Dogecoin is experiencing a sharp decline, marked by a decline in investor interest and a drop in social media activity. This trend contrasts with the past euphoria surrounding the cryptocurrency that was born from a simple meme.
According to data from Santiment, enthusiasm for DOGE has hit a record low, indicating a gradual loss of confidence in the market. The decline in investor sentiment, combined with a significant drop in online discussions, highlights a wait-and-see atmosphere where caution seems to prevail over speculation. However, this decline is not unanimous.
Some observers see this as a typical market downturn that bodes well for a future recovery. In their view, this calm could represent a strategic buying opportunity for investors looking to bet on a possible recovery, provided the broader market regains its bullish momentum.
Growing Disinterest in Dogecoin on Social Media
Market sentiment around Dogecoin has reached a tipping point, with one of its lowest levels in a year. According to data from Santiment, the cryptocurrency has a score of 1/5, well below XRP (4/5) and Solana (4/5). This skepticism is particularly evident on social media, where the volume of DOGE-related discussions has dropped significantly in recent weeks. Once supported by an active and supportive community, Dogecoin now appears to be losing steam, which could impact its ability to generate new interest in the short term.
Along with this decline in market sentiment, the value of Dogecoin has recorded a sharp decline. Within a month, its price has dropped 28%, currently sitting at $0.33. Over the past 30 days, the cryptocurrency has reported a loss of 15.3%, following a similar downward trend as other memecoins, such as Shiba Inu (-15.9%) and Pepe (-22.2%). This apathy is not limited to active investors.
Google searches related to Dogecoin have dropped 74% since November. That period coincided with the dismissal of a lawsuit filed against Elon Musk and Tesla, which accused them of manipulating the price of DOGE through their social media interventions. Without a major catalyst, the current momentum could continue, leaving Dogecoin in a prolonged period of instability.
Potential Recovery for Contrarian Investors?
While enthusiasm for Dogecoin appears to be waning, some observers remain confident in its long-term potential. For them, this period of stagnation could herald a new bull run. Trader Wizz, followed by 768,700 subscribers on X (formerly Twitter), stated on January 6, 2025, that “DOGE will outperform most major cryptocurrencies over the next six months.” He based his analysis on a chart configuration similar to that observed in November 2024, a period that heralded a notable bull run for Dogecoin.
For his part, analyst KrissPax shares a similar view. On January 8, 2025, he published an analysis of X and estimated that “Dogecoin’s next major move will take place in 2025.” According to him, the current price consolidation reflects past trends, suggesting a market recovery in the medium term.
Other experts go even further and predict a significant increase in DOGE by 2025. Some predict a price between $3 and $5, basing their forecasts on the Gaussian channel indicator, a technical analysis tool used to identify price cycles and long-term trends. If these predictions prove correct, the current situation could be an interesting entry point for investors looking to accumulate Dogecoin at a discount. However, this view depends on the return of general interest in memecoins and the overall recovery of the market.
The future of Dogecoin will largely depend on the return of collective enthusiasm and the growth of the entire cryptocurrency market. Therefore, the decline in social sentiment and the collapse in Google searches signal a clear loss of interest, but DOGE's history shows that it often recovers after similar periods. Some investors see this as an accumulation opportunity, while others fear a gradual erosion of its popularity. Everything now depends on the possibility of a resurgence of interest, driven by major events or a return of speculation around the memecoin. In this uncertain environment, caution should be exercised against unpredictable volatility.
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