To all the people who talk about a fall in Bitcoin after the halving, I would like to remind you of the historical data.$

During the first halving on November 28, 2012, no significant drop was observed after the event. For the second halving on July 9, 2016, a drop of around 15% followed a notable increase of 80%, with this drop being fully recovered within 100 days of the halving. The main drop occurred on July 31 following an announcement by a Florida state criminal court judge questioning Bitcoin's currency status. Regarding the third halving on May 11, 2020, no immediate drop was noted, but a 50% drop occurred due to an unforeseen event, the Covid-19 pandemic, without a direct link to the halving .

It is therefore unjustified to assert absolutely that a decline will systematically occur after the halving, because historical data does not support this assertion. Any post-halving declines in Bitcoin are attributable to external events and not the halving itself.

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