The probability of a bear market is greater than the probability of a bull market. What is there to refute? Everyone is waiting for the main bullish wave from the clones. I don't know which main bullish wave they are waiting for. Isn't the period from the end of 2023 to March 2024 (the first wave) a main bullish wave? Even junk has increased fivefold, and tenfold is everywhere; from August 2024 to December 2024 (the second wave), isn't that a main bullish wave? Similarly, junk also has a fivefold increase. Those waiting for the main bullish wave are merely those who picked up chips when the dog traders distributed them during the previous two main bullish waves.

Let's rationally analyze the logic of a bull market. The lowering of interest rates by the Americans has led to the emergence of a bull market, which is known as releasing liquidity. Currently, the American interest rate reduction cycle is nearing its end, and without sufficient liquidity, what basis does the crypto world have for another broad rise (the so-called main bullish wave)? It is no longer supported. Several events have already shown that the market lacks liquidity. For example, when the meme of the king of understanding went online, it caused other tokens to fall sharply. This token has a circulation of 200-300 million (I can't remember the exact number), and when the price was highest, it was over 70 USD, which means the circulating market value was less than 20 billion USD. If 20 billion USD caused market turbulence, doesn’t that illustrate how poor the market is and how lacking it is in cash?

In summary, what does the market have to support the main bullish wave? The future market will turn bearish in an instant. Of course, during this period, we cannot rule out that a few products will perform independently. These are just exceptions. Brothers, be more vigilant; if another opportunity arises, please hold Bitcoin, only Bitcoin! $BTC