A. TRADE DATA ANALYSIS
1. Trading volume:
- Average trading volume: 11.09M WLD
- Uneven volume distribution, with spikes
- Buy/Sell ratio is leaning towards selling (55-65% sell volume)
2. Money flow:
- Money Flow Index (MFI) is in the neutral zone
- OBV shows selling pressure is dominant
- CMF20 negative, confirming money flow trend is out
B. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. Time frames:
- 15m: Short-term downtrend
- 1H: Testing the support zone
- 4H: In a downtrend channel
- 1D: Medium-term downtrend
2. Technical indicators:
- RSI: In the oversold zone (<30)
- MACD: Negative histogram, but showing signs of convergence
- Bollinger Bands: Price is testing the lower band
C. FORECAST AND RECOMMENDATION
1. Scenarios in the next 24 hours:
Scenario 1 (probability 60%):
- Price continues to sideway in the $2.28-2.40 range
- Stop loss: $2.25
- Take profit: $2.45
- R/R ratio: 1:1.5
Scenario 2 (probability 40%):
- Break down below, test the $2.20 zone
- Need to monitor volume at important price levels
2. Trade recommendations:
- DO NOT recommend opening LONG positions at this time
- Wait for confirmation signals at the support zone $2.28
- Potential entry points: $2.28-2.30 if confirmed by volume
D. RISK WARNING
1. Factors to monitor:
- Bitcoin's volatility can have a strong impact
- News about the WorldCoin project
- Low trading volume can cause strong volatility
2. Level of reliability:
- Technical analysis: Reliability 70%
- Price forecast: Reliability 60%
E. ACTION RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Short-term (4-24h):
- Wait for confirmation signals at the support zone
- Do not open new positions
- Monitor trading volume at important price levels
2. Key levels to pay attention to:
- Strong support: $2.28
- Resistance: $2.40
- Mandatory stop loss if breaking $2.25
3. Risk management recommendations:
- Do not use high leverage
- Strict stop loss at $2.25
- Trade with only 1-2% of total capital
