SHIB Price Prediction: Is There Still a 23% Increase Possible?

The EMA line for Shiba Inu indicates that a golden cross may be imminent, as the shortest-term EMA is approaching a crossover above the longest-term EMA. This potential bullish signal could reignite buying momentum, allowing SHIB to test the resistance level of $0.0000249.
If this level is breached, the SHIB price may continue to rise, targeting $0.000026 and even $0.0000298, which could represent a 23.6% upside potential.

However, if the golden cross fails to materialize and the trend reverses, as suggested by the weakness in the DMI, SHIB may face downward risks. The first key support level is at $0.000022, and once this level is breached, selling pressure may intensify.
In this case, the SHIB price could further decline to $0.0000198 or even $0.0000185, marking a significant correction in its price.#meme板块关注热点 #shib

Five major catalysts, will ETH usher in a turnaround this year?

Ethereum spot ETF net inflows
At the end of November, its Ethereum spot ETF even experienced a rare 18-day continuous net inflow, with the highest single-day net inflow once exceeding $400 million. Adjusted for market cap, this equates to nearly $1.2 billion in daily inflows into Bitcoin, as Ethereum’s market cap is about a quarter of Bitcoin’s. The flow could reflect a reorientation or scope expansion that coincides with U.S. mutual funds’ new fiscal year, which typically begins on Dec. 1, and reflects optimism about 2025. If this demand continues, Ethereum’s price could rise significantly in 2025.

Ethereum has performed well in Q1 over the past few years
Ethereum’s first-quarter performance has been positive in six of the past eight years. Especially in the first quarter of the new year after the US election, for example, in 2017 and 2021, Ethereum achieved quarterly gains of 518.14% and 160.7% respectively.

Long-term ETH holders are still accumulating
Long-term BTC holders continue to reduce their holdings, which may be because the psychological estimates of some long-term investors have reached their profit-taking zones. On the other hand, Ethereum data is relatively optimistic. The total proportion rose from less than 60% in the middle of the year to over 80% at the highest level, and is now partially declining.

Pledge and re-pledge data still maintain a stable upward trend
Ethereum’s pledged amount has risen from less than 35 million ETH at the beginning of 2024 to 55 million at the end of the year. In terms of re-pledge data, it has entered a stable period after explosive growth at the beginning of the year and remains above 4 million ETH.

Ethereum spot ETF expected to support staking
Cynthia Lo Bessette, head of digital asset management at Fidelity, also said in an interview that the launch of Ethereum ETF staking is just a matter of when, not if.

It is foreseeable that once the Ethereum spot ETF supports staking for interest, it will have a boosting effect on the price of Ethereum.

It is expected that Bitcoin will rise first and break through 100,000. Will it face any rejections afterwards?

At 9:30 this morning, Vivi particularly emphasized that the target set last week is still on its way and has not yet reached the end. The market is currently in a delicate game phase; before the critical action of clearing liquidity is completed, the price of Bitcoin seems to be firmly supported by an invisible hand, and it will not easily decline. From the weekly performance, the trend is flat, which indicates that the bearish force has not accumulated enough to cause the market to fully turn bearish.

Compared to other trading days this week, Monday's trend is often misleading and is considered 'false.' Vivi boldly predicts that Bitcoin will soon start its upward journey, aiming for the significant milestone of 100,000. Once Bitcoin successfully breaks out, it will trigger a chain reaction, with some previously quiet altcoins expected to see a 5% - 7% increase, like fireworks igniting and blooming in the market sky.

However, the market is always full of uncertainties, and Vivi has drawn a key 'red line': only if the daily closing price is below 90,060 will the above-mentioned expectations burst like a bubble.

Bitcoin may climb to 99,600. Although this target has not yet been reached, judging from this morning's closing situation of Bitcoin, it is clear that the market has not yet reached a fully bearish phase. Bitcoin's upward momentum still exists, and it will continue to strive towards 100,000, at which point altcoins are also likely to ride this wealth express train and rise accordingly. #BTC走势分析

Analysis of the concentration of holdings of the three most popular AI tokens: SPORE concentration exceeds 50%, and FARTCOIN distribution is relatively balanced

#AIXBT — 20%
The distribution looks relatively scattered, with 4 major clusters holding about 4% each, one of which is associated with the well-known cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute (0xdbf5).

#ai16z — 38%
The wallet CEV1zp distributed a large number of tokens to more than 50 holders. Since it also received SOL, it may be an address for early investors.

#VIRTUAL — 28%
The only thing to note is that one cluster holds 8% of the supply, of which the address 0xbeda alone holds 7.3%, which is likely the address of the project team.

#FARTCOIN — 12%
This is one of the most evenly distributed projects on the list. The largest cluster is a single wallet, holding only 2%.

Next Week Key Forecast

January 6

The 3A blockchain game Seraph "Dark Angel" will have its TGE on January 6, and will launch its S1 Genesis Season;
January 8

Xterio: TGE will take place on January 8;
January 9

Biden orders government administrative departments to close on January 9, 2025;
The NYSE and NASDAQ will be closed on January 9 in memory of the late former President Carter;
January 10

The United States will announce the December non-farm payroll data on January 10 at 21:30;
From January 6 to January 12, more industry events worth noting are as follows.#

Macroeconomic Factors Supporting Bitcoin's Performance in 2025
Despite facing some resistance in 2024, Bitcoin continues to perform strongly, even in the face of a strengthening US Dollar Index (DXY). Historically, Bitcoin's movements have typically been inversely related to the DXY, so if the DXY experiences a strong reversal, it could further enhance Bitcoin's upside potential.
Cycle Main Chart: There Is Still a Long Way to Go
The main chart of Bitcoin's cycle aggregates multiple on-chain valuation indicators, showing that there is still considerable room for growth before Bitcoin reaches overvaluation. Currently, the upper limit is around $190,000, and this upper limit continues to rise, further reinforcing the outlook for sustained upward momentum.
Data strongly indicates that Bitcoin's best times may still lie ahead, even in the context of an exceptionally positive performance in 2024.#比特币走势观察

Sui (SUI), Ethena (ENA) Prices Soar on Major Announcements

Sui (SUI) and Ethena (ENA), the native cryptocurrency of the eponymous L1 and multi-purpose EVM DeFI protocol, surged in price today.
Ethena (ENA) co-founders share an ambitious 2024 review and stellar performance. Ethena’s USDe joins the stablecoin ranks, and the protocol itself has become the fastest-growing startup and the most resource-efficient protocol in the crypto space (by revenue per full-time employee).
The protocol will launch a new stablecoin, iUSDe, to accelerate crypto adoption among traditional financial asset managers and strengthen its presence in the Telegram ecosystem.
Sui (SUI) is the undisputed best performer with a nearly 20% increase. The coin has successfully broken through the $4.88 resistance set by Raoul Pal to hit a new all-time high.

#Sui (SUI) has experienced significant price gains over the past seven days. What are the factors driving SUI’s bullish momentum?

Sui collaboration and integration

This Layer-1 blockchain has been working hard to improve its usefulness, even gaining recognition from Cardano’s Charles Hoskinson.
Recently, Sui partnered with Ant Digital Technology to accelerate the introduction of real-world assets into Web3. This collaboration makes tokenized assets available on Sui for the first time.
Likewise, leading non-custodial multi-chain crypto wallet Phantom Wallet is integrated with the Sui Network. Phantom has approximately 7 million active users, and the move is significant as Sui users can now extend their wallet solutions into the Solana ecosystem.
These collaborations and integrations have helped bolster bullish sentiment for SUI.

The XRP price has been in a consolidation phase over the past month, growing only 2.2% in the last 30 days. Although a golden cross formed earlier this month, indicating potential bullish momentum, whale activity suggests a lack of accumulation, which could suppress further price increases.

XRP Whales Pause Accumulation

The number of XRP whales holding 10 million to 100 million XRP has dropped to 296, the lowest level since December 24, 2022. After peaking at 301 on December 25, the number of these large holders has steadily declined. This marks a significant shift in whale activity, as their count had previously reached a 305-month high on December 7, coinciding with XRP prices exceeding $2.50.

This indicates that while buying momentum may have slightly cooled, the overall trend still supports the price remaining stable or gently rising in the short term, provided that the CMF does not continue to decline.

Major ecosystems are embracing AI agents

Base is the first professional ecosystem driving the trend of AI agents, launching the Virtual Protocol to initiate this development. This has sparked the emergence of numerous AI agent projects, each with different purposes, indicating that the crypto market may be on the brink of a groundbreaking trend.

As with any significant trend, other ecosystems are quickly adapting or proactively positioning themselves to capture this momentum. Notable examples include:
·modenetwork: shifting focus to AI agents, becoming the first Layer 2 network dedicated to this niche. Mode is also hosting hackathon events to attract AI agent developers.
·Solana: launched the Solana Agent Kit to help developers easily build AI agent applications. Its Solana AI Hackathon attracted nearly 500 projects.
·opentensor: witnessing rapid growth in both the quantity and quality of subnets focused on AI agents.
Among these ecosystems, Solana stands out as a trend-setting pioneer. Previously, Solana has led waves in DeFi, GameFi, NFTs, and even Memes, with platforms like Pump.fun being representative of this.

Now, with tools like the Solana Agent Kit and the Solana AI Hackathon, Solana is strategically preparing to lead the next wave of AI agent trends.

#AIAgent热潮

Right now the market is falling, but AI infrastructure and agents are hitting all-time highs. What do you think will happen once the market recovers?

We may see some of these protocols reach market caps of alt-Layer1 ($10B+). The big difference? Most of these are not VC-backed, so you don’t have to worry about huge unlocking risk.

The two kings of AI infrastructure:

1:virtuals_io ($4.6B market cap) - the current king

2:Ai16z ($2.2B market cap) "Dragon slayer"?

Contenders:

1:ZereBro ($632M market cap) - the transformation has arrived
ZereBro started out as a general AI agent that was also able to create music. But now, it is transforming into a full framework for creating other agents.

2:ARC (arcdotfun) - $358M market cap - Rust-based AI agent framework
Arc .fun is building an open source agent framework called Rig. This framework is currently the only agent framework built on Rust. This is very important because Rust is the native language of Solana.

3: GRIFFAIN (market value $457 million) - Solana's AI App Store
Griffain allows you to interact with your agent through natural language, search and operate on-chain.
4: REI (market value $153 million) - Smarter AI Agents
5: VAPOR (market value $154 million) - The first and only AI agent launch platform on Hyperliquid
#AIAgent热潮

Which projects will have airdrops in 2024?
According to the crypto aggregator Dropstab, in 2024, projects distributed a total of 14.91 billion dollars to crypto users through a series of airdrop activities.

At the top of the airdrop distribution list is Hyperliquid, where over 90,000 users received 1.34 billion dollars in airdrops.

Second is Starknet, with 1.3 million addresses receiving airdrops worth 1.33 billion dollars of 700 million tokens.
Pengu's 1.15 billion dollar airdrop,

Wormhole's 896 million dollar airdrop,

Jupiter's 891 million dollar airdrop make up the top five highest yielding airdrop projects of 2024. #空投大毛 #空投分享

Bitcoin's hash rate hits an all-time high on its 16th birthday

Bitcoin turns 16 this year, and the world's oldest decentralized currency is experiencing a historic market cycle. After several days of strong bearish signals, its price briefly rose today as new data shows its hash rate has reached an all-time high.

The last Bitcoin halving occurred in early 2024, which had a significant impact on the hash rate. In the months leading up to the halving, miner activity steadily increased the hash rate, but this activity dropped off immediately after the halving. In the short term following the halving, Bitcoin's price experienced chaos, further exacerbating the situation.

Despite these concerning trends, there are indeed some notable winners in the mining sector. Fred Thiel, CEO of the largest Bitcoin mining company MARA, also predicts a very bullish outlook for 2025.

In summary, the recent liquidations and surge in mining difficulties have not dampened the bullish sentiment among Bitcoin miners. Since October, more and more miners have chosen to hold assets rather than sell, and the recent bull market has rewarded this behavior.

#比特币诞生16周年

Ethena (ENA) rises 11% on strong momentum. Will Ethena rise by 13.7%?

The EMA line for ENA recently formed a golden cross, which is a bullish signal indicating that the short-term moving average has crossed above the long-term moving average. This suggests that momentum may shift towards a sustained upward price action.
If the current upward trend continues, the ENA price could test the resistance level of $1.22. A breakout above this level could push the price up to $1.32, indicating a potential upside of 13.7%.

However, if the upward trend shows signs of wavering and bearish momentum takes over, the support level at $1.12 will be crucial in preventing further declines. A drop below this level could trigger additional selling pressure, pushing the ENA price down to $1.02. If the support level at $1 fails to provide adequate support, the price may further decline to $0.84, marking a significant correction.

Aave's net deposits reach $33.4 billion, surpassing 2021 levels

The decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Aave's net deposits have reached $33.4 billion, setting a new historical high for the lending protocol, surpassing the levels during the 2021 bull market.
The protocol further expanded its influence in 2024, adding support for markets such as BNB Chain, Scroll, ZKsync Era, and Ether.fi.
Aave may add multiple markets in 2025, depending on community approval, including Sonic, Mantle, Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution Linea, Bitcoin Layer 2 solution BOB, Spider Chain, and Aptos.
After Trump won the U.S. election on November 5, the total locked value and activity in DeFi surged due to market expectations for a more favorable regulatory environment and support for cryptocurrency policies.