Analysis of the market layout of the big and small non-farm data and Trump's coming to power and the Fed's interest rate cut

The small non-farm data to be released at 21:15 tonight and the number of initial unemployment claims at 21:30 are expected to reveal a trend of slowing employment growth, which may be seen as a strong support signal for the Fed's interest rate cut. Subsequently, if the large non-farm data on Friday is in line with market expectations, it will further enhance the reliability of the expectation of interest rate cuts.

Regarding Trump's coming to power, although cryptocurrency is not his core policy issue, the policy direction during his administration has a far-reaching impact on the crypto market, especially in shaping the regulatory environment and improving market openness. The Trump administration is expected to promote a series of policy measures that are beneficial to the crypto market, but these factors are unlikely to trigger a surge in the market in the short term.

As for the Fed's interest rate cut, the decision in the early morning of the 30th will closely depend on the comprehensive performance of various economic data this month. If the data indicators support a rate cut, the Fed is very likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which is expected to inject more liquidity support into the market.

In terms of market reaction, even if the economic data shows a positive trend, market fluctuations may be abnormal, similar to the sharp decline last night and the wash-out of altcoins. This abnormal fluctuation can be regarded as an adjustment behavior of the market before the new government takes office, aiming to create space for the implementation of new policies and complete the turnover of market leaders, laying a solid foundation for future market trends. #美联储何时降息？ #特朗普上台 #非农就业数据