January 2025 marks a wave of massive token unlocks, with over 1.3 billion USD in asset value set to be released into the market. In particular, 6 projects with the largest unlock amounts, including Sui (SUI), Circular Protocol (CIRX), Arbitrum (ARB), Optimism (OP), Aptos (APT), and ZetaChain (ZETA), pose a risk of significant price volatility. This is a warning for investors about the potential for increased selling pressure, sudden price drops, and an unpredictable market in the near future.

6 Notable Unlock Projects

  1. Sui ($SUI )

    • Unlock date: 01/01/2025

    • Quantity: 64.19 million tokens

    • Value: 338.8 million USD (2.19% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: Being one of the first unlocks of the year, the large amount of tokens may cause strong downward price pressure.

  2. Circular Protocol (#CIRX )

    • Unlock date: 01/12/2025

    • Quantity: 28 billion tokens

    • Value: 102.9 million USD (62.4% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: Unlocking over 60% of total circulating supply, very high sell-off risk if there is no appropriate supply-demand control plan.

  3. Arbitrum ($ARB )

    • Unlock date: 01/16/2025

    • Quantity: 92.65 million tokens

    • Value: 70.9 million USD (2.2% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: A well-known project but with a significant unlock amount, which may create downward price pressure in the short term.

  4. Optimism (OP)

    • Unlock date: 12/31/2024

    • Quantity: 31.34 million tokens

    • Value: 61.4 million USD (2.32% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: A large unlock amount at the end of the year may create selling pressure at the beginning of the new year.

  5. Aptos ($APT )

    • Unlock date: 01/12/2025

    • Quantity: 11.31 million tokens

    • Value: 104.2 million USD (2.03% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: High unlock value may cause significant price fluctuations in the market.

  6. ZetaChain (#zeta )

    • Unlock date: 01/01/2025

    • Quantity: 53.89 million tokens

    • Value: 32.2 million USD (9.35% of circulating supply)

    • Risk: High unlock rate may easily cause short-term supply shocks, negatively affecting prices.

Current Risks

  • High Selling Pressure: When a large amount of tokens is released, investors wanting to take profits may create strong selling pressure, causing prices to drop sharply.

  • Sudden Price Drop: Short-term oversupply of tokens can easily lead to uncontrolled price declines, affecting the entire market.

  • Anxiety Psychology: Retail investors may panic in the face of significant price fluctuations, thus creating a chain reaction of sell-offs.

Advice for Investors

  • Monitor Unlock Schedule: Regularly update the unlock schedule of tokens to timely adjust strategies.

  • Project Analysis: Evaluate the long-term potential of projects rather than focusing on short-term fluctuations.

  • Risk Management: Do not invest too much in tokens with large unlock amounts to avoid financial risks.

January 2025 promises many important events, but also presents challenges for investors. Be well-prepared to face significant market fluctuations!