The Union Budget 2025 is in the corner, and every Indian is eagerly waiting for the moment. While the usual talk of GDP growth, tax implications, and sectoral allocation is filling the front pages, crypto traders, investors, and the industry as a whole are also keeping an eye on the budget.

There's no denying that India is among the fastest-growing countries and home to millions of crypto enthusiasts, but complex regulatory implications and a hazardous tax rule have been a headache for crypto users in the country. The latest developments, however, seem in contrast to hope for a better situation, and the Union Budget 2025 is where all eyes are set.

▨ Where Crypto Stands Today in India (Pre-2025)

Back in 2022, the government decided to treat crypto like a sin tax—not outright banning it, but making sure it’s painful enough to keep most retail investors away. Here’s how it works:

  1. 30% Flat Tax on Crypto Gains – Whether you make ₹1,000 or ₹1 crore, you pay the same brutal 30% tax, with no deductions or exemptions. It doesn’t matter if you lost money elsewhere—no set-offs allowed.

  2. 1% TDS on Every Trade – If you trade on Indian exchanges, you already feel this one. A 1% tax on every crypto transaction means less liquidity and more compliance headaches.

  3. No Offsetting Losses – Made a loss on Bitcoin but a profit on Ethereum? Too bad. Losses aren’t allowed to offset gains, making it one of the harshest tax structures globally.

▨ Regulatory Confusion

Crypto isn’t illegal, but it’s far from accepted. The RBI still calls it a threat to financial stability, and there’s no clear law regulating exchanges, stablecoins, or investor protection. While the "Cryptocurrency and Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill" was supposed to clarify things, it’s been gathering dust.

▨ FIU Compliance Crackdown on Exchanges

In December 2023, India's Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) cracked down on several major global crypto exchanges (like Binance and KuCoin) for operating without proper compliance under India's anti-money laundering (AML) laws. By 2024. 

some exchanges applied for licenses, while others faced restrictions. This move signaled the government's intent to tighten oversight, possibly paving the way for a fully regulated crypto industry.

What to Expect in Budget 2025

A Regulatory Framework (Finally?)

It’s time for the government to define crypto properly—either as an asset class or something else. Possible moves include:

> Introducing formal legislation that classifies crypto as Virtual Digital Assets (VDAs) and sets legal boundaries.

> Appointing a regulatory body (SEBI or a new agency) to oversee exchanges, protect investors, and enforce compliance.

> Deciding how stablecoins and foreign crypto exchanges operating in India will be handled.

▨ Tax Reforms (or At Least Some Relief)

India's tax policies on crypto are among the harshest in the world. Here’s what might change:

> Lowering TDS from 1% to 0.1% – A massive demand from the industry, as the 1% TDS has crushed liquidity and forced many traders to shift offshore.

> Revising the 30% flat tax – Maybe a slab-based tax system, where small investors don’t get wrecked as badly.

> Allowing loss offsetting – Currently, even gambling has better tax treatment than crypto. If the government allows losses to offset gains (like in stocks), it would be a huge step.

CBDC (Digital Rupee) Expansion

The RBI is all-in on the Digital Rupee (e₹) and will likely push for:

> Wider adoption across banks & fintech firms.

> New incentives for merchants and consumers to use e₹ for payments.

> More pilot programs to integrate CBDC into India’s financial system.

So, What's Next

India is home to some of the bright minds of the crypto industry and some excellent blockchain companies. Though India's stand on crypto is harsh and confusing, some recent actions are favored for a healthy environment for crypto regulation.

In August 2024, Binance, the world's leading most exchange, registered itself under India's FIU compliance, and a few more exchanges followed the same.

Many traders and firms have already shifted to Dubai, Singapore, and offshore platforms to escape India’s restrictive policies, and that makes the situation worsen.

But the global adoption of cryptocurrency definitely pushes India to apply a regulatory framework and better tax implications that will not only help traders but the overall ecosystem. And we are looking Forward to the same ..... 

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