Before Christmas, altcoins are unlikely to show a one-sided upward trend

Looking back at history, every Christmas Eve

Altcoins often jump around, causing doubts about the bull market

Some always say the bull market is over, but in fact, those who have held since 2022 have made a profit

Those who entered midway have also made a small profit, and we have not yet reached the excitement of the last bull market, so there is no need to worry

There may be some fluctuations and corrections later, but the bull market is still ongoing

Of course, whether in a bull or bear market, the possibility of altcoins rising unilaterally in this phase is low

Typically, there will be better market conditions from February to April, with a potential increase of one or two times. Now is a good time to accumulate at low prices.

BTC Market Analysis!

Bitcoin reached a new high again last night, directly surging to around 107770. The Federal Reserve is set to announce the interest rate cut on the 19th, likely by 25 basis points. After the market's FOMO is digested, there will be a significant period of volatility. Watch for support at 103000-102000 below and initially focus on around 108400 above to see if it can break through. If it breaks through, there is a chance to push towards 110000.

Coins to watch
BTC ETH AAVE LINK ENA ONDO

The big coin has reached a new high, which is indeed worth celebrating, but at this time, the big coin is seriously draining funds, and the other altcoins are crying out in despair. What we need more is to patiently wait for funds to flow back into the altcoins.

Dear friends, before the market arrives, please pay attention to a few points:
1. Do not take on debt at present, especially contract leverage; the market may not be fatal, but the mindset can be.
2. Do not act recklessly, and do not frequently change positions; hold onto your chips.
3. Do not look at one mountain thinking another is higher; accurately gauge your position.

In the end, what is meant to come will come; sectors will definitely rotate.
Remember, do not exit the market when it arrives.

The current market's new highs have sparked speculation about a new round of increases, with two possible paths.

One is to replicate the previous round of small-scale advances, steadily rising at a calm pace; the other is to construct a more grandiose upward trend structure, defining the previous increase as the first wave, and starting the first round of the third wave from June 10, 2009, indicating that the subsequent market will be stronger and more complex.

However, the market is like changing clouds, predictions are only a reference, and trading should still prioritize 'following first, predicting second.' Bitcoin, as the core of the cryptocurrency sphere, has a crucial impact on its movement. Whether it experiences a violent surge or a gradual climb, as long as Bitcoin maintains its strength without significant drops, it heralds prosperity in the cryptocurrency market. Its strength will activate the altcoin market, and many altcoins will find opportunities for value growth during this period.

Currently, closely monitor the market trends after the US stock market opens tonight, gain precise insights into market movements, so as to steadily ride the wave in this opportunity surge, grasping chances amidst market fluctuations to maximize investment value.

The common situations where people lose money are:

1. The market value is too high, and small investors find it hard to make significant gains, then they go for PvP with small coins, and ultimately lose their principal quickly.

2. Gradual decline leads to fear of losing everything, then panic selling occurs, repeating this operation until the principal is completely lost.

How to get out of this predicament:

The core issue is: reasonable allocation of funds.

By maintaining a stable win rate, continuously compounding funds, and patiently waiting for certain big opportunities to arise!

This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan will announce their interest rate decisions.

The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the interest rate by 25 basis points.

The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are likely to remain unchanged, keeping current interest rates steady.

In addition, the U.S. will also release the November PCE data and the GDP data for the third quarter.

These economic data will have little short-term impact on the cryptocurrency market, but they will affect the extent of the market correction that may occur next year.

The upcoming investment strategy is:

Hold on to your chips and wait patiently for the flowers to bloom.

In the Ethereum ecosystem, there are several projects with significant potential and value that are worth paying attention to and recommending.

First is UNI, a leader in the decentralized exchange sector, holding an important position in the market with a long-standing demand base. From annual trading data, its on-chain trading volume accounts for over 65%, strongly showcasing its powerful advantages and wide application in decentralized trading scenarios.

Second is LINK, a core presence in the oracle field. In the entire network ecosystem, LINK plays an indispensable key role in any application scenario that requires precise and reliable oracle services, and has become the industry standard.

Next is AAVE, which holds the top position in the lending protocol space. With its advanced technical architecture, complete lending rules, and good market reputation, it has created an efficient, secure, and convenient lending service experience for a large number of users, leading the development direction of the lending protocol field.

Finally, ENS, as a leader among domain service providers, is closely related to many applications at the time of web3's rapid development.

The decentralized network world built by web3 cannot do without the domain resolution and management services provided by ENS, which is significantly important and serves as a key infrastructure driving the construction of the web3 ecosystem, closely linked to the ETH ecosystem.

Ethereum price breaks through the $4000 mark, causing a stir in the market again! The bullish forces are strong, leaving people in awe. The original market predictions seem to have been shattered by this momentum, and a new trend is brewing. At this moment, everyone's attention is focused on whether Ethereum can maintain its upward trend and achieve new heights. The market reaction after the opening of the US stock market will be crucial; if buying pressure surges, a new upward trend may arrive sooner than expected. The market is ever-changing, and only by closely following the trend can one stand out in this financial feast. However, investment must still be cautious, treating market fluctuations rationally and managing risks well to progress steadily in this exciting journey.

If we consider this new high as the start of a new round of increases, there are two possibilities!

The first is a small push of the same level as the previous round of increases.

The second is that the previous round of increases was the first wave, and the increase starting from 100609 is the first round of the third wave; we need to observe the performance after the opening of the US stock market tonight to make a judgment.

The above analysis is a prediction, but: "In trading, follow primarily, and predict secondarily"; whether the major coin surges violently or rises in small steps, as long as the major coin remains strong and does not fall, it is a good time for the entire cryptocurrency market, and opportunities in the altcoin market will emerge during the strong period of the major coin.

Among the recent DeFi tokens, AAVE is the strongest, with five consecutive weekly gains, continuously reaching new recent highs. During the upward movement, the trading volume has increased, indicating that funds are entering the market. There is likely still room for further increases, and it is very probable that it will break through 400 and reach new recent highs. Those holding AAVE in spot can continue to hold on!

Shanzhai Hotspot Views!

1. Kraken plans to add 19 new tokens including BNB, DYDX, AR, COW, DOGS, etc.

2. Interest rate meeting next Thursday, looking forward to an upward trend.

3. THE is still in a fluctuation, forming a rising flag pattern, currently preparing to break out, waiting.

4. In the second half of December, mainly focusing on ETH for a rebound, continuously paying attention to its ecosystem: OP, ARB, METIS, ENA, ENS, ETHFI, PUFFER, SSV, LDO, etc.

5. Old horse with a new narrative, son babydoge, currently has a market value of only 7Y, with the old horse saying it won't drop below 30Y, any pullback is an opportunity to enter.

6. The Trump family entered AAVE, LINK, ETH, etc. through COW.

The purging of the Bitcoin ecosystem has not yet begun

Do you think that sideways declines can wash away many people? Not really, most people are washed out when prices are rising

When the overall market doubles, many will liquidate their positions

That will be the real purging, because the coins that were sold will quickly take off, and it will be impossible to catch up again.

Major Events in the Cryptocurrency World! You absolutely cannot miss this moment!

The Christmas bells are approaching, seize the investment opportunity!
As Christmas draws nearer, from December 10 to 15, many Western investors may choose to cash in their profits and allocate funds for holiday expenses. Therefore, we are likely to experience a 2-3 week market adjustment period.

The Spring Festival is approaching, grab the last investment opportunity!
Once the adjustment period ends, we will welcome the most important festival in China—Spring Festival (January 20 to January 30), which may be your last entry opportunity. Take this chance to prepare for the upcoming market.

In 2-3 months, the blockchain market will enter a bull market!
In the next 2-3 months, the blockchain market may experience a strong bull market. Various altcoins will rise in succession, with meme and hot projects emerging one after another; this is a period full of opportunities.

At the end of March, it is advisable to temporarily withdraw and observe!
However, by the end of March, I suggest everyone temporarily withdraw from the market and maintain a watchful attitude, as the months of April and May are often periods of market adjustment, and sometimes this adjustment can even last for 6-8 months.

In the next 3-4 months, investment window period!
Therefore, the next 3 to 4 months will be an excellent investment window period. When you encounter a low point, do not hesitate, decisively seize the opportunity to let your wealth grow!

In this unpredictable market, maintaining sharp insight and calm judgment is crucial. Let us embrace this opportunity-filled period together and make the investment journey smoother.

Trump's cryptocurrency project has purchased new assets

Mainly includes DeFi leading applications and RWA

The latest four tokens are AAVE, LINK, ENA, ONDO

If you don't buy coins, following the President should not lead to losses.

Today's News!

1. Bitcoin sets the longest seven-week consecutive rise since 2021

2. Bitwise releases top ten predictions for the crypto market in 2025: Bitcoin surpasses $200,000, AI proxy coins will lead the meme coin frenzy, stablecoin AUM will double to $400 billion

3. MICROSTRATEGY included in the NASDAQ 100 index

4. VanEck releases top ten predictions for the crypto market in 2025: The crypto bull market will reach a mid-term peak in Q1, the number of on-chain AI proxies will exceed 1 million, the NFT market will recover with trading volume reaching $30 billion

5. Influencer squirrel Peanut's owner sends a cease and desist letter to Binance, requesting Binance to stop using PNUT-related IP

6. Trump's family crypto project World Liberty purchases $250,000 ONDO

7. OpenSea registers foundation raises airdrop speculation, new version will be launched this month

9. Pudgy Penguins' parent company’s L2 network Abstract Chain will launch its mainnet in January next year

10. Vana mainnet will launch on December 16 at 17:00

11. This week, tokens like ARB, APE, and IMX will see significant unlocks, with ARB unlocking approximately $95.7 million worth of tokens and IMX unlocking approximately $46.58 million worth of tokens

The market adjustment over the past few days has actually been very healthy. Most cryptocurrencies have increased several times in the past month, so a 30% or 50% pullback is quite normal. The upcoming market trend is as follows!

1. The first phase of the bull market has ended, and after the adjustment, we are about to enter the second phase.

2. Currently, external funds have not yet entered on a large scale; we are still in a phase where the insiders are self-entertaining. Many of the rises in altcoins are also driven by leverage within the market, so it is very necessary to clean up the leverage in the short term.

3. The adjustment period will not be long; the second phase will start before Christmas.

4. The leading assets in the second phase will be SOL or the ETH ecosystem. This is my judgment after experiencing several chains. SOL is simple, has a low threshold, and has a grassroots base, while ETH has a demand for catch-up.

5. The leverage cleanup (spike) in the second phase will be even more brutal than in the first phase, but the overall upward direction will not change, so buying the dip in spot assets is sufficient (for example, now). Frequently increasing leverage in a bull market will only accelerate demise.

6. In the first phase, I did not choose to 'exit at the peak' because I knew this was just the beginning. Many times, once you leave, it is very difficult to come back, or you will return at a higher cost.

The season of altcoins is just a few days away
We are about to welcome an exciting moment
The next few months
Could be a great opportunity for everyone to fill their wallets
Starting from this Monday
Many small cryptocurrencies have begun to pull back
After four days of adjustment
It seems this pullback is finally coming to an end
It feels like the darkness before dawn
Based on past experience
The monthly chart of Bitcoin may show a consecutive 6 to 7 bullish trends
Now it is already the fourth bullish candle
Which means there are still two to three months of good opportunities ahead
The most crucial part is the last two months
Those small cryptocurrencies may迎来真正的爆发期

TokenFi

Profit: Decentralized Finance (DeFi), smart contract optimization, stable profit model.

Technology: Blockchain technology optimization, improving efficiency and reducing transaction fees, handling complex RWA businesses.

Ecosystem: Asset trading optimization, liquidity mining, NFTs, diverse sources of profit.

ONDO

Operations: Asset integration and cross-chain interaction, compliant crypto financial solutions providing diversified investment.

Strategy: Leveraging traditional finance to expand influence at the intersection of crypto and traditional finance.