The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 88.8%. According to Golden Finance's report and CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 88.8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.2%.
By March, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 53.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 42.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.5%.