#review
Let's get the main message straight
Those who closely follow the train of thought in regular reviews will confirm that the cue ball is interesting to me insofar as, because even in the absence of an intelligible correction for entry, I consider its potential limited due to its severity, and my entire focus is on the air with viola
Just to determine medium-term expectations for altcoins, one of the arguments when analyzing the overall picture is also expectations for BTC, because in the short term alts ALWAYS react along with the cue ball
The market is a living organism. Something is constantly happening in it. Something is changing. New variables are introduced that affect the further picture
And based on this, the script always has to be adjusted taking into account NEW VARIABLES
The only thing that does not change is the expectations for the role of this or sometimes movement. Levels may be adjusted. Character - extremely rare
I was waiting for block 32-36. We reached 38500. If you think that there are no errors, then it’s a bad idea, because in this case you lack the flexibility of decision-making and you will not be able to adapt to the constantly changing market, into which new variables are being introduced REGULARLY
The correction has happened. We didn’t make it to 36, what a pity, what a pity (no)
But the structure and nature of the movement are determined correctly
Anyone who closely follows video reviews and chat (unfortunately, posts in the channel have a limited number of characters, this is not enough to express the whole idea) knows that I have long voiced the theory of a combo of two events under the distribution of a cue ball
According to this theory, I assumed 2 events under which the cue ball would be driven as high as possible - this is the approval of the spot ETF and halving
There are many participants in the market. In fact, there are few true bulls. There are a lot of techies
Some are short, expecting a classic decline before the halving and a reversal to the bull AFTER the halving
Others sit in the cache, waiting for the classic decline before the halving and a reversal to the bull AFTER the halving
Still others sit in the cache and don’t care what happens BEFORE the halving, they want to enter at ANY price AFTER the halving so that they can easily go into classic growth after the halving
Ask yourself a question. At what price would you like to buy the cue ball? 44 each. Or 40 each. Or maybe 36 each?
But you definitely don’t want to buy at current prices, right?
So where does all this “Everyone is long, everyone is buying” come from? Who are they all?
I’ve been telling the guys since the end of October in closed channels that I wouldn’t be surprised if this time everything is different - and the cue ball will be pulled higher before the halving without any special rollbacks, and after the halving it won’t fall
Remember what I said - it means Blackrock is telling you exactly what they are buying, and you want to beat them?
Again. I don't want to talk about where Bitcoin will go. I want to talk about air with viola. We've been talking about Bitcoin all last year. Now another phase. Alta now is like cue ball last year at 20K
Yes, I would not be surprised by such a scenario (fractal)
In which the cue ball will actually go into a side correction before and after the halving, into a range with a range of 44-52K. And when, after havling, the last bears lose their nerve, they will (conditionally) push the cue ball to the ATN with their purchases
I see the dominance of military-technical cooperation.
And I think that somewhere around now it’s time for it to start an aggressive decline. Moreover, if the assumption about the cue ball moving sideways is confirmed
Considering this moment, that’s why I’m sitting in alt. For the shooting will begin (and they are already beginning)
More locally, in February-March the magnet, in my humble opinion, is at least block 560-625
Next, a correction is possible, as I wrote, and in the summer - the beginning of a strong upward movement along TOTAL3
Yes, probably at the end of February you can partially go to cash. But I won’t shorten (except local stories)
I will consider the correction as an opportunity to enter, and not a reason to exit. Because in many ways this will be the FINAL decline in this cycle
95% of the time alts are in accumulation. And only 5% of the time is spent on aggressive growth
Many people don't know how to wait. But whoever waits will be rewarded in the fall
As Pronya Prokopovna said: “I sat and sat, but at least I sat!”
Peace, profit and green PnL to everyone 🫶
