2024 is almost coming to an end, and for most people, it may be more losses than gains, especially from March to October, which has been quite torturous. Of course, it is still quite torturous now, as the market has experienced a significant pullback, especially in altcoins, where retail investors tend to suffer the most losses every time.

2025 will definitely welcome the altcoin season. Many believe that this bull market is different from previous ones; in fact, overall, it is quite similar, with not much change. The cycle might just be advanced or delayed for a while, which doesn’t significantly affect the overall rhythm of the bull market.

If you understand some trend indicators and look at historical market trends, you can roughly grasp the direction. For oscillation indicators, you need to look at larger cycles, such as weekly or monthly charts. #币安MegadropSOLV

The short-term market variables that will affect us next are the U.S. stock market:
Although the S&P and Nasdaq closed up weekly, there was a rapid and comprehensive decline last Friday, possibly due to the following three reasons:
Quarter-end pension stock-bond rebalancing (short-term) The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has remained high and further surpassed 4.6%, compressing U.S. stock valuations (medium-term) The Federal Reserve slows down interest rate cuts,
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan unexpectedly adopts a hawkish stance and may raise interest rates again in January,
The risk of narrowing U.S.-Japan interest rate differentials (long-term) If it’s only due to the first reason, there’s no need to worry, the market should improve in January; if it’s due to the second and third reasons, it may cast a shadow over the rise of U.S. stocks, bringing concerns for sustained growth, which will only improve when future inflation expectations and the number of interest rate cuts become clearer.
However, the shadow over U.S. stocks is bound to be short-lived and easily dispelled. Technology stocks have shown strong profit-making ability even in a high-interest environment, combined with the booming development of AI, there really isn't much to worry about.
As Trump is about to take office in January, the probability of the U.S. stock market performing poorly this month is not high, which also eliminates the risk of a downturn for the cryptocurrency market.
This year's market is extremely challenging, with a pace as fast as lightning, the dominance of altcoins has remained high, and aside from patiently waiting for spot prices, there seems to be no other choice. However, please remember that every difficult period is to welcome a better future. I firmly believe that 2025 will be a year of a major bull market; as long as we get through the short-term difficulties ahead, a super bull market will surely erupt as expected!
The recent strength of ETH is a significant signal for the market. Although most altcoins have not yet started a massive rally, it has given a strong bottoming signal. Perhaps at this moment, the market's vehicle has already begun to enter the chapter of the altcoin season.
A major market movement is clearly approaching a critical juncture.

Although not much has happened this week, the upcoming month of January will be filled with major events:
January 10: The U.S. will release non-farm payroll data
January 15: The U.S. will release CPI
January 20: Trump will officially take office
January 30: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision
The Christmas market has passed, and I hope the Spring Festival market can bring some surprises, haha!

My current strategy is:

To exchange Bitcoin for promising altcoins, from the perspective of coin-based holdings, to increase the proportion of altcoin holdings.

I have not exchanged for USDT, nor have I reduced my position, maintaining a certain allocation to respond to market changes. #2025比特币价格预测

Ethereum has recently outperformed Bitcoin, with a net inflow of $349 million into Ethereum spot ETFs in the U.S. last week, and BlackRock and Fidelity each purchasing 100,000 Ethereum. Trump's potential inauguration in January may drive the market up, and Ethereum has advantages in the decentralized application space, especially since BlackRock's RWA project is based on Ethereum.

Additionally, major companies like BlackRock and Fidelity may submit applications for Ethereum staking ETFs in January, and the Ethereum Prague upgrade in March is also beneficial for projects like ETH. Therefore, Ethereum may experience a rebound in January, preparing for a recovery in 2025. #2025比特币价格预测

Recommended two strong whale MEME coins:

Neiro (0.00099): This coin is a star coin in the recent market, the K-line has returned to the starting point when it was just listed on Binance and has received effective support. Speculative retail investors have already been washed out, making it a strong whale coin.

Pnut (0.7): A large holder purchased 1% of the coin on Binance, and this coin has performed strongly in every rebound. When it was first listed, it surged directly to 2.5 thanks to a call from Old Ma, and after the current major correction, retail investors have been washed out, still making it a strong whale.

The market is in a volatile stage above $90,000, and altcoins may experience differentiated trends. It is recommended to prioritize MEME coins with strong washout characteristics #2025比特币价格预测

The market is now in an extreme sideways state, and everyone is waiting for opportunities, news, and possible turning points.

From a technical point of view, the adjustment is basically in place, especially for Ethereum, SOL, DOGE, etc. A slight rebound can drive the market. But the problem is that the market has not yet spoken, and the younger brothers dare not act rashly.

On January 20, the King of Understanding will take office. Everyone is optimistic about the first quarter, and I hope the market will not let us down #2025比特币价格预测

During last week's Christmas period, the market generally experienced a decline. One possible reason is the uncertainty among investors regarding Trump's tariff policy after his inauguration on January 20, as well as uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in January. As we enter a new week, there are relatively few important data points in the market, but the following key events are worth noting:
On January 1, the stock market will be closed for one day for New Year's Day holiday.
On January 2 (Thursday) at 21:30, the data for the number of initial unemployment claims for the week will be released, expected to be 224,000, with a previous value of 219,000. This data may have limited impact on the market but remains an important indicator for observing the state of the U.S. job market.
On January 3 (Thursday) at 23:00, the U.S. December ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be released, expected to be 48.4, with a previous value also at 48.4. This data will reflect the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector, and if it falls below expectations, it could have a certain impact on the market.
This week's economic data is relatively sparse, and the market's focus is mainly on the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. economy and policy, especially concerning the Trump administration's policies and the Federal Reserve's actions.#2025比特币价格预测

BTC's market share has decreased, ETH's market share remains stable, and market risk appetite has increased. ETH has risen, and altcoins are showing signs of catching up.

In terms of trading volume, despite a decrease in market liquidity during the Christmas period, trading volumes for ETH and altcoins still show a slight increase, characterized by a volume increase with bullish sentiment.

In terms of funds, on-site funds increased by 1.2 billion, surpassing a market value of 210 billion. The market value of USDT has slightly increased, with funds flowing back into the Asia-Europe market, especially a significant inflow of USDC in the US region, although the fund inflow was somewhat unexpected before Christmas. #2025比特币价格预测

A friend asked me: The recent trend is very similar to after May 19th, it has been falling every day. When do you think it will rebound?

Answer: I feel that this time is different from the time after May 19th. In fact, both are about deleveraging. May 19th was a major correction after everything skyrocketed, resulting in a direct crash. The recent situation is mainly that parts that rose quickly before are adjusting, and many altcoins haven't really risen much; now they have just started to rise a little.

Question: So when do you think it will reverse? I see that the leverage positions are already very low. When do you think this continuous downward trend will end?

Answer: Now we need to wait for Bitcoin to lead the altcoins into a new round of market activity. Based on past experience, from December 2020 to January, there was also a month of volatility. It has now adjusted for 13 days. If it continues to fluctuate for another half month, we should be able to see the bottom soon. #2025比特币价格预测

In the next half month, every decline is a pullback, and it is an opportunity for you to get on board, so cherish it. #BTC挖矿难度创新高

Before investing in any asset, the following 8 core questions should be clarified:
Is there a main player: Determine the control of market leaders.
How is the narrative: Assess the logic and consensus of the market.
Profit and loss ratio: Analyze the ratio of potential returns to risks.
Timing of entry: Choose the appropriate price range.
Entry strategy: Decide on phased buying or a one-time investment.
Position ratio: Allocate the proportion in the overall position.
Target price and selling strategy: Set reasonable profit targets and step-by-step exit plans.
Stop-loss plan: Design an exit mechanism in advance for error situations.#BTC挖矿难度创新高

Why is the altcoin season crucial? Because it often serves as a key turning point for most retail investors. Retail investors primarily concentrate their assets in altcoins rather than Bitcoin, so the explosion of altcoins directly determines their profit potential.

If this bull market fails to usher in an altcoin season, many retail investors may face significant difficulties. By that time, some may be forced to abandon the market, switch to other means of making a living, or even seek new job opportunities.
For most people, reasonable asset allocation becomes particularly important. If assets can be distributed in a ratio of 5:3:2 among Bitcoin, value coins, and altcoins, it can not only effectively diversify risks but also likely outperform the majority of investors in the market.

I still believe the bull market is not over, and the arrival of the altcoin season is just a matter of time. But the key is: Are you mentally prepared and ready to adjust your strategy to hold on until that moment arrives?#BTC挖矿难度创新高

Important Positive Events to Watch:

FTX Payout: At the beginning of January next year, FTX will complete a $16 billion payout to investors, which will be a significant boost for the cryptocurrency market.

Trump's Return: On January 20, Trump will resume his presidency, and his attitude towards Bitcoin as a strategic reserve may boost market sentiment.

Based on these factors, it is expected that the Bitcoin bull market will continue into 2025. Despite recent market fluctuations, this is just a necessary phase on the way up. #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测

The market isn't doing well, so here's an internal code for the brothers. Pnut surged on the day Coinbase announced it would be added to the listing roadmap, then it dropped continuously. Binance peaked at 2.5 and fell to a low of 0.58, with sufficient pullback. This morning, someone withdrew 10 million coins from Binance, and I suspect that Coinbase might officially launch Pnut tonight, prompting some to enter early. The current price is 0.68, and it might be worth considering entering at 0.65. #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测

Currently, only a few altcoins are showing independent market trends, while most are still affected by the fluctuations of the main market.

Coins such as PHA, AGLD, ATA, and ROSE have attracted considerable attention due to their use of TEE technology, which provides a secure and isolated environment for AI. Among them, PHA is the primary focus of capital concentration.

As the focal point of the market, PHA rapidly broke through the high point of December 2021 within just 7 days, with the inflow of funds during this period exceeding the total transaction volume of the past year. The outflow of funds has driven the increase of other related coins, demonstrating a strong hotspot effect.

Brothers, although the overall performance of the altcoin market has not been ideal recently, certain sectors are still experiencing continuous explosions. For example, 5 days ago Zen suddenly surged, driving the LPT of the Grayscale accumulation sector, and BAT also rose sharply. BGB has been active as well, continuing to rise and driving the BWB of the BG series wallets, doubling in one day. Meanwhile, the Meme MOEW of the BG wallet achieved a tenfold increase in just three days.

PHA's strong rise over several days has also attracted attention to the TEE track, with others in the same track like Pond and ATA also experiencing significant increases. These examples show that the rotation of altcoin sectors has gradually started, and market activity is gradually recovering. #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测

1. BTC ETF: In the past week, a total of $1.327 billion flowed out of the BTC ETF, marking the largest weekly outflow since $49,000. However, despite the outflow of funds, the price of BTC has not shown a significant downward trend. Currently, the market support level is in the range of $91,000 to $92,500, and only if the price falls below this range could it confirm that the adjustment has ended.

2. ETH ETF: Compared to the BTC ETF, the ETH ETF saw a net inflow of $210 million last week. Since November 6, the ETH ETF has been continuously attracting a large amount of capital inflow and maintaining high trading volume. This indicates that the ETH/BTC trading pair still has strong upward momentum, and it is expected that the ratio of ETH/BTC will continue to rise. #币安LaunchpoolBIO预测