SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS $COW USDT
MARKET OVERVIEW:
- Price: $0.5383, short & medium-term downtrend (MA7/MA20 = 0.86, MA20/MA50 = 0.86)
- RSI = 36.59 (slightly oversold area, near oversold)
- Low volume (40% average of 20 candles), selling pressure dominant (Buy Ratio = 0.49)
- Order Book shows selling pressure (Imbalance = -0.39)
- Futures stable (Funding = 0.005%, OI = 21.8M)
4H-12H FORECAST:
1. Main scenario (65%):
- Continue to decline slightly
- Range: $0.52 - $0.55
- Low volatility, volume remains weak
2. Alternative scenario:
- Upward reaction (20%): Target $0.57-0.58
- Downward break (15%): Target $0.49-0.50
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:
Entry:
- Main: $0.52
- Alternative: $0.51 (30%), $0.50 (20%)
Risk management:
- Stop Loss: -5% ($0.494)
- Take Profits: $0.54 (35%), $0.56 (35%), $0.58 (30%)
- Maximum leverage: 2-3x if using Futures
Strategy:
- Prioritize Spot due to low volatility
- Counter-trend at support
- DCA at a ratio of 50/30/20
- Break even at TP1
- Trailing stop 2% after TP2
Main risks:
- Low liquidity
- Selling pressure from order book
- General market volatility
Monitoring:
- Volume spikes
- Changes in Order Book
- Break RSI out of the 30-40 zone
- Unusual funding rate
R/R ratio: 1:2.5
Probability of success: 60%