Crypto market analysis 6.12

Short positions have been settled, and some spot prices are expected to rebound

The bottom support of the daily level is temporarily around 66,000. The position around 66,000--65,000 estimated in the early trading of early June has also been reached. The most important thing on Wednesday is the CPI in the evening and the interest rate decision in the early morning of Thursday, as well as Powell's speech. The negative news released in this round has actually landed, and market expectations have been partially regulated. The recent rebound should appear. Of course, the spot in June will still not have a good space for you and me, and the time period will be longer.

The probability of interest rate suspension in this round is more than 90%. The data is originally open to the Federal Reserve. In fact, the unemployment benefits and other real estate transaction data released weekly also show that the market may be unable to support it, but the Federal Reserve needs to manage expectations, so it is expected to take a long time before the real interest rate cut and funds officially enter the market. And with the start of interest rate cuts and the arrival of a real bull market, the time node may be extended again.

Daily level market

- ​​The daily level is still a large-scale bullish trend, and the small level is repaired. The bottom appears near 66300-65800. If it does not fall below the intraday news, it will slowly repair the market.

4-hour level market

A rebound occurred at the 4-hour level, and it came to the key support near the bottom of 65800 again. The upper pressure is near 69000 and 68500.

Intraday level analysis

-----The first round of rebound occurred during the day, and the bottom appeared in the short term. The upper pressure is near 67700, 68500 and 69500. Multiple pressures will see whether it will rebound during the day. As for where, or choose to build the bottom during the day.

Some short positions have been settled. Now all fluctuations are driven by derivatives. At the key time nodes, some shorts will trigger emotions and lower the chips to choose to ship. For the time being, the short positions have not been fully exited. If there is a rebound in the short term, it can be regarded as a partial exit rebound. The spot position can be slowly entered at the appropriate position. It will not return to V immediately, and some time can be given.

The market has been changing rapidly recently. If you want to adjust your positions or don’t understand the trends, you are welcome to communicate and learn.