SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS $COW USDT

MARKET OVERVIEW:

- Price: $0.5383, short & medium-term downtrend (MA7/MA20 = 0.86, MA20/MA50 = 0.86)

- RSI = 36.59 (slightly oversold area, near oversold)

- Low volume (40% average of 20 candles), selling pressure dominant (Buy Ratio = 0.49)

- Order Book shows selling pressure (Imbalance = -0.39)

- Futures stable (Funding = 0.005%, OI = 21.8M)

4H-12H FORECAST:

1. Main scenario (65%):

- Continue to decline slightly

- Range: $0.52 - $0.55

- Low volatility, volume remains weak

2. Alternative scenario:

- Upward reaction (20%): Target $0.57-0.58

- Downward break (15%): Target $0.49-0.50

TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:

Entry:

- Main: $0.52

- Alternative: $0.51 (30%), $0.50 (20%)

Risk management:

- Stop Loss: -5% ($0.494)

- Take Profits: $0.54 (35%), $0.56 (35%), $0.58 (30%)

- Maximum leverage: 2-3x if using Futures

Strategy:

- Prioritize Spot due to low volatility

- Counter-trend at support

- DCA at a ratio of 50/30/20

- Break even at TP1

- Trailing stop 2% after TP2

Main risks:

- Low liquidity

- Selling pressure from order book

- General market volatility

Monitoring:

- Volume spikes

- Changes in Order Book

- Break RSI out of the 30-40 zone

- Unusual funding rate

R/R ratio: 1:2.5

Probability of success: 60%