CURRENT ANALYSIS $ADA

Technical:

MA trend: POSITIVE

MA20 (0.624) > MA50 (0.544) indicates a short-term uptrend

The divergence between the two MA lines is quite large (14.7%) showing a strong trend

Momentum:

RSI = 66.19: Currently in the positive zone but near overbought territory

MACD (0.167) > Signal (0.114): Indicates a bullish signal

MACD Histogram is expanding towards the positive

Volatility:

Bollinger Bands are expanding, indicating increased volatility

Price is trading above the middle band, confirming the uptrend

B. Volume analysis:

Buying pressure (0.627) is dominant

Order book imbalance (-0.229) indicates short-term selling pressure

24h trading volume is relatively stable, slightly down -0.05%

24H FORECAST (4 CANDLES 6H)

A. Main scenario (probability 65%):

Price continues to trend upwards but at a slower pace

Price targets:

Target 1: $1.15 (+4.6%)

Target 2: $1.18 (+7.4%)

Reversal point: If the price breaks below $1.05

B. Alternative scenario (probability 35%):

Short adjustment to test MA20

Price range: $1.05-1.08

Then may recover back to the uptrend

TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS

A. Spot strategy:

Position: BUY and hold medium-term

Entry points:

40% at the current price ($1.099)

30% at $1.07

30% at $1.05

Stop loss: $1.02 (-7.2%)

Take profits:

TP1: $1.15 (+4.6%) - 40% position

TP2: $1.18 (+7.4%) - 30% position

TP3: $1.22 (+11%) - 30% position

Risk management:

Only use a maximum of 5% capital

Set a trailing stop to protect profits

Do not chase prices when they have pumped significantly

RISK ASSESSMENT

A. Main risks:

RSI is in a high zone, may have a short adjustment

Selling pressure from the order book needs to be monitored

General market volatility may have an impact

B. Supporting factors:

Positive technical trend

Buying pressure remains dominant

Stable trading volume