) 97200—98300
Support Levels——
3. Support Range: 93800—92660
4. Key Long Position Liquidation Range:
1) 93760—93080; 2) 92690—92200

#2025加密趋势预测
ETH——December 26, 10:40 Live Content
1. Belief in Technical Patterns —
Ethereum is at a potential bottom structure on the 4-6 hour level [larger scale] + the zero axis of the 2-day line and the level of structural continuity.

2. January Ethereum Testnet + January Ethereum Spot ETF staking hype (large-scale positive news) —
Approximately in March, Ethereum's Prague upgrade — above 6000.
Where does the large-scale investment bottom structure start from —
First level: 3422—3400
Second level: 3370—3340
Lucky buying point: 3220—3180

3. Current resistance level 3500—3530, if the 1-hour chart is the main upward move, it may return to the 6-hour: 3547—3580 range.

#2025加密趋势预测
BTC——December 26, 10:40 Live Market Content:
First Level Support: 98600—97700【Determines whether the 4-hour can break through the zero line structure area】
In terms of structure, 96000 is the ice line area, which must not be broken, but can be tested——
There are lucky buy point intervals: 95900—95000.【
In this structure, obtaining chips below 95000 has too high a cost】.
Core Liquidation Area: 97300—96550【Can be relatively important for participating in long positions】There is a quick surge in liquidity release.
K33 Chief Researcher: Bitcoin's peak will reach 146,000 USD. The highest will touch 212,500 USD.

#“圣诞老人行情”再现
The recent strong targets in the past two days —
BTC SUI OM XRP ENA ONDO HBAR ZEN CRV USUAL ZEC LPT PENPLE ZRO ASTR MANTA UXLINK BGB PENGU COW FARTCOIN MOVE AGLD CXT and so on

#加密市场反弹
Brief analysis of the market - daily level and 2-day line large-level support rebound - the internal structure is adjusted to the 4-hour pressure level - small level focuses on the 30-minute top structure adjustment.
ETH——
Support level——
1. Support range: 3460-3440
2. Level support long order: 3420-3490
3. Long market clearing range:
1), 3473-3455; 2), 3432-3408
Pressure level——
4. Pressure range: 3515-3540
5. Main level pressure short: 3552-3577
6. Short market core clearing range:
1), 3510-3540; 2), 3551-3573

#加密市场反弹
December 25 08:35
BTC——The US stock market closed at 2 AM last night, bullish on the daily level for Bitcoin——The internal level bounced back to 6 hours. During the Asian session, focus on the 30-minute internal level.
Resistance Levels——
1. Resistance Range: 99000—99700
2. Bearish Core Liquidation Range:
1) 98900—99930; 2) 100730—101530
Support Levels——
3. Support Range: 97400—96660
4. Bullish Core Liquidation Range: 97770—96434

#加密市场反弹
ETH——
1. The current level of control cycle, the 2-day line has pulled up from the bottom and stepped back on the 2-day line again——This is the current level [Benmingnian]——The important main price behavior of the 2-day line level has been confirmed at 3250-3150. [This is the core support level] 2. The internal structure adjustment has filled the gap at 6 o'clock this morning [The main force has completed arbitrage]——The internal level operation has reached the bottom of the 2-hour structure——The core level structure is in 4 hours: 3530-3580 [The task to be completed at the end of this month]——The key price breaks through the 3430-3450 range, and there is a false breakthrough and stepping back to continue to get on the bus——This morning is the first false breakthrough (belonging to the normal level delivery)——There is a second false breakthrough (actually liquidation: 3442-3462). After the breakthrough, it will be tested again below: 3390-3370 to get on the bus again. ——》Then you can participate in the breakthrough: 3400 to add more positions.

#加密市场回调
Although BTC did not reach the $103,000 mentioned in the morning session, as expected, Japan did not raise interest rates again, but the pressure is on until January. It can be emotionally mitigated by a 25 basis point increase, after all, for a 0.5% yen interest rate, it's not much. Additionally, I think the current support at $100,000 is still quite good. Even when it temporarily dropped to $98,000 during the Asian time zone, it quickly rebounded, indicating that there is still a strong consensus around the $100,000 level. Normally, the Federal Reserve's meeting early this morning caused some panic, but it will gradually correct itself over time. The key is still to see the attitude of Americans tonight, whether they will continue to buy or choose to wait and see for now. From the current situation of US stock futures, it looks good; adjustments have started to gradually take place, after all, there has been no change in trend.

#美联储放鹰
The biggest positive is that there are currently no anticipated negative factors. On the 23rd, MSTR officially enters the Nasdaq 100, which should lead to some passive buying by funds. The market should improve at the opening today. The Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates = a very strong economy = no recession in the short term — this in itself is not bad news.
It's just that the expectations for the future are not as high as anticipated — so it superficially seems negative — but in reality, liquidation is gaining chips and liquidity —
Trump begins a new journey with a strong dollar and strong finance, and institutions are currently scrambling for chips — a pullback is not scary, what’s scary is if BTC reaches 130,000 and ETH goes to 6,000+, but you don’t have long-term chips in hand.

#加密用户突破1800万
Time: December 17th 21:00【One】
ETH——Long Position
Opening Position: First Position 3937——Additional Position 3910
Take Profit: 3966
Stop Loss: 3900
Notes: Investment carries risks, proceed with caution when opening positions, leverage recommended within 50 times.