A survey conducted by management consulting firm Gallup shows that two-thirds of surveyed Americans expect the stock market to rise in 2025, but approximately the same proportion of respondents anticipate that this increase will be accompanied by heightened domestic political conflict and international discord in the United States.
Specifically, 66% of respondents expect the stock market to rise in 2025, which is 30 percentage points higher than the predictions made for 2023 during the high inflation and economic confidence downturn in December 2022.
The survey also revealed that only 23% of surveyed Americans expect 'positive' political cooperation domestically under the Trump administration, and only 32% predict that 2025 will be more peaceful internationally.
However, these figures represent an improvement compared to the voting results for political cooperation and international peace in 2023 (9% and 14%, respectively).
Analysis indicates that this sentiment may have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. History shows that a sustained rise in the stock market can sometimes coincide with an increase in Bitcoin, as investors show a willingness to take on more risk.
Data from Bitcoin analysis platform Newhedge shows an unstable correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index, although some industry executives point out that Bitcoin's price movement is more closely related to tech stocks. (Cointelegraph)

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