1. Positive fundamentals:

1. Gravity announced its access cooperation with more than 25 million users of TokenPocket, significantly increasing the project’s exposure and user base.

2. Combined with news stimulation, the short-term market sentiment of this token has significantly enhanced.

Technical analysis:

1. The current price is 0.0384 U, with an increase of nearly 19% in 24 hours, and market trading volume has increased significantly.

2. On the daily chart, the price broke through the moving averages EMA(5) and EMA(10), the RSI indicator showed a strong overbought status (RSI>80), and the momentum increased.

Bayes' theorem analysis:

1. Prior probability: Based on historical data and news promotion, the probability of breakthrough after major good news is estimated to be 60%.

2. Conditional probability: Combined with the current strong rise, the 24-hour trading volume increased by more than 170 million USDT, and under favorable technical indicators, the probability of reaching a new high increased to 75%.

result:

Through Bayesian updating, the probability of G breaking through 0.05 U in the short term is about 45% to 55%, but we need to be wary of the risk of a high correction. It is recommended to pay close attention to changes in trading volume and the continuation of market sentiment.

As can be seen from the chart, the main net inflow of G/USDT in the past 5 days was 88.86M, while the net inflow of large orders in the past 24 hours was as high as 87.12M. This shows that the capital inflows in the past day accounted for the vast majority, showing the strong intervention of main funds in the short term, and market sentiment is biased towards the bulls.

Operation suggestions:

1. Short-term traders: The current capital flow shows an obvious buying trend. You can focus on breaking through the key pressure level (0.04729U) and chase the rise in the short term, but you need to set a strict stop loss.

2. Medium and long-term investors: Build positions in batches near the early support level, but pay attention to the risks during the February unlocking period and appropriately reduce positions to avoid risks before unlocking.

3. Pay attention to risks: Pay close attention to changes in capital flows and market sentiment reversal signals, especially when capital flows decrease significantly.

Operation suggestions:

Add the spot to the contract, the spot can be thrown to Big G's platform to receive airdrop bonuses, and the contract can be used to recover the spot cost.