An inspired article...an analysis article based on the current market

1. First, Bitcoin $BTC hit a new high of 73,777, and then fell below 65,000.

2. Then there is the unilateral rise of Meme altcoins, the Sol $SOL chain altcoin, and the Meme craze.

3. NVIDIA held another "GTC "AI" conference, and AI coins soared.

1. Let’s start from 1: Bitcoin’s reaching a new high (referring to breaking through the previous high of 69,000) seems to be in the general consensus of market traders. Bitcoin this round has ranged from 15,476-73,777, and the average price of the author’s positions is 28,950. First of all, I am writing this article not to review the history of Bitcoin, but to talk about the next things.

Is Bitcoin going to fall? Is Bitcoin’s pre-halving drop coming?

The first thing to mention is that according to past historical experience, Bitcoin has a sharp decline before the halving. It mainly starts to fall one or two months before the Bitcoin halving, and two or three days after the Bitcoin halving. It started to rebound after a few months - (again - bull market).

This time Bitcoin halved, or when Bitcoin rose to 54,500, I published an article saying "There will be a big drop before Bitcoin halving." For details, please see the previous article: http://t.cn/ A6YWJD0C

In this article published before, the specific falling point of Bitcoin was not mentioned, but it basically talked about the positive points of Bitcoin and some sectors. For example, the rise of altcoins in the Brc-20 and Meme sectors triggered by the rise of Bitcoin.

The current average price of Bitcoin positions is clearly divided.

First echelon: 60500-63500

Second tier: 45,000-40,000

Third echelon: 30,000-25,000

The author is considered to be in the third echelon...I am not afraid of market risks.

Why do I give examples of echelons?

The first thing I want to tell you is that there is a high probability that Bitcoin will still maintain a downward correction trend before the halving, so the second echelon I mentioned above is particularly important. At present, Bitcoin is defended by the first echelon of funds. I think the next downward level of Bitcoin (which can also be said to be a support level) is likely to appear in the capital-intensive areas of 60,000 and 52,000, the former shock range. .

If it falls to 60,000, I personally don’t think it makes much sense to buy and hold positions. If it falls to 52,000 to 45,000, it is appropriate to buy at a low price and add to the position. If you do not hold a spot position in Bitcoin, you can open a position at this position. The best buying points are when Bitcoin falls to 40,000 and 30,000. The ideal buying point is in the chip-intensive area of ​​30,000, a shock range. But I'm afraid it's hard to see. Therefore, 40,000 is the best point to increase or open a position at the moment.

2. Meme coin craze

Pepe, Doge, Shib, Bonk, People, Flokl, Wif, and recently Bome on the Sol chain, as well as Pogai, IQ50, etc., the market prices of Meme coins are huge pumps, allowing many novice investors to earn several times. Or dozens or even hundreds of times the income. All of them make people jealous.

But no matter which financial market you are in, it is nothing more than ups and downs, ebbs and flows. Meme euphoria reaches freezing point as Bitcoin hits highs. The price is gradually correcting.

The author bought Bome in the primary market and made a profit of 120%. After Bome was listed on Biannce, the author bought Bome at a price of 0.24 and then bought Bome again at a price of 0.17. Just because Bome is the Meme No. 1 on the Sol chain. This is a ridiculous joke, but everyone agrees that I am prepared to continue to win this bull market. The performance of Sol chain is quite good in this bull market.

However, judging from the current falling market, it is not recommended that you buy Meme coins again. At least after some time, buying after the correction is over will be a better opportunity. The author has been trapped.

3. Finally, let’s talk about the news that Nvidia will hold a three-day “GTC” conference from March 18 to March 21. Cryptocurrencies and the stock market have also received the stimulation of the GTC conference and have surged. There are bright signs for the market. At present, the AI ​​sector coins of cryptocurrencies have all surged, and some have even multiplied several times. As far as the current situation is concerned, it doesn't make much sense to chase the rise. Because everyone is paying attention to the altcoins of the Sol chain, there is still a lot of room for the future. Sol is now well ahead of Eth, and the altcoins on its chain are set to shine as well. In the past few days, the author will write several articles on the basic analysis and investment strategies of altcoins on the sol chain, eth chain, and brc20.

The cryptocurrency market in the future will be more in line with the international financial market. I am referring to sectors, such as the impact of Ai. What I want to say specifically is that cryptocurrency will also be like the stock market in the future, and the functions of some altcoins will be more classified. clear,

The good thing is that cryptocurrencies are becoming more mature,

The downside is that it is becoming less and less decentralized.