Dear friends, only Bitcoin, Ethereum, and platform tokens are truly worthy of long-term holding, or in other words, are targets for value investment.

As for altcoins, their mission is clear: they can only be held for a limited period to capture specific market conditions and earn excess returns.

And the ultimate goal of these returns is only one - to exchange them for more Bitcoin.
#山寨季怎么布局？ #历史见证者打卡

Timeline of Bitcoin breaking key price points:

$10: June 2011 (about 1 year)

$100: April 2013 (about 2 years)

$1,000: November 2013 (only 7 months)

$10,000: December 2017 (about 4 years)

$100,000: December 2024 (about 7 years)

From 0 to 100,000 dollars, Bitcoin took about 14 years.

A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step! 🚀 #Bitcoin #Crypto

The current holding plan is as follows:

1. Cryptocurrencies with oscillating upward trends: actively take profits, approximately 5% profit each time, steadily locking in gains. For example, CRV, FIL, BLUR.

2. Cryptocurrencies with upward index trends: use a passive take-profit strategy, setting the take-profit level below the EMA20/50 moving averages, guided by trends to protect existing profits. For example, DOT, RAY.

3. Cryptocurrencies that are not rising: no further consideration for increasing positions, such as RUNE and CKB.

In simple terms, do not attempt to predict how high prices can rise. Actively take small profits during oscillating upward trends, rely on moving averages for passive take-profits during index upward trends, use strategies to guide decisions, and reduce emotional interference.
#下一个换谁涨？ #

From the end of 2023 to mid-April 2024, IOTX has increased by a total of 650.27%, which can be divided into three phases:

1. Strong surge from empty to long: an increase of 419.92%.

2. Quick breakthrough after consolidation: an increase of 111.11%.

3. Strong finish, seeking a fateful connection: an increase of 87.05%.

Using EMA20 and EMA50 as references, IOTX has presented multiple clear buying opportunities during the upward trend, and there have been no abnormal shadows.

Currently, the EMA moving average group for IOTX at the daily level shows a bullish arrangement once again, with two key resistance levels at $0.0610 and $0.0650.

This cryptocurrency can only be traded in spot markets to profit from trend movements; avoid engaging in contracts.
#山寨季來了？ $IOTX

Bitcoin #bitcoin is still stuck at the $100,000 mark, with two high-volume signals at the peak, turning the originally straightforward upward trend into a sideways consolidation, and market sentiment is beginning to loosen.

In this area, I choose to play defense first, taking profits on a portion of my altcoin spot positions to reserve some flexibility for future operations, waiting for a high risk-reward position.

The core logic of the upward trend hasn't changed; it's just that we are currently in an adjustment phase.
#山寨季來了？

Three years of risk control in the industry

Five years of steady understanding of the industry

Ten years of compounding to become king

Control 1% risk on each order, time will give you the answer.

#bitcoin

Do you know why it's hard for Bitcoin's layer two to grow significantly?
One core reason is liquidity. Most of Bitcoin's liquidity is held by Bitcoin OGs, exchanges, and institutions, and they won't exchange real Bitcoin for fake Bitcoin; this group of people has a deep understanding. You can't just casually create an EVM layer two and trick them into giving away their Bitcoin; that's impossible. You can only attract retail investors to play, but retail investors have fewer chips.
In contrast, for Ethereum and Solana, the whales on Ethereum and Solana really do play on their chains, so the liquidity is abundant.

Many people are not optimistic about December. Personally, I expect a new high around mid-December, specifically after December 11th. This month, 100,000. After about 10 days of fluctuation, it should be about the same.
Shanzhai market: The secondary market is particularly good; during this time, new coins on the chain, especially on the Sol chain, are generally performing much worse than before, except for a few. Previously, there were casually new projects worth tens of millions on the chain. After all, the secondary effect is particularly good during this period, and most of the 'dumb money' is in the secondary market.
Next time there's a big meme market, everyone should pay special attention to:
1. An active community that has been continuously built during the low point, old coins.
2. New coins on the chain that are somewhat bearish during this period, strong, and innovative are basically undervalued.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

If we carve the bull market of 2021, there should be three waves of bull market.
The time should be able to last until March 25.
The distinguishing mark of each wave should be a callback of more than 15%.
The BTC increase is getting lower and lower with each wave, the altcoin is getting stronger and stronger, and the callback after each wave is getting bigger and bigger, and the last wave ends the bull market.
The characteristics of the top must be the appearance of consolidation and shock for more than one month, but it will definitely be accompanied by the divergence of various indicators, the divergence of momentum, the divergence of trading volume, and the divergence of emotions (BTC increase is lower, alts continue to rise, and fomo emotions are even worse)
The current form should be closer to the middle and late stages of the first wave. At present, the low point of BTC 91500 should not be enough for the callback. Most alts/eth have no callback at all. A small part of the first rise is sideways, but it is not enough for the callback.
If this is the expectation, it depends on whether it will break through 100,000 and start to callback at a certain position, or the short position will start to accelerate next week, turning the oscillation into a callback.
The expectation is for reference only, and the actual trend shall prevail.
For example, if the bull market trend ends next month or January, don't be lucky.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

The current market shows a general upward trend, with quality cryptocurrencies taking the lead.

These cryptocurrencies typically possess the following characteristics: they have financial backing, a broad grassroots support, and they know how to ride the trends (such as AI, MEME, etc.), making them the primary targets for investment.

However, it is important to note that this general rise is more of a localized opportunity, and the overall market has not yet entered a phase of full-scale explosion.

The so-called "exponential profit-making" market is not about sporadic performances that double in a few days, but rather mainstream coins, such as Bitcoin #Bitcoin, rising in tandem with altcoins, where market sentiment is fully released and capital rotation drives various sectors to explode in turn.

Currently, there is still a way to go before the myth of "getting rich in just a few days" can be realized.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

Currently, the market is generally rising. To exaggerate a bit, you can make money just by buying randomly; it’s just a matter of how much you earn.

However, one detail must be emphasized: there are differences in sector attributes, market maker layouts, capital preferences, and market perceptions among different cryptocurrencies.

In a bull market, it’s not surprising for cryptocurrencies to rise; the key is whether you can find cryptocurrencies that are capable of exponential growth, which is a reflection of trading fundamentals.

Only cryptocurrencies that experience exponential growth can truly provide the opportunity for immense wealth.

For example, $ENS, $DOT, and $ACT are all typical representatives of exponential growth.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇

Share some take profit tips:

Taking $ENS as an example, when the price enters the expected take profit zone:

Correct operating procedure: adopt a partial take profit strategy, taking profit on part of the position each time it peaks, while gradually moving up the stop loss line to ensure profit is locked in.

Incorrect operating procedure: hesitating and waiting, thinking about waiting a bit longer to earn more, or even adding to the position against the expected take profit position, leading to increased risk.

Deviating from the plan is a risk!

This is the weekly chart of $RUNE .

The previous major upward wave on the left is very impressive, with a rise of 1138%. The smoothness and continuity of the price increase are exemplary.

In the past six months, RUNE has maintained a sideways consolidation, but the EMA moving averages are gradually converging, which may signal a bullish trend.

Observe first before acting; the oversold signal on the hourly level may be a noteworthy entry opportunity.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

Summarized today's key points in the counterfeit area, you can pay attention to.

1. Musk replied with two exclamation marks today, ACT and OPUS started to rise.

2. Researched EVAN, confirmed anti-rug, now EVAN's narrative is becoming more meaningful.

3. KOMA likes the big brother who buys low after high, can make up a bit.

4. BN Labs invested in Astherus, which is a multi-chain L1 using $BNB as gas, indicating that the BNB ecosystem is on the rise.

5. From yesterday to today, everyone has been shouting about PIZZA inscriptions, it seems that the rise is just a matter of time.

6. Sun took a huge bite of the expensive banana! BAN

The current key window of opportunity in the secondary market:

1. Binance Ecological Chain Derivative Targets
- Market value positioning: focus on the US$100 million level
- Strategy logic: Opportunities for revaluation brought about by the Binance endorsement effect
- Execution points: Projects on the chain can directly open positions without too much hesitation.

2. Technical opportunities for altcoins
-Target characteristics: significant narrative drive
- Pattern recognition: K-line shows an obvious sideways consolidation trend
- Layout timing: wait for confirmation of breakthrough signal

#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇 #以太坊时刻到来？

The pie is back above 96.
Those who don't believe it have already left, this is the charm of bullshit. Follow the big trend and participate less in small trends.

Pay more attention to wld, xrp, the coin, and gft. #山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇

$ACT The previous act of accumulating funds is taking off

What experience can you share in the cryptocurrency circle?
1. Don't change coins easily: the coins in your hands will have a chance sooner or later, don't keep changing them.
2. Don't touch the coins that everyone is hyping: when everyone is talking about a certain coin, it is usually close to the peak. The bull market can still turn around, but the bear market is hard to say.
3. Don't touch contracts in the bull market: the probability of surviving the bull market is not high if you play contracts.
4. Stay calm when others are crazy: when you are FOMO, you have to soberly assess the risks and benefits, and protecting the principal is important.
5. Contract indicators are unreliable: in bull and bear markets, technical indicators often fail, and the so-called winning rate indicators are just traps set by dealers.
6. Believe in your choice: the coins that survive the bear market will definitely rise in the bull market.
7. Fund management: if your funds exceed 100,000, don't touch contracts, it is safer to hold mainstream coins; if you have less funds, you can take the risk of investing in altcoins.
8. Go with the trend: The cryptocurrency market is falling or fluctuating most of the time, and only rising a small part of the time, so be patient.
#山寨币走势展望 #市场回暖新机遇

The key to holding on to an order is not to see far, but to see clearly.

The key to seeing clearly lies in the logic of making orders based on statistical data. Statistical data is not used to predict the future, but to provide verifiable advantages, so that you can understand how likely it is that the current trading behavior will win.
#ENSThis order was held for 80 days. The reason why it was held for 80 days was not because it "predicted" a doubling, but because it was clear:

1. The logic can withstand data verification;

2. Oscillation and callback are both part of the trend;

3. Winning or losing does not depend on luck, but on patience and execution.
#市场回暖新机遇 #山寨币走势展望 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？

At this stage, which shitcoin can make you rich?
Among the new shitcoins, I still have a relatively positive outlook on Neiro, but I don't know what's going on with PNut, I entered at 1.3 and 1.5, and I'm currently down 20%.
But this is the norm for shitcoins; we made 4 times on Doge, and PEPE WIF FLOKI doubled, so we've already made good selections. A few individual shitcoins might lose a bit, but that's just how it is.
I believe PEPE and the like can still rise another 5-10 times by next year, quite hopeful.

As for Neiro and PNut, I wouldn't go heavy on them; at most, risk 5% of my portfolio. If it exceeds that, I can consider switching to more stable options like PEPE or DOGE. I'm fairly optimistic about Dogecoin benefiting from Elon Musk's appointment as DOGE minister on January 20.

#山寨币走势展望