Regarding the future trend, I have two expectations, a high probability version and a low probability version.
Expectation 1:
Bitcoin will take last night's low of 66,000 as the bottom of this round of adjustment, and then continue to move upward after oscillating and accumulating momentum, with the target reaching at least 84,000.
At the same time, the Americans cooperated in giving up their promise, and the copycats followed suit and began to make efforts.
I think the probability of expected happening is higher. That’s why I guessed the bottom would be between 66,000 and 67,000 the day before yesterday, and directly said last night that 66,000 was the bottom.
In terms of operations, I had already entered a large number of long positions in the early morning.
In terms of stop loss, leave a 1,000-point error space for Bitcoin. If it falls below 65,000, all spot contracts will be liquidated and the market will enter expectation 2.
Expectation 2:
The Americans acted hawkishly in the next two days, and the market plummeted sharply, with blood flowing everywhere.
In this way, I believe that there will be golden pits, ultimate shakeouts, and Springs at the weekly and monthly levels, and at the bull-bear cycle level, followed by a truly violent bull market.
Taking FIL as an example, let’s draw a rough outline of this expected trend:
I think the probability of this happening is relatively small.
I think the probability of this happening is relatively small.
If this happens, the funds from the 65,000 stop loss above can be used to copy the spot below.
Watch it after it happens.
Apart from these two, I don't think there is any middle ground.
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