Future volatility prediction for ETH
Short-term prediction (next 10-20 days)
• Support and resistance:
• Support level: 3100 USDT (EMA long-term average).
• Resistance levels: 3200 USDT (short-term high), 3450 USDT (previous high).
• Volatility range: ETH may fluctuate in the 3000-3200 USDT range.
• If it breaks 3200 USDT, it may test 3450 USDT.
• If it breaks below 3000 USDT, it may pull back to 2800 USDT.
Mid-term prediction (next 1-3 months)
• Volatility range: If BTC breaks 100,000 USDT, capital may begin to rotate to ETH, driving its price up.

In order to make a comprehensive judgment and give the best trading advice, we need to integrate the following five aspects: technical analysis, fundamental analysis, market sentiment analysis, on-chain data analysis, and macroeconomic analysis. Based on these factors, I will analyze the probability of Ethereum (ETH) rising or falling in the future, and give position management suggestions and how to use the Kelly formula to manage transactions in a 100x leverage trading environment.
1. Technical Analysis
Through the analysis of the previous candlestick chart, technical indicators such as EMA, Fibonacci, MACD, KDJ, and RSI provide the following key information:

Combining the previous technical analysis, market environment and Kelly formula method of managing funds, I will give specific entry and exit points in detail.

1. Key technical points

Based on the previous technical analysis, the following are the key support and resistance levels:

• Major resistance: 2,690 (Fibonacci 0.786 retracement)
• Major Support Levels: 2,631 (Fibonacci .618 retracement), 2,558 (.382 retracement)

2. Long (long order) entry and exit points

Entry point suggestions:

1. Aggressive long entry:
• Entry point: When the price is close to 2,631, you can consider opening a long order. If there is an obvious reversal candlestick pattern near 2,631 (such as a positive-enclosing-negative candlestick, a hammer line, etc.), it can be used as an aggressive long entry point.