Important notice!
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It is related to your vital interests, please pay attention! About the outlook of the Fed's interest rate cut this year:
1. Given the decline in the CPI data released last night, this is undoubtedly good news for the market.
2. In the Fed's interest rate decision in the early morning, although the interest rate remained unchanged, it can be seen from its dot plot that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates only once by 2024, which is two fewer than the forecast in March.
3. What is more striking is that the market generally expects that the Fed's probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at the interest rate meeting in September this year has exceeded 60%, and the probability of cutting interest rates in November is close to 85%. It can be seen that the trend of interest rate cuts is already unstoppable.
At present, all we can do is to remain patient and wait for the opportunity. It is expected that before October this year, the exact news about the interest rate cut will surface. As for whether it will usher in a violent bull market or a big crash, it depends on the combined influence of multiple factors. We need to pay close attention to market dynamics and respond prudently.
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