In politics, anything can be expected. Everything that is done is for the best.

🔴 The U.S. economy is expected to grow more than it contracts in 2025, despite uncertainty regarding the impact of trade and other policies that may be implemented by the Trump administration, according to Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

🔴 Speaking before the Maryland Bankers Association on Friday, Barkin suggested that there could be a greater risk of inflation, especially if hiring accelerates.

🔴 Barkin noted that both businesses and consumers are optimistic, which leads him to believe that the labor market is more likely to lean towards hiring rather than layoffs.

🔴 Financial markets also appear to demonstrate greater confidence and less uncertainty, aligning with the Federal Reserve's forecast of a slower pace of interest rate reductions in the upcoming year.

🔴 However, given the stagnation in inflation progress and doubts about how the policies of elected President Donald Trump may affect the economy, policymakers forecast that the key rate will decrease by only half a percentage point this year.


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