Good morning, brothers. Yesterday, we experienced a big surprise in non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate, which led to the resurgence of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and a sharp rebound in the cryptocurrency market. Are there any risks in the future? What do you think about the market? First of all, this decline has continued to build a solid bottom for the cryptocurrency market, cleared a wave of profit-taking, and brought the price back to the 90-day moving average, bringing those who bought in the past three months to the same starting line, reducing the risk and facilitating further growth. Next, just be patient and hold the value coins you bought at the bottom. However, this is a turbulent time, and there are three black swans that must be guarded against. (1) Beware of the resurgence of inflation data. After the data was released last night, we will look at May 15: April CPI data and May 31: April core PCE data. If the data is still higher than expected, the cryptocurrency market will fall again. (2) Beware of the expansion of the war between Israel and Iran. Israel may attack Rafah (Hamas' last base in Gaza) in May, expanding the conflict with Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Currently, Israel and Iran are at war, and the war will continue. As long as the two sides continue to clash, the logic of the conflict will tend to escalate. Since ancient times, politicians have tended to ignite wars in order to increase their political survival and support. It is ridiculous that the fate of mankind is actually concentrated in the hands of dozens of politicians. Some lunatics click the nuclear button and World War III begins. Iran is getting closer and closer to making nuclear bombs, and Israel may take preemptive action against Iran's nuclear program. Once the war starts, BTC will still lead to a sharp drop in the cryptocurrency market. (3) Beware of Mentougou releasing a large amount of BTC. After Mentougou collapsed, BTC worth $9 billion will be paid to these creditors. The deadline is October. In April, some people said that they received legal currency compensation. Therefore, it is likely that the compensation will be completed this year. These people who received the coins will most likely sell them. Whether they sell them or not, the market will definitely fall in panic. Therefore, with the rebound, especially the brothers who are fully invested, they should withdraw their bullets in batches to prevent the black swan from attacking. The bull market has been going on for 6 months. It is not the best time to invest in the cryptocurrency circle. Lower your expectations and invest 30%-60% of your positions to avoid being trapped by a black swan.