1. Formation Analysis
• Horizontal consolidation (Accumulation) zone: BTC price is in a consolidation process between 100K – 105K.
• The rising trend line is maintained, indicating that the general trend is upward.
• If the 105K level is broken, a strong uptrend may be triggered and a new price discovery process may begin.
2. Support and Resistance Levels
• Support Levels:
• 95K - 100K: Uptrend support and main accumulation zone.
• 90K level: Strong main support, falling below this level may disrupt the trend.
• Resistance Levels:
• 105K - 107K: Critical resistance zone, breaking of which may accelerate the rise.
• 110K: First major goal level.
• 115K - 120K: Long-term target area after the breakout.
3. Trend Direction
• In the Short Term: The price is testing the 105K resistance, there is a decision point here.
• In the Medium Term: If 105K is broken, there is a potential for an increase up to 110K - 115K levels.
• In the Long Term: If the 120K level is broken, BTC may enter the new ATH region.
4. Indicator Analysis
• RSI: Likely approaching neutral or overbought territory.
• MACD: If an upward cross occurs, it may support the rise.
• Volume: If there is an increase in volume on the 105K breakout, this will confirm that the breakout is solid.
5. Strategy and Recommendation
• Short Term Strategy:
• Closes above 105K may create a buying opportunity.
• Target: 110K level.
• Stop-loss: Loss can be cut off in closings below 100K.
• Medium Term Strategy:
• If the 110K level is broken, 115K and 120K can be targeted.
• Stop-loss: Position should be reviewed in closings below 105K.
• Long Term Strategy:
• If the 120K level is broken, BTC may enter a completely new price discovery process.
• Risk management: Gradual purchase and profit-taking strategy should be implemented.
6. Risk Management
• A volume break of the 105K resistance should be expected, otherwise it may be a false break.
• If the price drops below 100K, the short-term bullish scenario may weaken.
• Stop levels should be maintained and the risk of sudden pullbacks should be reduced.
Conclusion
• BTC is currently testing the 105K region, breaking this area could accelerate the rise to 110K - 115K levels.
• The 120K level appears to be the main long-term target.
• However, if it falls below 100K, the bullish scenario may weaken.