What are the risks of buying altcoins? How to filter out quality altcoins?
1. Low survival rate
The altcoin market carries high risk. About 90% of altcoins disappear every year, with trading volumes nearing zero, meaning most altcoins cannot exist long-term.
2. Manipulation risk
Additionally, some altcoin communities have groups that promote price increases through hype and publicity, resulting in rapid price rises in a short time. However, this manipulation risk may ultimately lead to some investors becoming "bag holders."
3. Lack of technological innovation poses challenges to industry development
While altcoins have brought a large influx of capital, they generally lack technological innovation. This lack of technology-driven development may impact the long-term innovative growth of the cryptocurrency industry.
How to filter out quality altcoins?
- Choose coins that have been online for more than six months: These coins have usually undergone preliminary market testing and are more likely to attract attention and capital inflows.
- Avoid newly launched coins where VC allocations are more than five times that of retail investors: Before buying, carefully review their fully diluted valuation (FDV), compare it to the last private sale and current prices, and evaluate it against other Layer 2 valuations.
- Look for coins showing clear bottoming signs: This indicates they may have bottomed out and started attracting more buying interest.
- Observe gradually increasing trading volume: This may be a signal that institutional investors are starting to build positions.
- Choose coins with revenue: Whether it's protocol revenue or service income, projects that can sustain their teams with their own cash flow do not need to frequently liquidate. If revenue can also be linked to coin prices, such as through buybacks or dividends, that's even better.