First, let's review yesterday's market. Yesterday, Bitcoin exploded the bulls at 67,300, and then it has been fluctuating below. Then, some people are still not afraid of death, and then opened a long order with a volume of 5M at 65,500. Then last night and this morning, Bitcoin fell to 64,537 at its lowest, killing the bulls completely. According to our data indicator chart, the current market is overbought immediately. If there is no intervention by the main funds, the possibility of continuing to fall during the day today will be higher than the rise. What will happen to the market next? Is this round of decline a correction or a change? Next, let's take a look at the latest views and analysis of various bloggers.
First, let's take a look at the views of Theophilus:
At 9:30 last night. He said that he was filling the gap. The gap he mentioned was between 64,000 and 66,000. This position was a gap in the option delivery last week. It is not 100% likely to be filled. There is a certain probability. At present, it is halfway filled. There is still 500 points to fill. Then at 10:30 last night, he said that the market was chasing shorts in the early trading. It is equivalent to many people opening shorts at 66,178. It is equivalent to the market gradually changing from long thinking to short thinking. The number of people opening shorts is gradually increasing.
Let's take a look at Luo Sheng's point of view. He said at 7:30 last night that the market rhythm has changed. It cannot be viewed according to the simple four-year rule. If we go back four years ago, in 2020, the bull market has not yet risen. It is still in the bottom area. Four years ago, it was less than 10,000 US dollars. Now a small bull market has ended. We must get rid of the idea of seeking a meeting by carving a boat as soon as possible. Or to be more precise, we must get rid of the simple and crude idea of seeking a meeting by carving a boat. Technical analysis is essentially seeking a meeting by carving a boat, but this is systematic. There is a system that is deduced in the calculation, rather than simply buying today and selling three months later. This kind of mindless and crude carving a boat market may run once, similar to the weekly level fluctuation of 25,000-30,000 in 2023, and then continue. The probability of direct transformation at the moment is relatively small, because the buying below is still sufficient, it is very hot at the moment, and the selling is also sufficient, so it is likely to go to a large level range. Wait for subsequent performance. Maybe it will start in the second half of the year. In 2025, there will be a bull market. This is Luo Sheng's point of view. Luo Sheng is still very cautious.So he started to sell now. You can refer to his. Finally, let's take a look at the Bitcoin OBTI 1-hour liquidation chart. You can see that the number of people who open long positions is almost the same as the number of people who open short positions. When the dealer drops to 65,000, all the people who open long positions with large shares will be liquidated. The maximum volume of the long army is 3.9M. When the dealer rises to 67,000, all the people who open short positions with large shares will be liquidated. The maximum volume of the short army is only 2M. Although the volume of the short army is not high, it is very average. Then, let's take a look at the global liquidation chart of Bitcoin. At the current price, there are more people who open short positions than those who open long positions. After the dealer rises to 69,000, all the people who open short positions will be liquidated. The maximum volume of the short army is 5M. The situation changes. It has directly changed from long positions to short positions, right? But I think there are still a little more long positions at 65,000 in OBTI. It's better to clear it up. Then let's take a look at Ethereum. Ethereum. There are more people who open long positions in Ethereum than those who open short positions. When the dealer falls to the level of 69,000, all the people who open short positions will be liquidated. 3,230
will report all the large-scale short positions
The maximum long position volume is only 1.7M
When it rises to 3,350, all the large-scale short positions will be reported
The maximum short position volume is 2.4M
Then let's take a look at the global position report of Ethereum
It is the same as Bitcoin
There are more short positions than long positions near the current price
The dealer has increased by 3.6
will report all the large-scale short positions
The maximum short position volume is 3.9M
In general
No one has opened long positions with low leverage now
All of them have become airdrops
But there are still people who open long positions with high leverage
Yesterday's round of decline really scared many people
The long-short conversion is really too fast
Based on the current order opening situation
If you want to pull the dog pile quickly
If you continue to grind
There are more and more long positions
Then you will keep inserting needles up and down
Okay, today's content analysis ends here #BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥 #行情回顾 #行情分析
