Deep Tide TechFlow News, on December 27, a weekly report released by Matrixport showed that there are multiple potential threats that may derail the current Bitcoin bull market. One notable concern comes from BlackRock, which said there is "no guarantee" that Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap will remain unchanged due to the decentralized nature of the Bitcoin protocol. This statement has sparked discussion, but should be viewed in context.
Fed members recently raised their inflation expectations. The change is more political than anything else. Specifically, concerns about Trump's potential tariffs, which economists widely view as inflationary, appear to have influenced their expectations. However, during Trump's first term, those tariffs had little impact on inflation. This suggests that the Fed's inflation expectations may not be fully aligned with current economic realities, which could create room for flexibility in setting policy in the coming year.
According to Matrixport's model, inflation is not expected to be a major issue next year, which may allow the Federal Reserve to maintain a dovish stance.
Additionally, based on past experience, Bitcoin bull markets tend to peak when regulatory pressure reaches a critical point. With most unresolved regulatory issues seemingly being addressed, the risk of this Bitcoin bull market ending may depend on other factors.