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Let's recharge our faith together #BTC下跌分析

Investment depends on the cycle, and the cycle can be large or small. The big cycle of this round of Bitcoin is very obvious, starting from 15,000 at the beginning of 23 years, and ending at the end of 25 years and 26 years. In fact, it also corresponds to the turning point of the Fed from raising interest rates by 75 basis points to raising interest rates by 50 basis points to the end of the interest rate cut cycle at the end of next year, which lasted about 3 years.

In fact, the entire complete cycle is 4 years, corresponding to the Kitchin cycle and the complete Fed's interest rate hike and cut cycle, and also corresponds to Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle (do you think that Bitcoin's 4-year halving is just a random brainstorm?)

In the cycle, time and space must echo each other (the space here refers to the price), and neither party can go too fast or too slow, otherwise one party must stop and wait for the other party, so that the cycle will be complete.

Bitcoin went from 15,000 to 73,000, and it took one year and three months. Here I call it a repair market. After seven consecutive positive monthly lines, the rise came to an abrupt halt. This round of rise has already overdrawn part of the price of cake in advance due to the approval of ETFs, so the rest is also at the monthly level. This round of rest corresponds to the current stubborn inflation in the United States, that is, it will rest until the US inflation is confirmed to resume the downward trend, or the US economy has a hard landing, and the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates. The previous expectation was in June, and it is likely to be postponed at present. This is why I said that there will be a rest of about 3 months, and then the small cycle of the repair market will be completed.

After the repair market is completed, the slow bull market and the sprint market will start. The sprint market is the shortest small cycle. In this round of rest market, the dealer will frequently use news and emotions to wash the market, clear the unsteady positions, and create a favorable situation for the subsequent bull market. It is obvious that it is the matter of Iran and Israel. Therefore, when there is a huge panic, you must dare to bet. The bigger the drop, the harder you must do. This is the reason.
#5月市场关键事件